---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls Stephen Decatur 1
  
Stephen Decatur       
W-L: ( 8- 5) PR = 85.3775

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 324 H North Dorchester ( 2-11, 69.2) 25- 0 326 H Arundel ( 6- 7, 87.5) 10-14 328 H Kent Island (13- 3, 90.1) 9-12 402 A North Caroline ( 6- 5, 84.3) 12- 9 404 A Wicomico ( 0-11, 64.7) 20- 0 409 H Kent County ( 7- 7, 77.4) 18- 3 414 H Easton (10- 3, 88.9) 10-15 416 A Queen Annes County (12- 2, 90.6) 6-16 428 A JM Bennett ( 8- 6, 80.8) 17- 4 430 A Cambridge SD ( 2- 9, 72.1) 20- 0 502 H Parkside ( 4- 8, 76.3) 16- 3 512 H JM Bennett ( 8- 6, 80.8) 15- 7 514 A Kent Island (13- 3, 90.1) 5-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H North Dorchester       25- 0      25    17           0.00
   326 H Arundel                10-14      -4    -2    -     -2.33
   328 H Kent Island             9-12      -3    -4           1.29
   402 A North Caroline         12- 9       3     1    +      2.41
   404 A Wicomico               20- 0      20    20           0.00
   409 H Kent County            18- 3      15     8           0.00
   414 H Easton                 10-15      -5    -3          -1.93
   416 A Queen Annes County      6-16     -10    -6           0.00
   428 A JM Bennett             17- 4      13     4           0.83
   430 A Cambridge SD           20- 0      20    13           0.00
   502 H Parkside               16- 3      13    10           0.00
   512 H JM Bennett             15- 7       8     5           0.00
   514 A Kent Island             5-16     -11    -5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Arundel                10-14      -4    -2    -     -2.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A North Caroline         12- 9       3     1    +      2.41

Stephen Decatur Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Anne Arundel County Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Bishop McNamara Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Brookewood SG Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG   Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Bullis School   Bullis School
Calverton School Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Catholic High Baltimore Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Chapelgate Christian Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Concordia Prep Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Cristo Rey Jesuit Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
DC International Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
EL Haynes Charter Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Elizabeth Seton Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
FCA Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Field School Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Friends School Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest   Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School   Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child   Holy Child
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Indian Creek Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Jackson-Reed Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Jemicy Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
KIPP College Prep Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Maret School Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales   Mount de Sales
National Cathedral Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Park School Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Rockbridge Academy Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country   Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Stephen Decatur insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Stephen Decatur
Sandy Spring Friends Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
School Without Walls Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
St Andrews Episcopal Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
St James School Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
St Johns Catholic Prep Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Marys Ryken Stephen Decatur tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stephen Decatur
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys   St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Stephen Decatur tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stephen Decatur
Tome School Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Washington Latin Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Worcester Prep Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Aberdeen Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Academy for College & Ca Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Annapolis Stephen Decatur tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stephen Decatur
Arundel Arundel Arundel  
Atholton Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Baltimore Polytechnic Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Bladensburg Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Blair Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Blake Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Bohemia Manor Stephen Decatur insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Stephen Decatur
Boonsboro Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Bowie Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Broadneck Broadneck insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Broadneck
Brunswick Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Calvert Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Cambridge SD Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur  
Carver A&T Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Catoctin Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Centennial
Central PG Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Chopticon Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
City College Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Clarksburg Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
CMIT North Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Crofton Crofton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Crofton
Damascus Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Dr Henry Wise Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dundalk Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
DuVal Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Eastern Technical Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Easton Easton Easton  
Edgewood Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Einstein Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Eleanor Roosevelt Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Elkton Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Fairmont Heights Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Francis Scott Key Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Franklin Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Frederick Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Frederick Douglass PG Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Gaithersburg Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Glen Burnie Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Great Mills Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Guilford Park Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Gwynn Park Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Hammond Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Harford Tech Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Havre De Grace Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
Howard Howard insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur  
Kennedy Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Kent County Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur  
Kent Island Kent Island Kent Island  
Kenwood Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
La Plata Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Lackey Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Lansdowne Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Laurel Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Long Reach Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Magruder Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Marriotts Ridge
Meade Stephen Decatur tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stephen Decatur
Middletown Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Milford Mill Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
MJ McDonough Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron   Mount Hebron
New Town Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
North Caroline Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur  
North County Stephen Decatur tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stephen Decatur
North Dorchester Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur  
North East Cecil Stephen Decatur insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Stephen Decatur
North Hagerstown Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
North Harford Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
North Point Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Northeast Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Northwestern PG Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Northwood Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Oakdale Oakdale   Oakdale
Oakland Mills Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Old Mill Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Overlea Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Owings Mills Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Oxon Hill Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Paint Branch Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Parkdale Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Parkside Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur  
Parkville Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Patapsco Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Patterson Mill Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Patuxent Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Perry Hall Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Perryville Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Pikesville Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Poolesville Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County Queen Annes County  
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Randallstown Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Reservoir Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Richard Montgomery Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Rising Sun Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Seneca Valley Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Severn Run Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Severna Park Severna Park insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
South Carroll South Carroll   South Carroll
South Hagerstown Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
South River South River insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) South River
Southern Southern tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Southern
Sparrows Point Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Springbrook Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
St Charles Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Thomas Stone Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Urbana Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Walter Johnson Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Watkins Mill Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Western Baltimore Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Western STES Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Westlake Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Whitman Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Wicomico Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur  
Wilde Lake Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Winston Churchill Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Winters Mill Winters Mill   Winters Mill
Woodlawn Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Wootton Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur

PowerWise = 160


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H North Dorchest  ( 2-11, 69.2)    25- 0      -30.74       7.18      -0.45         0.92             6.20
   0 H Arundel         ( 6- 7, 87.5)    10-14      -12.41      25.51      -0.45         0.92           -11.83
   0 H Kent Island     (13- 3, 90.1)     9-12       -9.79      28.13      -0.45         0.92            -9.42
   0 A North Caroline  ( 6- 5, 84.3)    12- 9      -15.56      22.36       0.45         0.92            20.99
   0 A Wicomico        ( 0-11, 64.7)    20- 0      -35.23       2.69       0.45         0.92             2.89
   0 H Kent County     ( 7- 7, 77.4)    18- 3      -22.53      15.39      -0.45         0.92            13.75
   0 H Easton          (10- 3, 88.9)    10-15      -11.01      26.91      -0.45         0.92           -10.54
   0 A Queen Annes Co  (12- 2, 90.6)     6-16       -9.33      28.59       0.45         0.92            -8.17
   0 A JM Bennett      ( 8- 6, 80.8)    17- 4      -19.14      18.78       0.45         0.92            17.70
   0 A Cambridge SD    ( 2- 9, 72.1)    20- 0      -27.80      10.12       0.45         0.92             9.73
   0 H Parkside        ( 4- 8, 76.3)    16- 3      -23.61      14.31      -0.45         0.92            12.75
   0 H JM Bennett      ( 8- 6, 80.8)    15- 7      -19.14      18.78      -0.45         0.92            16.87
   0 A Kent Island     (13- 3, 90.1)     5-16       -9.79      28.13       0.45         0.92            -8.59
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        52.32

winning pts = 100.8775 losing points = -48.5580

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------