List of girl Div 17 Mercy List of Team Values for Connecticut


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Lauralton Hall          8-10      -2    -5    +      3.40
   410 A Hamden                  9- 8       1     0           1.78
   411 H West Haven             10- 5       5     8    -     -2.00
   414 H Lyman Hall              8-11      -3     0    -     -2.56
   416 A West Haven             14- 9       5     6          -1.17
   417 H Foran                  10-11      -1    -2           1.75
   421 H Sheehan                 6- 5       1     0           0.45
   423 H RHAM                   12-11       1     2          -1.86
   428 A Shelton                11- 8       3     1           1.70
   502 A Jonathan Law           12- 6       6     6          -0.28
   505 A North Haven             9- 5       4     1    +      2.55
   507 A Lyman Hall              6- 6       0    -2    +      2.36
   508 A Foran                  10-18      -8    -4    -     -2.33
   512 H Jonathan Law           14- 7       7     8           0.00
   514 A Sheehan                 7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.63
   519 A Sacred Heart Academy   11-16      -5    -3          -1.17
   530 H Watertown              16- 7       9     6           0.81
   603 A Branford               10-18      -8   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H West Haven             10- 5       5     8    -     -2.00
   414 H Lyman Hall              8-11      -3     0    -     -2.56
   508 A Foran                  10-18      -8    -4    -     -2.33
   514 A Sheehan                 7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.63

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Lauralton Hall          8-10      -2    -5    +      3.40
   505 A North Haven             9- 5       4     1    +      2.55
   507 A Lyman Hall              6- 6       0    -2    +      2.36



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 66.52 Power Rank.................    51
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 35.72 SOS (PR) Rank..............    65
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5111 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    80
 RPI Rating............... .4685 RPI Rank...................    60
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    52
 Selection sum ...........   185 Selection Rank ............    63
 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -120. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    46
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -120. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    45
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  10.2 Ave Defensive Goals .......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3