Old Mill
W-L: ( 3-10) PR = 76.2039Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Glen Burnie ( 4- 9, 75.4) 4- 3 325 H Reservoir ( 7- 9, 79.5) 7- 8 328 A Severn Run ( 7- 6, 75.1) 5- 6 401 A Atholton ( 5-10, 76.2) 7- 8 404 A Crofton ( 7- 8, 87.2) 3-16 407 H Southern ( 7- 9, 85.9) 5-13 408 H Chesapeake AA ( 9- 4, 87.1) 1-12 411 H Annapolis ( 8- 7, 83.6) 4-14 422 A Howard ( 9- 4, 88.8) 2-13 423 A Meade ( 0-12, 67.4) 10- 0 425 A Glen Burnie ( 4- 9, 75.4) 5- 4 502 H Broadneck (14- 2, 93.8) 1-17 507 A Long Reach (10- 4, 80.6) 5-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H Glen Burnie 4- 3 1 1 -0.21
325 H Reservoir 7- 8 -1 -3 1.85
328 A Severn Run 5- 6 -1 1 -1.66
401 A Atholton 7- 8 -1 0 -0.58
404 A Crofton 3-16 -13 -11 0.00
407 H Southern 5-13 -8 -9 0.00
408 H Chesapeake AA 1-12 -11 -10 0.00
411 H Annapolis 4-14 -10 -7 0.00
422 A Howard 2-13 -11 -13 0.00
423 A Meade 10- 0 10 8 0.00
425 A Glen Burnie 5- 4 1 0 0.69
502 H Broadneck 1-17 -16 -17 0.00
507 A Long Reach 5-11 -6 -5 -0.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Old Mill Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Anne Arundel County | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Brookewood SG | Brookewood SG | Brookewood SG | ||
| Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | ||
| Bullis School | Bullis School | Bullis School | ||
| Calverton School | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Catholic High Baltimore | Catholic High Baltimore | Catholic High Baltimore | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Cristo Rey Jesuit | Cristo Rey Jesuit | ||
| DC International | DC International | DC International | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | ||
| FCA | FCA | FCA | ||
| Field School | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Friends School | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | ||
| Georgetown Day School | Georgetown Day School | Georgetown Day School | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Gunston Day School | Gunston Day School | ||
| Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | ||
| Holy Child | Holy Child | Holy Child | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Indian Creek | Indian Creek | Indian Creek | ||
| Jackson-Reed | Jackson-Reed | Jackson-Reed | ||
| Jemicy | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| KIPP College Prep | KIPP College Prep | KIPP College Prep | ||
| Maret School | Maret School | Maret School | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | ||
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | McDonogh School | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | ||
| National Cathedral | National Cathedral | National Cathedral | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Oldfields School | Oldfields School | Oldfields School | ||
| Park School | Park School | Park School | ||
| Rockbridge Academy | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| School Without Walls | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James School | St James School | St James School | ||
| St Johns Catholic Prep | St Johns Catholic Prep | St Johns Catholic Prep | ||
| St Johns College | St Johns College | St Johns College | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | St Marys 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | ||
| St Timothys | St Timothys | St Timothys | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Washington Latin | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Worcester Prep | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Aberdeen | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Old Mill | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Mill | |
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel 4- 3 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Atholton | Atholton | Atholton | ||
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Baltimore Polytechnic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Baltimore Polytechnic | |
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Blair | Blair | Blair | ||
| Blake | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Old Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Mill | |
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Old Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Mill | |
| Carver A&T | Carver A&T | Carver A&T | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Central PG | Central PG | Central PG | ||
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Old Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Mill | |
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | City College | City College | ||
| Clarksburg | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | CM Wright | |
| CMIT North | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Damascus | |
| Dr Henry Wise | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Dulaney | |
| Dundalk | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| DuVal | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Einstein | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Elkton | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Frederick | Frederick | ||
| Frederick Douglass PG | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Gaithersburg | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Glen Burnie | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | ||
| Great Mills | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Guilford Park | Old Mill | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | Old Mill | |
| Gwynn Park | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Hammond | Old Mill | insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 1- 6) | Old Mill | |
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | Harford Tech | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Kennedy | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Kent County | Kent County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kent County | |
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Lansdowne | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Laurel | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Long Reach | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Magruder | Magruder | Magruder | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Meade | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Milford Mill | Milford Mill | ||
| MJ McDonough | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| New Town | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) | North County | |
| North Dorchester | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| North East Cecil | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| North Hagerstown | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | North Point | North Point | ||
| Northeast | Northeast | insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 3- 4) | Northeast | |
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest | ||
| Northwestern PG | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Northwood | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Old Mill | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) | Old Mill | |
| Overlea | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Owings Mills | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Oxon Hill | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Paint Branch | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Parkdale | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Patapsco | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Patuxent | Old Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Mill | |
| Perry Hall | Perry Hall | Perry Hall | ||
| Perryville | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Pikesville | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Poolesville | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Quince Orchard | |
| Randallstown | Randallstown | Randallstown | ||
| Randallstown | Randallstown | Randallstown | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Old Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Mill | |
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Rockville | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Seneca Valley | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Severn Run | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Sherwood | |
| Smithsburg | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South Carroll | |
| South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | ||
| South River | South River | South River 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Southern | Southern | Southern | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| St Charles | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Western Baltimore | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Western STES | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Westlake | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Wheaton | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Whitman | Whitman | Whitman | ||
| Wicomico | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Wilde Lake | Old Mill | tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) | Old Mill | |
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Woodlawn | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Wootton | Wootton | Wootton |
PowerWise = 86
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Glen Burnie ( 4- 9, 75.4) 4- 3 -24.46 13.46 -0.45 0.92 11.97
0 H Reservoir ( 7- 9, 79.5) 7- 8 -20.40 17.52 -0.45 0.92 -19.19
0 A Severn Run ( 7- 6, 75.1) 5- 6 -24.80 13.12 0.45 0.92 -22.41
0 A Atholton ( 5-10, 76.2) 7- 8 -23.73 14.19 0.45 0.92 -21.42
0 A Crofton ( 7- 8, 87.2) 3-16 -12.70 25.22 0.45 0.92 -11.28
0 H Southern ( 7- 9, 85.9) 5-13 -13.98 23.94 -0.45 0.92 -13.28
0 H Chesapeake AA ( 9- 4, 87.1) 1-12 -12.79 25.13 -0.45 0.92 -12.18
0 H Annapolis ( 8- 7, 83.6) 4-14 -16.27 21.65 -0.45 0.92 -15.39
0 A Howard ( 9- 4, 88.8) 2-13 -11.06 26.85 0.45 0.92 -9.77
0 A Meade ( 0-12, 67.4) 10- 0 -32.46 5.46 0.45 0.92 5.44
0 A Glen Burnie ( 4- 9, 75.4) 5- 4 -24.46 13.46 0.45 0.92 12.80
0 H Broadneck (14- 2, 93.8) 1-17 -6.12 31.80 -0.45 0.92 -6.04
0 A Long Reach (10- 4, 80.6) 5-11 -19.27 18.65 0.45 0.92 -17.32
------
-118.07
|
winning pts = 30.2161 losing points = -148.2897
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------