---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls Liberty 1
  
Liberty               
W-L: (12- 5) PR = 91.3678

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Gerstell Academy (11- 4, 90.7) 9-10 325 H Westminster ( 8- 8, 90.4) 12- 7 327 H Urbana (12- 5, 90.2) 11- 8 328 A South Carroll (16- 3, 92.1) 8-11 401 A Walkersville ( 2-10, 75.6) 17- 2 403 A Manchester Valley (19- 0, 99.9) 5-14 408 H Francis Scott Key ( 3-11, 78.1) 17- 2 410 A Winters Mill ( 8- 9, 86.6) 16- 5 412 A Kent Island (13- 3, 90.1) 9- 8 412 A Queen Annes County (12- 2, 90.6) 7-11 415 H Boonsboro (10- 4, 80.7) 18- 4 417 A Winters Mill ( 8- 9, 86.6) 17- 8 422 H Century (12- 5, 91.5) 13- 5 424 A Oakdale ( 9- 5, 86.0) 16- 5 501 A Dulaney (11- 5, 90.9) 12-11 509 H Francis Scott Key ( 3-11, 78.1) 19- 4 512 A South Carroll (16- 3, 92.1) 2-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Gerstell Academy        9-10      -1     1    -     -2.09
   325 H Westminster            12- 7       5     1    +      3.55
   327 H Urbana                 11- 8       3     2           1.40
   328 A South Carroll           8-11      -3    -1          -1.81
   401 A Walkersville           17- 2      15    15           0.00
   403 A Manchester Valley       5-14      -9    -9           0.00
   408 H Francis Scott Key      17- 2      15    14           0.00
   410 A Winters Mill           16- 5      11     4           0.73
   412 A Kent Island             9- 8       1     1           0.19
   412 A Queen Annes County      7-11      -4     0    --    -4.35
   415 H Boonsboro              18- 4      14    11           0.00
   417 A Winters Mill           17- 8       9     4           0.73
   422 H Century                13- 5       8     0    ++     4.66
   424 A Oakdale                16- 5      11     5           0.08
   501 A Dulaney                12-11       1     0           1.03
   509 H Francis Scott Key      19- 4      15    14           0.00
   512 A South Carroll           2-14     -12    -1    -     -3.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Queen Annes County      7-11      -4     0    --    -4.35
   321 H Gerstell Academy        9-10      -1     1    -     -2.09
   512 A South Carroll           2-14     -12    -1    -     -3.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Century                13- 5       8     0    ++     4.66
   325 H Westminster            12- 7       5     1    +      3.55

Liberty Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Liberty   Liberty
Anne Arundel County Liberty   Liberty
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Liberty   Liberty
Bishop McNamara Liberty   Liberty
Brookewood SG Liberty   Liberty
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG   Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Liberty   Liberty
Calverton School Liberty   Liberty
Catholic High Baltimore Liberty   Liberty
Chapelgate Christian Liberty   Liberty
Concordia Prep Liberty tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Liberty
Cristo Rey Jesuit Liberty   Liberty
DC International Liberty   Liberty
EL Haynes Charter Liberty   Liberty
Elizabeth Seton Liberty   Liberty
FCA Liberty   Liberty
Field School Liberty   Liberty
Friends School Liberty   Liberty
Garrison Forest Liberty   Liberty
Georgetown Day School Liberty   Liberty
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy  
Glenelg Country School Liberty   Liberty
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Liberty   Liberty
Holton-Arms School Liberty   Liberty
Holy Child Liberty Liberty   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Holy Cross Liberty   Liberty
Indian Creek Liberty tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Liberty
Jackson-Reed Liberty   Liberty
Jemicy Liberty   Liberty
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Liberty   Liberty
KIPP College Prep Liberty   Liberty
Maret School Liberty   Liberty
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Mercy
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mount de Sales
National Cathedral Liberty   Liberty
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Liberty   Liberty
Park School Liberty tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Liberty
Rockbridge Academy Liberty   Liberty
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Liberty   Liberty
Sandy Spring Friends Liberty   Liberty
School Without Walls Liberty   Liberty
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Liberty   Liberty
St Andrews Episcopal Liberty   Liberty
St James School Liberty Liberty   3- 0 vs 1- 2
St Johns Catholic Prep Liberty tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Liberty
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Marys Ryken Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Liberty
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys Liberty tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Liberty
St Vincent Pallotti Liberty   Liberty
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Liberty tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Liberty
Tome School Liberty   Liberty
Washington Latin Liberty   Liberty
Worcester Prep Liberty   Liberty
Aberdeen Liberty   Liberty
Academy for College & Ca Liberty   Liberty
Annapolis Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Liberty
Arundel Liberty   Liberty
Atholton Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Liberty
Baltimore Polytechnic Liberty   Liberty
Bel Air Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Liberty
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Liberty   Liberty
Bladensburg Liberty   Liberty
Blair Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Liberty
Blake Liberty   Liberty
Bohemia Manor Liberty   Liberty
Boonsboro Liberty Liberty  
Bowie Liberty   Liberty
Broadneck Broadneck tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Broadneck
Brunswick Liberty Liberty   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Calvert Liberty   Liberty
Cambridge SD Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Liberty
Carver A&T Liberty   Liberty
Catoctin Liberty tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Liberty
Catonsville Liberty Liberty   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Centennial Liberty insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Liberty
Central PG Liberty   Liberty
Century Liberty Liberty  
CH Flowers Liberty   Liberty
Chesapeake AA Liberty   Liberty
Chesapeake BC Liberty   Liberty
Chopticon Liberty   Liberty
City College Liberty   Liberty
Clarksburg Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Liberty
CM Wright Liberty tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Liberty
CMIT North Liberty   Liberty
Crofton Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Liberty
Damascus Liberty   Liberty
Dr Henry Wise Liberty   Liberty
Dulaney Liberty Liberty  
Dundalk Liberty   Liberty
DuVal Liberty   Liberty
Eastern Technical Liberty   Liberty
Easton Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Liberty
Edgewood Liberty   Liberty
Einstein Liberty   Liberty
Eleanor Roosevelt Liberty   Liberty
Elkton Liberty   Liberty
Fairmont Heights Liberty   Liberty
Fallston Liberty Liberty   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Francis Scott Key Liberty Liberty  
Franklin Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Liberty
Frederick Liberty Liberty   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Frederick Douglass PG Liberty   Liberty
Gaithersburg Liberty   Liberty
Glen Burnie Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Liberty
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Liberty Liberty   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Great Mills Liberty   Liberty
Guilford Park Liberty   Liberty
Gwynn Park Liberty   Liberty
Hammond Liberty   Liberty
Harford Tech Liberty   Liberty
Havre De Grace Liberty   Liberty
Hereford Liberty Liberty   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Howard Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Liberty
Huntingtown Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Liberty
JM Bennett Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Liberty
Kennedy Liberty   Liberty
Kent County Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Liberty
Kent Island Liberty Liberty  
Kenwood Liberty   Liberty
La Plata Liberty   Liberty
Lackey Liberty   Liberty
Lansdowne Liberty   Liberty
Laurel Liberty   Liberty
Leonardtown Liberty tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Liberty
Linganore Liberty Liberty   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Loch Raven Liberty   Liberty
Long Reach Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Liberty
Magruder Liberty   Liberty
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley Manchester Valley  
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Marriotts Ridge
Meade Liberty   Liberty
Middletown Liberty insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) Liberty
Milford Mill Liberty   Liberty
MJ McDonough Liberty   Liberty
Mount Hebron Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Liberty
New Town Liberty   Liberty
North Caroline Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Liberty
North County Liberty   Liberty
North Dorchester Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Liberty
North East Cecil Liberty   Liberty
North Hagerstown Liberty Liberty   3- 0 vs 0- 3
North Harford Liberty   Liberty
North Point Liberty   Liberty
Northeast Liberty   Liberty
Northern Calvert Liberty   Liberty
Northwest Liberty   Liberty
Northwestern PG Liberty   Liberty
Northwood Liberty   Liberty
Oakdale Liberty Liberty  
Oakland Mills Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Liberty
Old Mill Liberty   Liberty
Overlea Liberty   Liberty
Owings Mills Liberty   Liberty
Oxon Hill Liberty   Liberty
Paint Branch Liberty   Liberty
Parkdale Liberty   Liberty
Parkside Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Liberty
Parkville Liberty   Liberty
Patapsco Liberty   Liberty
Patterson Mill Liberty   Liberty
Patuxent Liberty   Liberty
Perry Hall Liberty Liberty   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Perryville Liberty   Liberty
Pikesville Liberty   Liberty
Poolesville Liberty   Liberty
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County Queen Annes County  
Quince Orchard Liberty   Liberty
Randallstown Liberty   Liberty
Randallstown Liberty   Liberty
Reservoir Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Liberty
Richard Montgomery Liberty   Liberty
Rising Sun Liberty   Liberty
River Hill Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Liberty
Rockville Liberty   Liberty
Seneca Valley Liberty   Liberty
Severn Run Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Liberty
Severna Park Severna Park tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Severna Park
Sherwood Liberty   Liberty
Smithsburg Liberty Liberty   4- 0 vs 0- 4
South Carroll South Carroll South Carroll  
South Hagerstown Liberty   Liberty
South River South River tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) South River
Southern Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Liberty
Sparrows Point Liberty   Liberty
Springbrook Liberty   Liberty
St Charles Liberty   Liberty
Stephen Decatur Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Liberty
Suitland Liberty   Liberty
Thomas Stone Liberty   Liberty
Towson Towson insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) Towson
Tuscarora Liberty Liberty   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Urbana Liberty Liberty  
Walkersville Liberty Liberty  
Walter Johnson Liberty   Liberty
Watkins Mill Liberty   Liberty
Western Baltimore Liberty   Liberty
Western STES Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Liberty
Westlake Liberty   Liberty
Westminster Liberty Liberty  
Wheaton Liberty   Liberty
Whitman Liberty   Liberty
Wicomico Liberty insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Liberty
Wilde Lake Liberty   Liberty
Winston Churchill Liberty   Liberty
Winters Mill Liberty Liberty  
Woodlawn Liberty   Liberty
Wootton Liberty   Liberty

PowerWise = 195


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Gerstell Acade  (11- 4, 90.7)     9-10       -9.17      28.75      -0.45         0.70            -6.77
   0 H Westminster     ( 8- 8, 90.4)    12- 7       -9.53      28.39      -0.45         0.70            19.66
   0 H Urbana          (12- 5, 90.2)    11- 8       -9.68      28.24      -0.45         0.70            19.56
   0 A South Carroll   (16- 3, 92.1)     8-11       -7.79      30.13       0.45         0.70            -5.17
   0 A Walkersville    ( 2-10, 75.6)    17- 2      -24.35      13.57       0.45         0.70             9.87
   0 A Manchester Val  (19- 0, 99.9)     5-14       -0.00      37.92       0.45         0.70            -0.32
   0 H Francis Scott   ( 3-11, 78.1)    17- 2      -21.76      16.16      -0.45         0.70            11.06
   0 A Winters Mill    ( 8- 9, 86.6)    16- 5      -13.25      24.67       0.45         0.70            17.68
   0 A Kent Island     (13- 3, 90.1)     9- 8       -9.79      28.13       0.45         0.70            20.11
   0 A Queen Annes Co  (12- 2, 90.6)     7-11       -9.33      28.59       0.45         0.70            -6.25
   0 H Boonsboro       (10- 4, 80.7)    18- 4      -19.17      18.75      -0.45         0.70            12.88
   0 A Winters Mill    ( 8- 9, 86.6)    17- 8      -13.25      24.67       0.45         0.70            17.68
   0 H Century         (12- 5, 91.5)    13- 5       -8.42      29.50      -0.45         0.70            20.44
   0 A Oakdale         ( 9- 5, 86.0)    16- 5      -13.91      24.01       0.45         0.70            17.22
   0 A Dulaney         (11- 5, 90.9)    12-11       -8.96      28.96       0.45         0.70            20.70
   0 H Francis Scott   ( 3-11, 78.1)    19- 4      -21.76      16.16      -0.45         0.70            11.06
   0 A South Carroll   (16- 3, 92.1)     2-14       -7.79      30.13       0.45         0.70            -5.17
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       174.24

winning pts = 197.9030 losing points = -23.6643

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------