List of Probabilities for Virginia
Virginia Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Paul VI 11 3 1 2 5 8 22.00
2 Christchurch 9 4 19 21 25 65 12.00
3 Collegiate Schoo 11 1 6 12 3 21 11.00
4 Robinson 11 0 4 14 1 19 9.00
5 Atlee 7 2 2 5 6 13 5.00
6 Blue Ridge Schoo 8 6 16 4 13 33 5.00
7 Episcopal 7 6 50 56 64 170 4.00
8 Catholic HS 10 3 14 35 11 60 3.00
9 Norfolk Academy 10 4 45 79 29 153 3.00
10 St Annes-Belfiel 6 7 12 1 12 25 3.00
11 Jamestown LC 7 0 31 111 14 156 2.00
12 Langley 8 3 13 34 10 57 2.00
13 Madison 6 5 11 9 36 56 2.00
14 Midlothian 7 0 7 58 17 82 2.00
15 Riverside 7 2 3 8 4 15 2.00
16 Salem 9 0 9 40 8 57 2.00
17 Battlefield 8 0 10 41 7 58 0.00
18 Briar Woods 6 3 21 20 48 89 0.00
19 Douglas Freeman 7 2 8 11 40 59 0.00
20 EC Glass 7 2 34 61 33 128 0.00
21 Hayfield 9 0 37 116 9 162 0.00
22 McLean 9 3 24 48 27 99 0.00
23 Nansemond-Suffol 8 3 17 49 22 88 0.00
24 Potomac School 7 6 59 17 102 178 0.00
25 St Christophers 4 8 103 66 110 279 0.00
26 Woodberry Forest 4 9 96 122 111 329 0.00
27 Yorktown 6 4 29 28 50 107 0.00
28 Albemarle 4 5 55 26 98 179 0.00
29 Alexandria City 2 9 100 31 168 299 0.00
30 Annandale 2 6 142 131 146 419 0.00
31 Bayside 2 2 146 161 61 368 0.00
32 Benedictine 3 9 136 53 170 359 0.00
33 Bishop Ireton 7 8 78 154 80 312 0.00
34 Bishop OConnell 3 9 69 43 81 193 0.00
35 Blacksburg 5 3 104 141 62 307 0.00
36 Brentsville 8 2 33 69 42 144 0.00
37 Broad Run 9 1 38 101 19 158 0.00
38 Brooke Point 7 3 93 142 63 298 0.00
39 Cape Henry Colle 4 7 68 22 141 231 0.00
40 Cave Spring 4 3 120 148 76 344 0.00
41 Centreville 2 9 109 38 166 313 0.00
42 Chantilly 8 4 26 25 69 120 0.00
43 Charlottesville 1 7 153 143 160 456 0.00
44 Christiansburg 0 6 152 115 149 416 0.00
45 Clover Hill 3 5 127 68 127 322 0.00
46 Colgan 6 4 67 94 91 252 0.00
47 Colonial Forge 8 2 36 76 26 138 0.00
48 Cosby 5 2 20 27 43 90 0.00
49 Covenant School 3 4 76 64 84 224 0.00
50 Cox 6 1 35 89 23 147 0.00
51 Culpeper County 2 8 139 120 167 426 0.00
52 Deep Run 3 4 39 47 82 168 0.00
53 Dominion 3 5 30 7 99 136 0.00
54 Eastern View 2 5 148 146 132 426 0.00
55 Edison 3 7 116 102 155 373 0.00
56 Fairfax 4 6 95 90 128 313 0.00
57 Falls Church 4 6 134 138 144 416 0.00
58 Fauquier 2 6 44 6 122 172 0.00
59 First Colonial 2 5 105 78 133 316 0.00
60 Fishburne Milita 0 3 172 168 71 411 0.00
61 Flint Hill 7 6 75 73 77 225 0.00
62 Fluvanna County 3 4 138 147 105 390 0.00
63 Forest Park 10 2 43 55 20 118 0.00
64 Fork Union Milit 0 7 166 151 161 478 0.00
65 Franklin County 2 6 107 109 137 353 0.00
66 Fredericksburg A 3 5 158 164 129 451 0.00
67 Fredericksburg C 4 5 121 119 123 363 0.00
68 Freedom South R 11 0 5 16 2 23 0.00
69 Freedom Woodbri 0 4 167 160 117 444 0.00
70 Gainesville 6 5 60 36 85 181 0.00
71 Gar-field 2 11 140 57 175 372 0.00
72 Glen Allen 4 4 80 92 92 264 0.00
73 Goochland 4 3 129 124 78 331 0.00
74 Grafton LC 3 4 99 97 100 296 0.00
75 Grassfield LC 0 6 135 50 150 335 0.00
76 Green Run 0 6 143 83 152 378 0.00
77 Handley 8 2 118 156 65 339 0.00
78 Hanover 5 2 53 81 41 175 0.00
79 Heritage Leesbu 0 7 128 42 162 332 0.00
80 Herndon 4 5 70 54 112 236 0.00
81 Hickory LC 4 2 66 106 51 223 0.00
82 Hidden Valley 0 7 159 139 163 461 0.00
83 Highland School 2 3 151 163 86 400 0.00
84 Highland Springs 0 5 161 149 142 452 0.00
85 Hylton 7 4 85 113 87 285 0.00
86 Independence 5 2 23 32 44 99 0.00
87 James Monroe 8 3 87 121 66 274 0.00
88 James River 3 5 63 39 113 215 0.00
89 Jefferson Forest 6 3 51 65 59 175 0.00
90 John Champe 5 5 73 75 93 241 0.00
91 Justice 8 1 101 162 21 284 0.00
92 Kellam 7 1 48 137 15 200 0.00
93 Kempsville 3 4 115 123 106 344 0.00
94 Kettle Run 2 5 97 99 134 330 0.00
95 Lafayette LC 7 1 32 87 16 135 0.00
96 Lake Braddock 7 4 74 104 94 272 0.00
97 Landstown 1 5 163 158 138 459 0.00
98 Lewis 2 7 154 155 157 466 0.00
99 Liberty Bealeto 7 2 42 77 49 168 0.00
100 Lightridge 3 6 94 59 139 292 0.00
101 Loudoun County 5 5 84 98 118 300 0.00
102 Loudoun Valley 5 4 71 86 96 253 0.00
103 Manchester 6 2 40 63 45 148 0.00
104 Marshall 2 7 113 80 153 346 0.00
105 Massaponax 0 11 144 60 176 380 0.00
106 Matoaca 0 7 160 140 164 464 0.00
107 Maury LC 1 6 111 52 147 310 0.00
108 Mechanicsville 5 2 117 159 52 328 0.00
109 Menchville LC 5 3 77 108 70 255 0.00
110 Meridian 6 1 18 24 28 70 0.00
111 Mills Godwin 3 4 102 112 101 315 0.00
112 Monacan 5 4 86 107 88 281 0.00
113 Monticello 5 2 57 105 53 215 0.00
114 Mount Vernon 1 9 164 153 171 488 0.00
115 Mountain View 8 2 61 117 46 224 0.00
116 New Covenant Sch 4 4 122 144 79 345 0.00
117 Norfolk Christia 5 10 137 133 165 435 0.00
118 Norfolk Collegia 5 5 58 44 107 209 0.00
119 North Cross Scho 5 5 15 3 55 73 0.00
120 North Stafford 2 7 141 125 158 424 0.00
121 Oakton 7 3 47 62 67 176 0.00
122 Ocean Lakes 3 4 89 88 108 285 0.00
123 Orange County 4 5 90 91 124 305 0.00
124 Osbourn 0 9 157 132 169 458 0.00
125 Osbourn Park 2 8 114 74 156 344 0.00
126 Park View 4 6 145 150 145 440 0.00
127 Patrick Henry A 1 5 150 129 140 419 0.00
128 Patrick Henry R 6 0 25 103 18 146 0.00
129 Patriot 6 3 28 33 56 117 0.00
130 Potomac Falls 3 5 132 130 130 392 0.00
131 Potomac-Dumfries 2 10 156 134 174 464 0.00
132 Powhatan 1 4 62 19 109 190 0.00
133 Princess Anne 4 2 92 136 57 285 0.00
134 Riverbend 2 5 123 135 135 393 0.00
135 Roanoke Catholic 1 0 168 172 30 370 0.00
136 Rock Ridge 0 9 147 95 173 415 0.00
137 Rockbridge Count 2 5 81 30 125 236 0.00
138 Rockingham LC 3 6 169 166 114 449 0.00
139 Salem Virginia B 1 0 162 169 31 362 0.00
140 Seton School 9 2 52 85 47 184 0.00
141 South County 7 4 56 67 72 195 0.00
142 South Lakes 6 5 64 51 115 230 0.00
143 St John Paul the 2 9 130 84 172 386 0.00
144 St Stephen-St Ag 4 12 83 13 119 215 0.00
145 Stafford 2 5 131 110 136 377 0.00
146 Steward School 4 4 110 145 89 344 0.00
147 Stone Bridge 3 4 46 18 73 137 0.00
148 Strasburg LC 2 3 124 173 32 329 0.00
149 Tabb LC 3 2 49 46 58 153 0.00
150 Tallwood 0 5 171 167 126 464 0.00
151 Tandem Friends 0 4 170 165 120 455 0.00
152 Thomas Dale 2 3 149 157 90 396 0.00
153 Thomas Jefferson 1 3 112 93 95 300 0.00
154 Trinity Christia 6 3 91 126 74 291 0.00
155 Trinity Episcopa 6 6 82 45 121 248 0.00
156 Trinity Meadow V 4 5 98 127 103 328 0.00
157 Tuscarora 2 7 126 96 154 376 0.00
158 Unity Reed 7 4 133 152 75 360 0.00
159 Virginia Academy 0 5 155 128 143 426 0.00
160 Virginia Episcop 4 4 41 10 68 119 0.00
161 Wakefield HS 4 7 125 118 148 391 0.00
162 Washington-Liber 4 4 79 72 97 248 0.00
163 West Potomac 7 4 27 29 24 80 0.00
164 West Springfield 3 5 88 70 131 289 0.00
165 Western Albemarl 4 3 22 15 60 97 0.00
166 Westfield 6 5 65 71 104 240 0.00
167 William Byrd 3 5 106 100 116 322 0.00
168 Woodbridge 7 8 119 82 159 360 0.00
169 Woodgrove 7 3 72 114 54 240 0.00
170 Woodson 6 5 54 37 83 174 0.00
171 York LC 0 6 108 23 151 282 0.00
172 Eukarya Christia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
173 Lloyd C Bird 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
174 Wakefield Countr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
175 Wakefield School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
176 William Fleming 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00