List of girl Div 40 Croatan List of Team Values for North Carolina


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A New Bern                9- 8       1     6    --    -5.75
   228 H Hoggard                15- 7       8     1    ++     5.86
   306 A Ashley                  7-10      -3     1    --    -4.19
   313 A Swansboro              13- 3      10     4    +      2.51
   314 H JH Rose                16- 7       9     5           1.13
   316 H Wakefield              17-15       2     2          -0.15
   319 H Swansboro              14- 4      10     4    +      2.11
   320 H Laney                   7-10      -3    -2          -0.02
   322 A First Flight            5-10      -5     2    ---   -7.01
   326 H New Bern               15- 9       6     7          -1.00
   409 H White Oak              13- 0      13    26           0.00
   413 A Union Pines             5-15     -10    -7           0.00
   416 A White Oak              16- 1      15    25           0.00
   418 A Topsail                 6-17     -11   -11           0.00
   425 H Northside              13- 2      11    17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A First Flight            5-10      -5     2    ---   -7.01
   226 A New Bern                9- 8       1     6    --    -5.75
   306 A Ashley                  7-10      -3     1    --    -4.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Hoggard                15- 7       8     1    ++     5.86
   313 A Swansboro              13- 3      10     4    +      2.51
   319 H Swansboro              14- 4      10     4    +      2.11



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 77.51 Power Rank.................    22
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 45.53 SOS (PR) Rank..............    31
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5971 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    44
 RPI Rating............... .6084 RPI Rank...................    21
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    41
 Selection sum ...........   108 Selection Rank ............    31
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  -35. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    39
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  -45. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    43
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  11.4 Ave Defensive Goals .......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0