---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls North East Cecil 1
  
North East Cecil      
W-L: ( 2- 9) PR = 72.3001

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Aberdeen ( 4- 9, 73.5) 0- 4 324 A Fallston (11- 6, 88.0) 2-14 326 H Kent County ( 7- 7, 77.4) 5- 9 327 H Elkton ( 3- 8, 72.1) 8- 7 402 A Bohemia Manor ( 2- 8, 71.3) 6- 7 407 H Perryville ( 5- 6, 75.4) 10-13 410 A Rising Sun ( 8- 8, 77.9) 3-16 415 A Edgewood ( 2-10, 70.0) 8- 3 422 H North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.3) 1-18 423 A Harford Tech ( 8- 4, 83.8) 3-19 509 A Rising Sun ( 8- 8, 77.9) 4-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Aberdeen                0- 4      -4    -2    -     -2.34
   324 A Fallston                2-14     -12   -16           0.00
   326 H Kent County             5- 9      -4    -5           0.62
   327 H Elkton                  8- 7       1     1           0.34
   402 A Bohemia Manor           6- 7      -1     1          -1.57
   407 H Perryville             10-13      -3    -3          -0.33
   410 A Rising Sun              3-16     -13    -6           0.00
   415 A Edgewood                8- 3       5     2    +      3.10
   422 H North Harford           1-18     -17   -12           0.00
   423 A Harford Tech            3-19     -16   -12           0.00
   509 A Rising Sun              4-13      -9    -6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Aberdeen                0- 4      -4    -2    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Edgewood                8- 3       5     2    +      3.10

North East Cecil Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Annapolis Area Christian   Annapolis Area Christian
Anne Arundel County Anne Arundel County   Anne Arundel County
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Beth TFiloh   Beth TFiloh
Bishop McNamara Bishop McNamara   Bishop McNamara
Brookewood SG Brookewood SG   Brookewood SG
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG   Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Bullis School   Bullis School
Calverton School North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Catholic High Baltimore Catholic High Baltimore   Catholic High Baltimore
Chapelgate Christian Chapelgate Christian   Chapelgate Christian
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Cristo Rey Jesuit   Cristo Rey Jesuit
DC International DC International   DC International
EL Haynes Charter North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Elizabeth Seton Elizabeth Seton   Elizabeth Seton
FCA FCA   FCA
Field School Field School   Field School
Friends School North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest   Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day School   Georgetown Day School
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School   Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Gunston Day School   Gunston Day School
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child   Holy Child
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Indian Creek Indian Creek   Indian Creek
Jackson-Reed Jackson-Reed   Jackson-Reed
Jemicy North East Cecil   North East Cecil
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Key School   Key School
KIPP College Prep KIPP College Prep   KIPP College Prep
Maret School Maret School   Maret School
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales   Mount de Sales
National Cathedral National Cathedral   National Cathedral
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Oldfields School   Oldfields School
Park School Park School   Park School
Rockbridge Academy North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country   Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends North East Cecil   North East Cecil
School Without Walls School Without Walls   School Without Walls
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Andrews Episcopal St Andrews Episcopal   St Andrews Episcopal
St James School St James School   St James School
St Johns Catholic Prep St Johns Catholic Prep   St Johns Catholic Prep
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys   St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Tome School insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Tome School
Washington Latin North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Aberdeen Aberdeen  
Academy for College & Ca North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Arundel   Arundel
Atholton Atholton   Atholton
Baltimore Polytechnic Baltimore Polytechnic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Baltimore Polytechnic
Bel Air Bel Air Bel Air   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Blair Blair   Blair
Blake Blake   Blake
Bohemia Manor Bohemia Manor Bohemia Manor  
Boonsboro Boonsboro   Boonsboro
Bowie Bowie   Bowie
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Brunswick   Brunswick
Calvert Calvert tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Calvert
Cambridge SD North East Cecil tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North East Cecil
Carver A&T Carver A&T   Carver A&T
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Central PG Central PG   Central PG
Century Century insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Century
CH Flowers North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC North East Cecil insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) North East Cecil
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg North East Cecil   North East Cecil
CM Wright CM Wright CM Wright   5- 0 vs 1- 4
CMIT North CMIT North tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) CMIT North
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Damascus   Damascus
Dr Henry Wise North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Dulaney Dulaney insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dulaney
Dundalk North East Cecil   North East Cecil
DuVal North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Eastern Technical Eastern Technical   Eastern Technical
Easton Easton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Easton
Edgewood North East Cecil North East Cecil  
Einstein North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Eleanor Roosevelt Eleanor Roosevelt   Eleanor Roosevelt
Elkton North East Cecil North East Cecil  
Fairmont Heights North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Fallston Fallston Fallston  
Francis Scott Key Francis Scott Key   Francis Scott Key
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Frederick   Frederick
Frederick Douglass PG North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Gaithersburg North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Glen Burnie Glen Burnie   Glen Burnie
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Gov Thomas Johnson   Gov Thomas Johnson
Great Mills Great Mills   Great Mills
Guilford Park North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Gwynn Park North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Hammond North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Harford Tech Harford Tech Harford Tech  
Havre De Grace Havre De Grace Havre De Grace   6- 2 vs 2- 6
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
Howard Howard   Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) JM Bennett
Kennedy North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Kent County Kent County Kent County  
Kent Island Kent Island insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kent Island
Kenwood North East Cecil insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) North East Cecil
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Lansdowne North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Laurel North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Loch Raven tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Loch Raven
Long Reach Long Reach   Long Reach
Magruder Magruder   Magruder
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Middletown Middletown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Middletown
Milford Mill Milford Mill   Milford Mill
MJ McDonough MJ McDonough   MJ McDonough
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron   Mount Hebron
New Town North East Cecil   North East Cecil
North Caroline North Caroline insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Caroline
North County North County   North County
North Dorchester North East Cecil tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North East Cecil
North Hagerstown North East Cecil   North East Cecil
North Harford North Harford North Harford  
North Point North Point   North Point
Northeast Northeast   Northeast
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Northwest   Northwest
Northwestern PG North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Northwood North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Oakdale Oakdale   Oakdale
Oakland Mills North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Old Mill Old Mill   Old Mill
Overlea North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Owings Mills North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Oxon Hill North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Paint Branch North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Parkdale North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Parkside Parkside tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Parkside
Parkville Parkville   Parkville
Patapsco North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Patterson Mill Patterson Mill Patterson Mill   4- 3 vs 0- 7
Patuxent Patuxent   Patuxent
Perry Hall Perry Hall tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Perry Hall
Perryville Perryville Perryville  
Pikesville Pikesville   Pikesville
Poolesville Poolesville   Poolesville
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Randallstown Randallstown   Randallstown
Reservoir Reservoir   Reservoir
Richard Montgomery Richard Montgomery   Richard Montgomery
Rising Sun Rising Sun Rising Sun  
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Seneca Valley North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Severn Run Severn Run   Severn Run
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg North East Cecil   North East Cecil
South Carroll South Carroll insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Carroll
South Hagerstown South Hagerstown   South Hagerstown
South River South River insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South River
Southern Southern insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Southern
Sparrows Point Sparrows Point tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sparrows Point
Springbrook North East Cecil   North East Cecil
St Charles North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Stephen Decatur
Suitland North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Thomas Stone Thomas Stone   Thomas Stone
Towson Towson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Towson
Tuscarora Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Urbana Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Western Baltimore North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Western STES North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Westlake North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Whitman Whitman   Whitman
Wicomico North East Cecil tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North East Cecil
Wilde Lake Wilde Lake   Wilde Lake
Winston Churchill Winston Churchill   Winston Churchill
Winters Mill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Woodlawn North East Cecil   North East Cecil
Wootton Wootton   Wootton

PowerWise = 57


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Aberdeen        ( 4- 9, 73.5)     0- 4      -26.39      11.53       0.45         1.09           -28.21
   0 A Fallston        (11- 6, 88.0)     2-14      -11.85      26.07       0.45         1.09           -12.40
   0 H Kent County     ( 7- 7, 77.4)     5- 9      -22.53      15.39      -0.45         1.09           -25.00
   0 H Elkton          ( 3- 8, 72.1)     8- 7      -27.81      10.11      -0.45         1.09            10.51
   0 A Bohemia Manor   ( 2- 8, 71.3)     6- 7      -28.61       9.31       0.45         1.09           -30.63
   0 H Perryville      ( 5- 6, 75.4)    10-13      -24.49      13.43      -0.45         1.09           -27.12
   0 A Rising Sun      ( 8- 8, 77.9)     3-16      -21.97      15.95       0.45         1.09           -23.41
   0 A Edgewood        ( 2-10, 70.0)     8- 3      -29.95       7.97       0.45         1.09             9.16
   0 H North Harford   ( 9- 5, 84.3)     1-18      -15.57      22.35      -0.45         1.09           -17.42
   0 A Harford Tech    ( 8- 4, 83.8)     3-19      -16.11      21.81       0.45         1.09           -17.03
   0 A Rising Sun      ( 8- 8, 77.9)     4-13      -21.97      15.95       0.45         1.09           -23.41
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -184.97

winning pts = 19.6683 losing points = -204.6360

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------