List of girl Div 111 Morgan School List of Team Values for CT Class S


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Valley Regional        13- 7       6     0    ++     5.16
   407 H Old Lyme                7-11      -4     0    --    -4.84
   410 A North Branford         12-10       2     0    +      2.84
   421 A East Catholic           4-15     -11     0    ---   -6.16
   423 A Cromwell               15- 4      11     0    +++    7.84
   427 H North Branford          4-12      -8     0    ---   -7.84
   430 H Haddam-Killingworth    17- 9       8     0    +++    6.16
   502 A Old Lyme                7-11      -4     0    -     -3.16
   505 A Valley Regional        10- 7       3     0    +      3.84
   506 H Griswold-Norwich Tech  20- 2      18     0    +++    6.16
   509 A North Haven             6- 9      -3     0          n/a  
   514 H Cromwell                8- 2       6     0    ++     5.16
   515 H Wheeler                12- 4       8     0    +++    6.16
   519 A Old Saybrook            3-10      -7     0    ---   -6.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A East Catholic           4-15     -11     0    ---   -6.16
   427 H North Branford          4-12      -8     0    ---   -7.84
   519 A Old Saybrook            3-10      -7     0    ---   -6.16
   407 H Old Lyme                7-11      -4     0    --    -4.84
   502 A Old Lyme                7-11      -4     0    -     -3.16
   509 A North Haven             6- 9      -3     0    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Cromwell               15- 4      11     0    +++    7.84
   430 H Haddam-Killingworth    17- 9       8     0    +++    6.16
   506 H Griswold-Norwich Tech  20- 2      18     0    +++    6.16
   515 H Wheeler                12- 4       8     0    +++    6.16
   404 H Valley Regional        13- 7       6     0    ++     5.16
   514 H Cromwell                8- 2       6     0    ++     5.16
   410 A North Branford         12-10       2     0    +      2.84
   505 A Valley Regional        10- 7       3     0    +      3.84



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating.............  0.00 Power Rank.................    12
 SOS (PR) Rating..........  0.00 SOS (PR) Rank..............    12
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5500 SOS (RPI) Rank.............     3
 RPI Rating............... .5233 RPI Rank...................    11
 Champ. Probability ......   1.1 Championship Rank .........    11
 Selection sum ...........    23 Selection Rank ............     3
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....   30. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........     7
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....   35. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........     9
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....   9.9 Ave Defensive Goals .......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    6.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3