List of Probabilities for Maryland
Maryland Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 McDonogh School 14 1 9 26 1 36 23.00
2 Stone Ridge Scho 11 3 8 15 6 29 11.00
3 Good Counsel 16 0 1 32 3 36 10.00
4 Archbishop Spald 10 3 14 37 5 56 9.00
5 John Carroll 8 5 43 64 59 166 9.00
6 St Pauls SG 12 4 26 43 22 91 8.00
7 Severna Park 10 1 3 9 4 16 6.00
8 Maryvale Prep 13 2 20 23 10 53 5.00
9 Georgetown Visit 8 5 11 1 18 30 3.00
10 Broadneck 7 4 12 7 48 67 3.00
11 Glenelg Country 6 7 83 78 150 311 2.00
12 Severn School 5 10 98 48 201 347 2.00
13 Glenelg HS 11 1 10 27 9 46 2.00
14 Bryn Mawr SG 5 9 72 28 163 263 0.00
15 Garrison Forest 5 9 96 33 197 326 0.00
16 Notre Dame Prep 8 8 74 35 151 260 0.00
17 Roland Park Coun 4 9 87 42 177 306 0.00
18 St Johns College 11 5 60 90 21 171 0.00
19 Century 9 1 6 24 8 38 0.00
20 Liberty 8 3 21 61 17 99 0.00
21 Annapolis Area C 6 1 92 169 28 289 0.00
22 Anne Arundel Cou 3 1 90 144 52 286 0.00
23 Beth TFiloh 5 2 91 135 67 293 0.00
24 Bishop McNamara 4 5 48 45 53 146 0.00
25 Brookewood SG 3 3 147 98 111 356 0.00
26 Bullis School 2 12 104 5 154 263 0.00
27 Calverton School 0 3 207 206 122 535 0.00
28 Catholic High Ba 4 4 134 142 133 409 0.00
29 Chapelgate Chris 1 8 200 189 216 605 0.00
30 Concordia Prep 4 4 77 62 134 273 0.00
31 Elizabeth Seton 4 7 68 86 93 247 0.00
32 FCA 9 5 50 31 137 218 0.00
33 Field School 0 4 180 171 155 506 0.00
34 Friends School 0 7 161 95 209 465 0.00
35 Georgetown Day S 3 3 80 123 80 283 0.00
36 Gerstell Academy 9 4 66 91 94 251 0.00
37 Gunston Day Scho 3 7 144 97 200 441 0.00
38 Holton-Arms Scho 7 7 35 109 19 163 0.00
39 Holy Child 4 11 131 164 116 411 0.00
40 Holy Cross 4 8 41 84 106 231 0.00
41 Indian Creek 3 6 113 54 176 343 0.00
42 Jackson-Reed 5 8 182 193 160 535 0.00
43 Jemicy 3 3 153 166 107 426 0.00
44 Key School 2 4 143 116 143 402 0.00
45 Maret School 8 3 44 79 37 160 0.00
46 Mercy 3 9 119 30 206 355 0.00
47 Mount de Sales 5 11 106 11 217 334 0.00
48 National Cathedr 3 8 164 117 171 452 0.00
49 Park School 4 8 114 46 213 373 0.00
50 Rockbridge Acade 2 3 175 180 112 467 0.00
51 Salisbury School 8 2 99 159 29 287 0.00
52 Sandy Spring Fri 0 1 212 208 68 488 0.00
53 School Without W 0 2 209 203 88 500 0.00
54 Sidwell Friends 9 2 59 187 30 276 0.00
55 St Andrews Episc 2 4 167 127 117 411 0.00
56 St James School 2 4 188 162 84 434 0.00
57 St Johns Catholi 10 3 63 111 69 243 0.00
58 St Marys 9 6 39 55 113 207 0.00
59 St Marys Ryken 2 7 146 77 144 367 0.00
60 St Timothys 7 0 47 126 15 188 0.00
61 St Vincent Pallo 2 8 151 88 214 453 0.00
62 Sts Peter & Paul 9 1 54 137 16 207 0.00
63 Tome School 0 3 171 204 123 498 0.00
64 Washington Latin 0 1 210 207 70 487 0.00
65 Worcester Prep 1 8 179 148 210 537 0.00
66 Aberdeen 5 2 115 167 60 342 0.00
67 Academy for Coll 2 3 194 186 114 494 0.00
68 Annapolis 5 1 45 65 40 150 0.00
69 Arundel 5 4 49 38 81 168 0.00
70 Atholton 2 7 162 110 202 474 0.00
71 Baltimore Polyte 4 2 84 178 72 334 0.00
72 Bel Air 8 4 29 19 95 143 0.00
73 Bethesda-Chevy C 5 4 93 93 89 275 0.00
74 Bladensburg 1 5 168 72 172 412 0.00
75 Blair 2 5 78 22 164 264 0.00
76 Blake 1 8 112 21 211 344 0.00
77 Bohemia Manor 1 7 195 194 203 592 0.00
78 Boonsboro 5 4 150 177 118 445 0.00
79 Bowie 4 2 17 34 73 124 0.00
80 Brunswick 0 6 189 132 182 503 0.00
81 Calvert 5 6 105 67 174 346 0.00
82 Cambridge SD 1 4 155 105 152 412 0.00
83 Carver A&T 4 5 110 115 161 386 0.00
84 Catoctin 4 2 176 202 74 452 0.00
85 Catonsville 5 3 18 13 75 106 0.00
86 Centennial 3 6 125 82 175 382 0.00
87 CH Flowers 4 3 140 184 96 420 0.00
88 Chesapeake AA 8 1 40 112 11 163 0.00
89 Chesapeake BC 4 1 135 196 49 380 0.00
90 Chopticon 3 4 137 106 138 381 0.00
91 City College 4 3 97 192 97 386 0.00
92 Clarksburg 8 2 88 153 54 295 0.00
93 CM Wright 5 4 57 47 124 228 0.00
94 CMIT North 4 1 30 181 50 261 0.00
95 Crofton 6 4 76 89 98 263 0.00
96 Damascus 7 2 4 8 23 35 0.00
97 Dr Henry Wise 3 4 94 25 139 258 0.00
98 Dulaney 6 6 33 16 108 157 0.00
99 Dundalk 5 4 148 174 125 447 0.00
100 DuVal 1 6 170 107 187 464 0.00
101 Eastern Technica 4 3 53 39 82 174 0.00
102 Easton 6 2 82 83 61 226 0.00
103 Edgewood 3 5 163 188 165 516 0.00
104 Einstein 3 5 102 58 162 322 0.00
105 Eleanor Roosevel 7 0 25 69 13 107 0.00
106 Elkton 2 7 177 190 178 545 0.00
107 Fairmont Heights 0 3 197 70 126 393 0.00
108 Fallston 6 6 34 10 119 163 0.00
109 Francis Scott Ke 3 6 107 49 156 312 0.00
110 Franklin 3 3 103 94 99 296 0.00
111 Frederick 4 5 136 176 153 465 0.00
112 Frederick Dougla 0 4 139 157 157 453 0.00
113 Gaithersburg 0 8 193 145 218 556 0.00
114 Glen Burnie 3 6 157 129 179 465 0.00
115 Gov Thomas Johns 1 2 100 140 78 318 0.00
116 Great Mills 1 7 174 114 207 495 0.00
117 Gwynn Park 1 2 129 99 85 313 0.00
118 Hammond 2 7 192 139 196 527 0.00
119 Harford Tech 5 3 52 59 86 197 0.00
120 Havre De Grace 5 3 86 102 87 275 0.00
121 Hereford 7 1 19 50 24 93 0.00
122 Howard 5 4 61 51 100 212 0.00
123 Huntingtown 8 1 32 41 20 93 0.00
124 JM Bennett 1 6 159 122 188 469 0.00
125 Kennedy 2 7 198 191 204 593 0.00
126 Kent County 3 5 127 100 166 393 0.00
127 Kent Island 3 8 101 68 180 349 0.00
128 Kenwood 3 5 183 185 167 535 0.00
129 La Plata 5 2 46 101 71 218 0.00
130 Lackey 3 4 158 161 140 459 0.00
131 Lansdowne 1 6 187 146 189 522 0.00
132 Laurel 7 1 62 147 25 234 0.00
133 Leonardtown 5 4 71 66 127 264 0.00
134 Linganore 7 2 36 73 55 164 0.00
135 Loch Raven 5 1 65 141 31 237 0.00
136 Long Reach 6 2 120 179 62 361 0.00
137 Magruder 5 3 126 163 90 379 0.00
138 Manchester Valle 11 0 2 18 2 22 0.00
139 Marriotts Ridge 8 3 15 63 12 90 0.00
140 Meade 0 7 185 104 212 501 0.00
141 Middletown 6 5 85 74 101 260 0.00
142 MJ McDonough 2 4 142 108 145 395 0.00
143 Mount Hebron 6 5 24 3 83 110 0.00
144 New Town 0 3 204 183 128 515 0.00
145 North Caroline 6 3 56 96 63 215 0.00
146 North County 2 6 132 71 173 376 0.00
147 North East Cecil 3 5 141 156 168 465 0.00
148 North Hagerstown 2 6 186 173 183 542 0.00
149 North Harford 2 7 122 44 190 356 0.00
150 North Point 3 5 152 138 169 459 0.00
151 Northeast 3 5 156 133 170 459 0.00
152 Northern Calvert 7 2 42 87 56 185 0.00
153 Northwest 7 2 67 130 57 254 0.00
154 Northwestern PG 2 4 154 160 146 460 0.00
155 Northwood 7 2 108 170 58 336 0.00
156 Oakdale 7 2 38 76 51 165 0.00
157 Oakland Mills 1 7 191 172 208 571 0.00
158 Old Mill 4 4 124 128 135 387 0.00
159 Overlea 3 3 181 198 109 488 0.00
160 Owings Mills 0 8 201 175 219 595 0.00
161 Oxon Hill 5 3 116 151 91 358 0.00
162 Paint Branch 2 7 149 92 198 439 0.00
163 Parkdale 4 3 118 134 102 354 0.00
164 Parkside 3 4 138 131 141 410 0.00
165 Parkville 5 4 128 154 129 411 0.00
166 Patapsco 2 6 184 158 184 526 0.00
167 Patterson Mill 6 2 58 103 64 225 0.00
168 Patuxent 5 4 130 155 130 415 0.00
169 Perry Hall 3 3 70 52 103 225 0.00
170 Perryville 6 5 95 75 147 317 0.00
171 Pikesville 2 4 145 120 148 413 0.00
172 Poolesville 3 5 133 113 149 395 0.00
173 Queen Annes Coun 7 2 55 201 44 300 0.00
174 Quince Orchard 4 3 16 4 76 96 0.00
175 Reservoir 7 4 79 81 104 264 0.00
176 Richard Montgome 5 4 111 121 131 363 0.00
177 Rising Sun 3 4 160 197 142 499 0.00
178 River Hill 6 5 89 80 110 279 0.00
179 Rockville 2 6 173 149 181 503 0.00
180 Seneca Valley 2 7 172 136 205 513 0.00
181 Sherwood 7 0 7 40 14 61 0.00
182 Smithsburg 0 6 203 182 193 578 0.00
183 South Carroll 4 6 51 20 132 203 0.00
184 South River 4 4 23 6 79 108 0.00
185 Southern 2 5 109 119 136 364 0.00
186 Sparrows Point 4 4 73 53 115 241 0.00
187 Springbrook 8 2 27 57 26 110 0.00
188 St Charles 1 6 205 200 191 596 0.00
189 Stephen Decatur 8 1 22 85 27 134 0.00
190 Suitland 0 4 199 205 158 562 0.00
191 Towson 4 6 37 12 120 169 0.00
192 Tuscarora 4 4 121 124 121 366 0.00
193 Urbana 6 4 13 17 77 107 0.00
194 Walkersville 2 7 178 150 199 527 0.00
195 Walter Johnson 7 2 31 56 32 119 0.00
196 Watkins Mill 0 8 196 152 220 568 0.00
197 Western Baltimor 0 2 213 199 92 504 0.00
198 Western STES 6 2 117 168 65 350 0.00
199 Westlake 0 6 202 195 194 591 0.00
200 Westminster 3 6 28 2 105 135 0.00
201 Wheaton 3 7 166 143 185 494 0.00
202 Whitman 9 0 5 36 7 48 0.00
203 Wicomico 0 6 165 60 195 420 0.00
204 Wilde Lake 2 8 169 125 215 509 0.00
205 Winston Churchil 2 7 69 14 186 269 0.00
206 Winters Mill 3 6 81 29 159 269 0.00
207 Woodlawn 1 6 190 165 192 547 0.00
208 Wootton 6 2 64 118 66 248 0.00
209 Cristo Rey Jesui 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
210 DC International 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
211 EL Haynes Charte 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
212 KIPP College Pre 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
213 Oldfields School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
214 St Maria Goretti 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
215 Central PG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
216 Joppatowne 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
217 Milford Mill 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
218 Randallstown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
219 South Hagerstown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
220 Thomas Stone 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00