List of Probabilities for Maryland
Maryland Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Manchester Valle 19 0 1 2 2 5 35.00
2 Maryvale Prep 13 5 14 82 36 132 12.00
3 McDonogh School 14 3 12 74 10 96 12.00
4 Archbishop Spald 13 5 18 53 43 114 10.00
5 Good Counsel 15 3 20 84 12 116 6.00
6 St Pauls SG 12 4 25 56 37 118 5.00
7 John Carroll 6 9 61 60 115 236 3.00
8 St Marys 10 9 39 28 88 155 3.00
9 Glenelg HS 17 4 3 3 5 11 3.00
10 Bryn Mawr SG 6 10 59 34 128 221 2.00
11 Stone Ridge Scho 18 5 10 64 18 92 2.00
12 Broadneck 14 3 5 30 4 39 2.00
13 St Johns College 14 8 46 65 78 189 0.00
14 Century 12 5 21 7 19 47 0.00
15 Queen Annes Coun 13 3 22 71 8 101 0.00
16 Severna Park 18 2 2 1 1 4 0.00
17 Westminster 8 8 30 11 57 98 0.00
18 Annapolis Area C 9 2 36 90 35 161 0.00
19 Anne Arundel Cou 1 3 130 120 85 335 0.00
20 Beth TFiloh 6 4 102 170 86 358 0.00
21 Bishop McNamara 4 15 165 174 215 554 0.00
22 Brookewood SG 4 5 168 198 99 465 0.00
23 Bullis School 10 5 52 137 50 239 0.00
24 Calverton School 1 6 193 191 150 534 0.00
25 Catholic High Ba 7 3 45 107 62 214 0.00
26 Chapelgate Chris 6 6 158 185 134 477 0.00
27 Concordia Prep 5 7 86 55 151 292 0.00
28 EL Haynes Charte 0 2 203 189 68 460 0.00
29 Elizabeth Seton 5 11 139 146 147 432 0.00
30 FCA 12 4 71 78 63 212 0.00
31 Field School 6 3 192 212 66 470 0.00
32 Friends School 2 8 167 169 174 510 0.00
33 Garrison Forest 5 11 123 54 202 379 0.00
34 Georgetown Day S 3 10 155 184 162 501 0.00
35 Georgetown Visit 11 10 43 24 106 173 0.00
36 Gerstell Academy 11 4 33 43 39 115 0.00
37 Glenelg Country 3 13 111 68 197 376 0.00
38 Gunston Day Scho 6 6 146 196 114 456 0.00
39 Holton-Arms Scho 7 7 37 83 44 164 0.00
40 Holy Child 8 11 79 96 123 298 0.00
41 Holy Cross 6 9 99 117 135 351 0.00
42 Indian Creek 3 8 131 111 168 410 0.00
43 Jackson-Reed 2 4 173 199 84 456 0.00
44 Jemicy 0 5 190 160 138 488 0.00
45 Key School 4 5 80 93 121 294 0.00
46 Maret School 4 11 121 180 107 408 0.00
47 Mercy 12 2 17 42 16 75 0.00
48 Mount de Sales 9 6 29 35 67 131 0.00
49 National Cathedr 12 9 125 102 142 369 0.00
50 Notre Dame Prep 10 8 44 50 95 189 0.00
51 Park School 7 6 91 98 129 318 0.00
52 Rockbridge Acade 5 5 181 210 116 507 0.00
53 Roland Park Coun 8 8 57 73 124 254 0.00
54 Salisbury School 9 6 117 142 117 376 0.00
55 Sandy Spring Fri 0 4 212 203 118 533 0.00
56 School Without W 0 1 195 168 51 414 0.00
57 Severn School 8 7 53 44 100 197 0.00
58 Sidwell Friends 12 10 83 178 125 386 0.00
59 St Andrews Episc 6 6 115 122 69 306 0.00
60 St James School 8 5 127 193 87 407 0.00
61 St Johns Catholi 1 11 161 143 206 510 0.00
62 St Marys Ryken 7 8 87 41 91 219 0.00
63 St Timothys 6 4 48 89 79 216 0.00
64 St Vincent Pallo 0 8 198 177 181 556 0.00
65 Sts Peter & Paul 8 7 92 125 148 365 0.00
66 Tome School 5 4 150 204 96 450 0.00
67 Washington Latin 0 5 204 190 139 533 0.00
68 Worcester Prep 1 10 199 195 177 571 0.00
69 Aberdeen 4 9 147 113 178 438 0.00
70 Academy for Coll 4 3 141 200 74 415 0.00
71 Annapolis 8 7 106 88 130 324 0.00
72 Arundel 6 7 76 47 109 232 0.00
73 Atholton 5 10 164 145 201 510 0.00
74 Baltimore Polyte 10 2 55 134 20 209 0.00
75 Bel Air 11 5 13 20 70 103 0.00
76 Bethesda-Chevy C 9 5 49 37 58 144 0.00
77 Bladensburg 2 9 179 173 191 543 0.00
78 Blair 8 7 62 40 131 233 0.00
79 Blake 3 10 129 57 182 368 0.00
80 Bohemia Manor 2 8 205 206 175 586 0.00
81 Boonsboro 10 4 119 156 64 339 0.00
82 Bowie 9 4 94 129 59 282 0.00
83 Brunswick 3 11 178 131 210 519 0.00
84 Calvert 8 5 81 91 101 273 0.00
85 Cambridge SD 2 10 157 158 189 504 0.00
86 Carver A&T 6 6 97 112 136 345 0.00
87 Catoctin 7 5 114 138 92 344 0.00
88 Catonsville 7 7 63 49 110 222 0.00
89 Centennial 9 5 50 51 48 149 0.00
90 CH Flowers 8 4 84 115 80 279 0.00
91 Chesapeake AA 9 4 89 126 52 267 0.00
92 Chesapeake BC 5 4 170 208 93 471 0.00
93 Chopticon 8 5 78 75 102 255 0.00
94 City College 6 4 103 172 81 356 0.00
95 Clarksburg 4 10 138 79 190 407 0.00
96 CM Wright 11 5 23 19 29 71 0.00
97 CMIT North 10 3 73 133 53 259 0.00
98 Crofton 7 8 69 36 111 216 0.00
99 Damascus 12 3 16 22 11 49 0.00
100 Dr Henry Wise 2 10 156 105 207 468 0.00
101 Dulaney 11 5 24 33 38 95 0.00
102 Dundalk 1 9 209 205 198 612 0.00
103 DuVal 6 6 75 63 137 275 0.00
104 Eastern Technica 10 3 40 94 40 174 0.00
105 Easton 10 3 47 62 45 154 0.00
106 Edgewood 2 10 172 139 208 519 0.00
107 Einstein 8 5 134 183 103 420 0.00
108 Eleanor Roosevel 11 2 67 128 22 217 0.00
109 Elkton 4 8 191 201 171 563 0.00
110 Fairmont Heights 4 8 135 110 169 414 0.00
111 Fallston 11 6 28 14 60 102 0.00
112 Francis Scott Ke 3 11 124 31 176 331 0.00
113 Franklin 7 6 77 80 119 276 0.00
114 Frederick 3 10 149 69 199 417 0.00
115 Frederick Dougla 4 7 143 152 161 456 0.00
116 Gaithersburg 0 13 189 103 222 514 0.00
117 Glen Burnie 4 9 176 171 184 531 0.00
118 Gov Thomas Johns 6 7 132 116 152 400 0.00
119 Great Mills 4 10 136 72 203 411 0.00
120 Guilford Park 3 10 180 153 200 533 0.00
121 Gwynn Park 3 8 126 99 172 397 0.00
122 Hammond 3 10 184 164 192 540 0.00
123 Harford Tech 8 4 72 106 71 249 0.00
124 Havre De Grace 10 4 60 85 65 210 0.00
125 Hereford 4 10 42 9 166 217 0.00
126 Howard 9 4 68 77 46 191 0.00
127 Huntingtown 12 3 35 29 23 87 0.00
128 JM Bennett 8 6 104 86 122 312 0.00
129 Kennedy 2 12 196 140 216 552 0.00
130 Kent County 7 7 133 127 146 406 0.00
131 Kent Island 13 5 19 38 17 74 0.00
132 Kenwood 5 7 163 186 156 505 0.00
133 La Plata 9 3 56 104 55 215 0.00
134 Lackey 2 11 174 130 212 516 0.00
135 Lansdowne 4 6 151 188 143 482 0.00
136 Laurel 9 4 107 147 75 329 0.00
137 Leonardtown 12 3 27 25 15 67 0.00
138 Liberty 12 5 11 5 41 57 0.00
139 Linganore 8 6 41 15 76 132 0.00
140 Loch Raven 7 6 128 157 132 417 0.00
141 Long Reach 10 4 100 149 56 305 0.00
142 Magruder 10 4 101 135 61 297 0.00
143 Marriotts Ridge 15 4 4 13 7 24 0.00
144 Meade 0 12 211 192 220 623 0.00
145 Middletown 12 5 34 27 47 108 0.00
146 MJ McDonough 4 9 142 100 185 427 0.00
147 Mount Hebron 5 10 64 8 120 192 0.00
148 New Town 2 5 210 211 133 554 0.00
149 North Caroline 6 6 90 118 108 316 0.00
150 North County 4 9 113 46 149 308 0.00
151 North Dorchester 2 11 185 132 211 528 0.00
152 North East Cecil 2 9 182 179 193 554 0.00
153 North Hagerstown 0 10 207 197 209 613 0.00
154 North Harford 9 5 66 67 89 222 0.00
155 North Point 5 7 105 87 157 349 0.00
156 Northeast 5 8 153 144 165 462 0.00
157 Northern Calvert 12 2 32 52 13 97 0.00
158 Northwest 8 5 110 136 97 343 0.00
159 Northwestern PG 0 11 188 141 217 546 0.00
160 Northwood 4 9 169 154 186 509 0.00
161 Oakdale 9 5 58 45 72 175 0.00
162 Oakland Mills 0 12 202 165 221 588 0.00
163 Old Mill 3 10 159 119 194 472 0.00
164 Overlea 3 5 177 202 126 505 0.00
165 Owings Mills 3 7 200 209 163 572 0.00
166 Oxon Hill 7 5 93 109 98 300 0.00
167 Paint Branch 3 10 187 175 205 567 0.00
168 Parkdale 8 4 108 159 82 349 0.00
169 Parkside 4 8 145 123 167 435 0.00
170 Parkville 8 4 112 162 83 357 0.00
171 Patapsco 4 8 166 166 170 502 0.00
172 Patterson Mill 4 9 109 58 179 346 0.00
173 Patuxent 5 9 144 124 183 451 0.00
174 Perry Hall 7 8 65 48 158 271 0.00
175 Perryville 5 7 140 181 140 461 0.00
176 Pikesville 6 7 122 114 153 389 0.00
177 Poolesville 8 6 95 76 104 275 0.00
178 Quince Orchard 14 3 9 4 9 22 0.00
179 Reservoir 7 9 120 66 144 330 0.00
180 Richard Montgome 9 6 85 81 90 256 0.00
181 Rising Sun 8 8 98 59 159 316 0.00
182 River Hill 8 6 88 61 73 222 0.00
183 Rockville 3 10 137 70 195 402 0.00
184 Seneca Valley 4 9 186 187 187 560 0.00
185 Severn Run 7 6 148 176 112 436 0.00
186 Sherwood 16 1 6 10 3 19 0.00
187 Smithsburg 1 11 206 194 213 613 0.00
188 South Carroll 16 3 7 6 6 19 0.00
189 South River 10 4 15 23 14 52 0.00
190 Southern 7 9 74 32 141 247 0.00
191 Sparrows Point 6 7 96 95 145 336 0.00
192 Springbrook 7 8 118 97 164 379 0.00
193 St Charles 4 9 183 182 188 553 0.00
194 Stephen Decatur 8 6 70 92 94 256 0.00
195 Suitland 2 9 175 161 196 532 0.00
196 Towson 13 4 8 12 21 41 0.00
197 Tuscarora 6 5 116 150 113 379 0.00
198 Urbana 12 5 26 16 42 84 0.00
199 Walkersville 2 11 162 108 204 474 0.00
200 Walter Johnson 9 4 31 26 49 106 0.00
201 Watkins Mill 1 12 201 167 219 587 0.00
202 Western Baltimor 0 6 171 121 160 452 0.00
203 Western STES 3 8 160 155 173 488 0.00
204 Westlake 0 11 194 151 218 563 0.00
205 Wheaton 6 7 152 163 154 469 0.00
206 Whitman 10 5 38 18 54 110 0.00
207 Wicomico 0 11 197 148 214 559 0.00
208 Wilde Lake 3 10 154 101 180 435 0.00
209 Winston Churchil 7 6 54 39 105 198 0.00
210 Winters Mill 8 9 82 17 127 226 0.00
211 Woodlawn 1 6 208 207 155 570 0.00
212 Wootton 9 6 51 21 77 149 0.00
213 Cristo Rey Jesui 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
214 DC International 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
215 KIPP College Pre 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
216 Oldfields School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
217 Central PG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
218 Milford Mill 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
219 Randallstown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
220 Randallstown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
221 South Hagerstown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
222 Thomas Stone 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00