List of Probabilities for California
California Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 San Ramon Valley 16 1 6 43 1 50 15.00
2 Sacred Heart Pre 15 2 2 86 2 90 15.00
3 St Ignatius Prep 13 4 10 72 5 87 14.00
4 Oak Ridge 14 2 3 1 4 8 13.00
5 Marin Catholic 15 3 15 26 12 53 5.00
6 Mira Costa 15 4 9 23 9 41 4.00
7 Redondo Union 13 4 4 4 10 18 4.00
8 Granite Bay 12 4 28 18 37 83 3.00
9 Redwood 13 4 13 2 16 31 3.00
10 Coronado 11 3 14 98 28 140 3.00
11 Torrey Pines 12 4 5 6 13 24 3.00
12 Marlborough 13 1 1 17 6 24 3.00
13 Foothill Santa A 13 2 7 12 7 26 2.00
14 Newbury Park 12 1 49 146 14 209 2.00
15 Marin Academy 10 3 20 63 55 138 0.00
16 Monte Vista Danv 13 3 23 30 56 109 0.00
17 San Marin 12 4 31 42 62 135 0.00
18 St Francis Sacra 9 3 18 69 72 159 0.00
19 Vista del Lago 9 5 54 57 103 214 0.00
20 San Marcos SD 10 6 27 52 32 111 0.00
21 Menlo School 10 4 32 36 33 101 0.00
22 St Francis Mtn V 6 7 53 10 127 190 0.00
23 Murrieta Mesa 19 1 11 24 8 43 0.00
24 Oak Park 13 2 51 84 26 161 0.00
25 San Clemente 17 2 8 8 3 19 0.00
26 Acalanes 11 6 61 70 132 263 0.00
27 Alhambra 4 7 264 278 199 741 0.00
28 Amador Valley 11 5 50 34 70 154 0.00
29 Archie Williams 8 7 121 129 146 396 0.00
30 Athenian 1 6 283 283 182 748 0.00
31 Bay School 7 5 221 266 129 616 0.00
32 Bella Vista 10 5 128 181 113 422 0.00
33 Bentley 4 2 207 276 71 554 0.00
34 Berkeley 8 8 138 101 188 427 0.00
35 Bishop ODowd 4 9 177 116 231 524 0.00
36 Branson School 12 4 69 111 63 243 0.00
37 California San R 10 3 43 78 31 152 0.00
38 Campolindo 9 6 45 48 109 202 0.00
39 Cardinal Newman 4 8 200 184 220 604 0.00
40 Carondelet 11 8 41 33 61 135 0.00
41 Casa Grande 5 8 179 227 208 614 0.00
42 Christian Brothe 10 3 104 197 67 368 0.00
43 Clayton Valley C 5 7 235 251 189 675 0.00
44 College Park 11 4 98 192 82 372 0.00
45 Convent-Sacred H 1 8 268 258 232 758 0.00
46 Davis 6 7 40 14 147 201 0.00
47 Del Oro 11 3 33 41 22 96 0.00
48 Dougherty Valley 3 7 141 144 174 459 0.00
49 Dublin 6 8 133 105 190 428 0.00
50 Folsom 6 8 109 62 191 362 0.00
51 Foothill Pleasan 3 9 167 127 229 523 0.00
52 Granada 5 11 149 71 256 476 0.00
53 Head-Royce Schoo 3 8 196 176 221 593 0.00
54 International 1 7 251 252 209 712 0.00
55 Justin-Siena 12 6 68 85 130 283 0.00
56 Las Lomas 8 6 168 206 142 516 0.00
57 Lick-Wilmerding 8 6 120 120 133 373 0.00
58 Livermore 2 10 223 175 252 650 0.00
59 Lowell 0 6 232 162 192 586 0.00
60 Miramonte 7 9 77 46 175 298 0.00
61 Moreau Catholic 3 8 259 259 223 741 0.00
62 Napa 2 12 262 222 283 767 0.00
63 Newark Memorial 1 11 272 255 272 799 0.00
64 Northgate 2 10 191 130 263 584 0.00
65 Novato 8 7 78 53 148 279 0.00
66 Oakland Tech 1 1 248 281 64 593 0.00
67 Oakmont 2 8 270 270 230 770 0.00
68 Petaluma 10 4 91 157 87 335 0.00
69 Piedmont 11 4 107 143 83 333 0.00
70 Rancho Cotate 8 6 189 223 143 555 0.00
71 Rio Americano 6 9 210 158 233 601 0.00
72 Rocklin 7 9 146 74 210 430 0.00
73 Roseville 3 8 234 238 224 696 0.00
74 San Rafael 1 12 215 102 279 596 0.00
75 Sonoma Academy 3 9 220 196 243 659 0.00
76 Sonoma Valley 10 4 92 185 88 365 0.00
77 St Vincent de Pa 6 7 233 263 183 679 0.00
78 Tamalpais 9 8 39 5 110 154 0.00
79 Terra Linda 3 8 180 155 206 541 0.00
80 University HS SF 6 8 76 40 167 283 0.00
81 Urban School 8 4 151 239 102 492 0.00
82 Vintage 7 8 134 92 207 433 0.00
83 Washington Fremo 0 2 278 271 89 638 0.00
84 West Park 0 17 275 224 303 802 0.00
85 Whitney 2 14 183 55 289 527 0.00
86 Windsor 1 11 256 237 273 766 0.00
87 Woodcreek 10 4 190 241 90 521 0.00
88 Ygnacio Valley 0 7 276 261 215 752 0.00
89 Academy of Our L 2 12 199 82 284 565 0.00
90 Bishops School 17 1 16 49 11 76 0.00
91 Bonita Vista 9 9 124 60 222 406 0.00
92 Canyon Crest 6 7 139 132 184 455 0.00
93 Canyon Hills 10 6 142 165 138 445 0.00
94 Carlsbad 12 4 38 25 58 121 0.00
95 Castle Park 10 8 112 99 193 404 0.00
96 Cathedral Cathol 9 6 22 27 40 89 0.00
97 Clairemont 6 9 217 189 234 640 0.00
98 Classical Academ 10 5 119 180 114 413 0.00
99 Del Lago Academy 1 11 204 124 274 602 0.00
100 Del Norte 12 3 37 89 59 185 0.00
101 Eastlake 10 6 74 47 139 260 0.00
102 El Camino 4 15 227 77 299 603 0.00
103 El Capitan 10 4 116 216 91 423 0.00
104 Fallbrook 13 4 82 139 77 298 0.00
105 Francis Parker S 6 8 118 203 168 489 0.00
106 Granite Hills 7 6 136 147 149 432 0.00
107 Grossmont 4 10 198 126 257 581 0.00
108 Helix Charter 3 10 238 226 260 724 0.00
109 Hilltop 4 10 224 174 258 656 0.00
110 La Costa Canyon 6 7 63 122 115 300 0.00
111 La Jolla CDS 6 7 140 231 154 525 0.00
112 La Jolla HS 5 11 123 79 236 438 0.00
113 Lincoln San Dieg 1 11 249 243 275 767 0.00
114 Mar Vista 6 2 181 264 65 510 0.00
115 Mater Dei Chula 11 5 100 212 111 423 0.00
116 Mira Mesa 6 11 157 75 266 498 0.00
117 Mission Bay 10 4 131 234 92 457 0.00
118 Mission Hills 2 9 202 163 247 612 0.00
119 Mission Vista 1 13 265 204 292 761 0.00
120 Monte Vista Spri 5 4 150 248 116 514 0.00
121 Montgomery 0 1 277 267 68 612 0.00
122 Morse 7 10 226 191 248 665 0.00
123 Mt Carmel 5 7 153 159 160 472 0.00
124 Olympian 6 12 195 109 276 580 0.00
125 Otay Ranch 3 9 271 262 244 777 0.00
126 Pacific Ridge 8 4 106 201 104 411 0.00
127 Patrick Henry 4 10 143 131 249 523 0.00
128 Point Loma 9 3 48 110 73 231 0.00
129 Poway 8 7 113 104 150 367 0.00
130 Preuss School 0 14 244 171 296 711 0.00
131 Ramona 1 10 243 208 267 718 0.00
132 Rancho Bernardo 5 12 144 76 280 500 0.00
133 Rancho Buena Vis 12 2 79 199 29 307 0.00
134 Sage Creek 13 4 101 154 78 333 0.00
135 San Diego 7 6 159 172 151 482 0.00
136 San Dieguito 5 8 87 59 185 331 0.00
137 San Ysidro 13 6 75 97 126 298 0.00
138 Santa Fe Christi 0 14 242 136 297 675 0.00
139 Santana 4 10 214 214 259 687 0.00
140 Scripps Ranch 9 5 64 95 93 252 0.00
141 Southwest 0 5 280 275 161 716 0.00
142 Tri City Christi 10 4 174 236 94 504 0.00
143 University City 14 3 34 35 57 126 0.00
144 Valhalla 5 10 182 134 253 569 0.00
145 Valley Center 6 6 148 169 155 472 0.00
146 Vista 8 7 122 108 169 399 0.00
147 West Hills 9 7 184 209 164 557 0.00
148 Westview 7 5 126 190 131 447 0.00
149 Aptos 5 6 213 249 162 624 0.00
150 Aragon 4 9 211 164 240 615 0.00
151 Archbishop Mitty 1 9 145 83 216 444 0.00
152 Burlingame 7 7 147 161 176 484 0.00
153 Carlmont 2 6 173 170 177 520 0.00
154 Carmel 4 3 85 167 99 351 0.00
155 Castilleja 14 2 52 112 23 187 0.00
156 Gilroy 3 7 205 228 202 635 0.00
157 Gunn 12 2 102 213 30 345 0.00
158 Harbor 0 1 285 285 69 639 0.00
159 Harker School 0 15 239 125 301 665 0.00
160 Hillsdale 8 7 97 44 170 311 0.00
161 Leland 7 3 93 221 79 393 0.00
162 Lincoln San Jose 3 7 186 202 203 591 0.00
163 Live Oak 11 1 44 178 17 239 0.00
164 Los Altos 6 6 117 152 156 425 0.00
165 Los Gatos 10 4 88 137 95 320 0.00
166 Menlo-Atherton 6 9 67 7 165 239 0.00
167 Mercy Burlingame 5 10 172 114 254 540 0.00
168 Monte Vista Chri 8 6 105 88 144 337 0.00
169 Monterey 3 1 208 280 60 548 0.00
170 Mountain View 3 9 229 195 245 669 0.00
171 Notre Dame Belmo 10 4 90 240 96 426 0.00
172 Notre Dame Salin 1 4 263 265 134 662 0.00
173 Notre Dame San J 7 6 108 118 152 378 0.00
174 Palo Alto 4 11 206 194 271 671 0.00
175 Pioneer 9 5 115 149 122 386 0.00
176 Presentation 7 7 163 217 178 558 0.00
177 Priory 2 9 160 115 250 525 0.00
178 Sacred Heart Cat 10 4 103 215 97 415 0.00
179 Salinas 3 7 135 230 204 569 0.00
180 Santa Catalina S 0 6 193 151 194 538 0.00
181 Santa Cruz 1 4 279 282 135 696 0.00
182 Saratoga 3 8 236 242 225 703 0.00
183 Scotts Valley 8 1 60 229 25 314 0.00
184 Sequoia 10 5 55 61 117 233 0.00
185 Sobrato 2 10 250 232 264 746 0.00
186 Soquel 3 3 176 244 105 525 0.00
187 Stevenson School 6 2 47 166 66 279 0.00
188 Wilcox 0 8 274 257 237 768 0.00
189 Willow Glen 3 6 188 211 171 570 0.00
190 Woodside 11 1 42 168 18 228 0.00
191 York School 0 3 282 279 118 679 0.00
192 Agoura 4 14 178 73 290 541 0.00
193 Alexander Hamilt 2 3 240 272 108 620 0.00
194 Aliso Niguel 7 12 164 80 255 499 0.00
195 Beckman 9 9 156 117 217 490 0.00
196 Beverly Hills 0 5 266 256 163 685 0.00
197 Birmingham Chart 5 14 230 138 294 662 0.00
198 Calabasas 1 15 216 90 300 606 0.00
199 California Whitt 4 9 269 268 241 778 0.00
200 Canyon 9 7 65 45 145 255 0.00
201 Capistrano Valle 5 9 246 247 238 731 0.00
202 Cate School 9 5 95 121 123 339 0.00
203 Centennial 1 11 257 225 277 759 0.00
204 Chadwick School 9 7 165 186 166 517 0.00
205 Chaminade Prep 12 6 24 9 74 107 0.00
206 Chaparral 11 6 26 15 84 125 0.00
207 Compton 3 8 261 260 226 747 0.00
208 Corona 1 13 267 207 293 767 0.00
209 Corona Del Mar 7 9 73 68 211 352 0.00
210 Crescenta Valley 13 7 35 20 75 130 0.00
211 Culver City 10 6 130 135 106 371 0.00
212 Dana Hills 6 9 228 245 235 708 0.00
213 Dos Pueblos 7 7 155 142 179 476 0.00
214 Downey 11 10 161 87 227 475 0.00
215 Edison 8 8 29 3 100 132 0.00
216 El Camino Real 6 7 212 250 186 648 0.00
217 El Dorado 14 5 70 93 85 248 0.00
218 El Modena 5 13 245 177 285 707 0.00
219 El Segundo 4 11 187 107 261 555 0.00
220 El Toro 7 10 129 64 218 411 0.00
221 Eleanor Roosevel 12 9 114 91 195 400 0.00
222 Esperanza 5 10 197 145 251 593 0.00
223 GALA 0 3 286 286 119 691 0.00
224 Glendale 15 4 66 100 24 190 0.00
225 Great Oak 6 12 125 56 265 446 0.00
226 Hart 6 13 203 183 288 674 0.00
227 Hemet 1 11 258 219 278 755 0.00
228 Heritage 10 9 137 96 205 438 0.00
229 Heritage Christi 0 14 254 198 298 750 0.00
230 Huntington Beach 15 3 30 65 20 115 0.00
231 Irvine 2 12 231 188 286 705 0.00
232 JSerra Catholic 11 8 46 37 140 223 0.00
233 King 12 9 111 106 196 413 0.00
234 La Canada 6 11 225 187 268 680 0.00
235 Laguna Beach 11 4 127 182 86 395 0.00
236 Lakewood 0 11 284 277 281 842 0.00
237 Liberty 3 8 237 246 228 711 0.00
238 Long Beach Poly 1 5 273 274 157 704 0.00
239 Los Alamitos 9 8 71 94 197 362 0.00
240 Lynwood 0 10 253 233 269 755 0.00
241 Mater Dei Santa 11 5 19 21 43 83 0.00
242 Millikan 8 10 218 200 246 664 0.00
243 Mission Viejo 1 18 255 173 304 732 0.00
244 Murrieta Valley 10 10 81 32 212 325 0.00
245 Newport Harbor 9 10 110 113 242 465 0.00
246 Norco 9 10 158 133 239 530 0.00
247 Nordhoff 0 11 247 210 282 739 0.00
248 Northwood 11 5 72 81 80 233 0.00
249 Notre Dame Sherm 10 7 58 50 128 236 0.00
250 Oaks Christian 10 5 80 66 120 266 0.00
251 Orange Lutheran 12 8 86 67 158 311 0.00
252 Palisades Charte 11 8 169 205 187 561 0.00
253 Paloma Valley 9 6 222 254 141 617 0.00
254 Palos Verdes 12 6 25 22 27 74 0.00
255 Peninsula 9 8 96 58 121 275 0.00
256 Portola 10 8 171 179 198 548 0.00
257 Riverside Poly 11 6 192 220 136 548 0.00
258 Rosary Academy 7 9 185 148 219 552 0.00
259 Royal 10 9 94 11 172 277 0.00
260 Sage Hill 0 15 241 153 302 696 0.00
261 San Juan Hills 14 5 21 16 21 58 0.00
262 San Marcos SB 16 2 59 123 19 201 0.00
263 Santa Barbara 5 11 201 150 270 621 0.00
264 Santa Margarita 12 4 12 19 15 46 0.00
265 Santa Monica 4 11 170 103 262 535 0.00
266 Santiago 9 7 57 29 124 210 0.00
267 Saugus 11 6 154 193 137 484 0.00
268 Segerstrom 11 5 209 269 112 590 0.00
269 Simi Valley 1 14 219 141 295 655 0.00
270 St Margarets 12 6 17 13 76 106 0.00
271 Temecula Valley 13 6 62 31 101 194 0.00
272 Tesoro 8 8 175 156 200 531 0.00
273 Thacher School 6 7 166 253 159 578 0.00
274 Trabuco Hills 10 6 56 39 107 202 0.00
275 Tustin 6 8 252 273 213 738 0.00
276 University HS LA 2 6 281 284 180 745 0.00
277 University Irvin 7 13 194 119 287 600 0.00
278 Valencia Placent 2 13 260 235 291 786 0.00
279 Valencia Santa C 8 7 132 128 173 433 0.00
280 Village Christia 9 9 83 38 181 302 0.00
281 Vista Murrieta 13 6 36 28 98 162 0.00
282 West Ranch 7 9 84 51 214 349 0.00
283 Westridge School 9 8 152 160 201 513 0.00
284 Woodbridge 12 4 99 140 81 320 0.00
285 Woodrow Wilson 9 5 162 218 125 505 0.00
286 Yorba Linda 11 8 89 54 153 296 0.00
287 Concord 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
288 Drew 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
289 George Washingto 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
290 Lincoln Sacramen 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
291 San Domenico 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
292 El Rancho 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
293 Laguna Hills 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
294 Thousand Oaks 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
295 Westlake 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
296 Bullard 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
297 Edison Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
298 Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
299 Hoover Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
300 McLane 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
301 Roosevelt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
302 San Joaquin Memo 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
303 Sanger 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
304 Sunnyside 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00