List of Probabilities for Maryland
Maryland Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Boys Latin 9 1 2 2 6 10 17.00
2 Calvert Hall 7 4 12 206 25 243 12.00
3 McDonogh 7 3 33 4 80 117 11.00
4 Bullis 9 3 38 34 93 165 10.00
5 Gilman 9 2 5 32 7 44 9.00
6 Archbishop Spald 8 4 28 18 101 147 7.00
7 Landon 12 2 30 118 20 168 5.00
8 Gonzaga 8 4 44 21 88 153 4.00
9 Georgetown Prep 7 4 46 48 107 201 3.00
10 St Johns College 4 4 7 1 89 97 3.00
11 Towson 8 0 3 25 2 30 3.00
12 Good Counsel 11 2 72 124 71 267 2.00
13 Loyola-Blakefiel 4 6 92 36 149 277 2.00
14 St Marys Annapol 3 10 104 6 214 324 2.00
15 St Pauls 6 3 35 3 65 103 2.00
16 DeMatha 5 5 75 83 115 273 0.00
17 Mount St Joseph 7 5 42 66 150 258 0.00
18 Severn School 5 8 63 73 173 309 0.00
19 Broadneck 7 1 4 8 9 21 0.00
20 Fallston 6 4 19 22 23 64 0.00
21 Severna Park 9 1 6 91 4 101 0.00
22 South River 8 1 1 11 3 15 0.00
23 Urbana 10 0 10 50 1 61 0.00
24 Annapolis Area C 3 5 116 75 170 361 0.00
25 Archbishop Curle 5 5 81 67 114 262 0.00
26 Beth TFiloh 3 7 171 157 209 537 0.00
27 Bishop McNamara 3 5 69 30 157 256 0.00
28 Chapelgate Chris 1 4 209 196 171 576 0.00
29 Concordia Prep 7 2 95 156 31 282 0.00
30 Cristo Rey Jesui 0 4 193 139 180 512 0.00
31 FCA LC 1 2 177 171 102 450 0.00
32 Friends 4 2 101 134 79 314 0.00
33 Gerstell Academy 3 4 107 78 158 343 0.00
34 Glenelg Country 3 2 98 113 70 281 0.00
35 Gunston School 1 8 212 203 181 596 0.00
36 Heights 4 7 137 117 203 457 0.00
37 Indian Creek Sch 3 6 148 122 205 475 0.00
38 John Carroll 3 7 36 5 172 213 0.00
39 Key School 3 4 182 186 159 527 0.00
40 Maret 3 10 131 148 125 404 0.00
41 Mercersburg Acad 0 7 189 209 108 506 0.00
42 Mount Carmel 0 4 206 181 182 569 0.00
43 Park School 4 4 78 63 131 272 0.00
44 Sandy Spring Fri 0 3 213 205 141 559 0.00
45 Sidwell Friends 7 4 146 126 116 388 0.00
46 St Albans 6 8 115 115 165 395 0.00
47 St Andrews Episc 2 5 153 102 166 421 0.00
48 St James 7 4 99 164 109 372 0.00
49 St Johns Catholi 7 0 20 85 8 113 0.00
50 St Marys Ryken 5 6 106 108 151 365 0.00
51 St Vincent Pallo 1 4 149 84 152 385 0.00
52 Sts Peter & Paul 6 3 57 94 73 224 0.00
53 Tome School 1 3 197 199 138 534 0.00
54 Worcester Prep 1 5 173 185 174 532 0.00
55 Aberdeen 2 5 134 87 167 388 0.00
56 Academy for Coll 4 0 17 70 19 106 0.00
57 Annapolis 5 1 74 150 37 261 0.00
58 Arundel 1 6 129 41 190 360 0.00
59 Atholton 4 4 133 138 153 424 0.00
60 Baltimore Polyte 4 1 80 183 56 319 0.00
61 Bel Air 5 4 61 27 90 178 0.00
62 Bethesda-Chevy C 4 4 47 20 117 184 0.00
63 Bladensburg 2 1 158 188 66 412 0.00
64 Blair 2 4 120 71 154 345 0.00
65 Blake 6 3 87 121 103 311 0.00
66 Bohemia Manor 2 4 152 128 142 422 0.00
67 Boonsboro 1 6 174 119 210 503 0.00
68 Bowie 3 2 62 58 91 211 0.00
69 Brunswick 2 4 126 55 132 313 0.00
70 Calvert 4 3 77 56 118 251 0.00
71 Cambridge SD 1 3 175 146 139 460 0.00
72 Carver A&T 0 4 178 82 183 443 0.00
73 Catoctin 5 2 102 143 74 319 0.00
74 Catonsville 6 2 34 53 38 125 0.00
75 Centennial 7 1 51 86 13 150 0.00
76 Century 4 5 68 37 143 248 0.00
77 CH Flowers 4 1 67 161 57 285 0.00
78 Chesapeake AA 8 2 22 47 16 85 0.00
79 Chesapeake BC 1 4 167 116 175 458 0.00
80 Chopticon 5 1 8 17 39 64 0.00
81 City College 5 3 66 112 110 288 0.00
82 Clarksburg 1 7 170 100 218 488 0.00
83 CM Wright 6 3 9 7 58 74 0.00
84 Crofton 7 1 15 39 22 76 0.00
85 Damascus 5 2 37 45 62 144 0.00
86 Digital Harbor 1 2 73 200 104 377 0.00
87 Dr Henry Wise 1 5 160 49 197 406 0.00
88 Dulaney 5 5 40 14 133 187 0.00
89 Dunbar 0 2 207 193 111 511 0.00
90 Dundalk 1 5 151 80 184 415 0.00
91 DuVal 1 2 141 44 105 290 0.00
92 Eastern Tech 4 3 128 149 119 396 0.00
93 Easton 5 1 21 51 17 89 0.00
94 Edgewood 0 7 208 184 220 612 0.00
95 Edmondson-Westsi 0 5 185 178 200 563 0.00
96 Einstein 7 0 64 173 10 247 0.00
97 Eleanor Roosevel 4 1 79 175 59 313 0.00
98 Elkton 1 8 172 127 215 514 0.00
99 Fairmont Heights 0 3 196 144 144 484 0.00
100 Forest Park 4 3 100 97 120 317 0.00
101 Francis Scott Ke 4 4 161 166 155 482 0.00
102 Franklin 3 3 54 28 126 208 0.00
103 Frederick 1 6 199 194 211 604 0.00
104 Frederick Dougla 1 2 114 61 106 281 0.00
105 Gaithersburg 2 5 176 158 192 526 0.00
106 Glen Burnie 5 3 108 145 94 347 0.00
107 Glenelg HS 5 3 27 19 67 113 0.00
108 Gov Thomas Johns 1 9 169 77 216 462 0.00
109 Great Mills 2 7 159 120 206 485 0.00
110 Gwynn Park 2 3 125 99 134 358 0.00
111 Hammond 1 5 179 109 198 486 0.00
112 Harford Tech 5 3 82 105 81 268 0.00
113 Havre De Grace 4 2 55 65 63 183 0.00
114 Hereford 7 1 11 29 18 58 0.00
115 Howard 7 2 60 104 26 190 0.00
116 Huntingtown 7 1 25 64 14 103 0.00
117 JM Bennett 3 4 154 130 168 452 0.00
118 Joppatowne 1 4 200 189 176 565 0.00
119 Kennedy 2 4 168 141 169 478 0.00
120 Kent County 3 4 135 129 160 424 0.00
121 Kent Island 4 4 70 60 68 198 0.00
122 Kenwood 3 4 145 135 161 441 0.00
123 La Plata 4 2 111 152 82 345 0.00
124 Lackey 2 2 121 123 95 339 0.00
125 Lake Clifton/Rea 2 3 192 190 135 517 0.00
126 Lansdowne 5 1 89 165 43 297 0.00
127 Laurel 3 4 76 42 162 280 0.00
128 Leonardtown 4 2 32 69 83 184 0.00
129 Liberty 5 4 117 107 145 369 0.00
130 Linganore 7 1 23 62 15 100 0.00
131 Loch Raven 3 4 71 38 136 245 0.00
132 Long Reach 1 5 184 147 199 530 0.00
133 Magruder 7 0 59 163 11 233 0.00
134 Manchester Valle 3 4 94 57 146 297 0.00
135 Marriotts Ridge 3 3 29 9 60 98 0.00
136 Meade 0 5 198 167 193 558 0.00
137 Mergenthaler 0 2 88 198 112 398 0.00
138 Middletown 4 3 65 110 75 250 0.00
139 MJ McDonough 0 4 180 88 185 453 0.00
140 Mount Hebron 4 6 53 15 127 195 0.00
141 New Town 1 3 143 162 140 445 0.00
142 North Caroline 2 1 183 155 69 407 0.00
143 North County 2 6 96 24 163 283 0.00
144 North East Cecil 2 7 188 172 217 577 0.00
145 North Hagerstown 3 4 157 160 164 481 0.00
146 North Harford 2 7 103 23 207 333 0.00
147 North Point 1 4 142 159 177 478 0.00
148 Northeast AA 5 2 127 179 76 382 0.00
149 Northern Calvert 5 2 14 33 46 93 0.00
150 Northwest 5 3 91 114 113 318 0.00
151 Northwestern PG 0 4 201 176 186 563 0.00
152 Northwood 4 3 112 125 121 358 0.00
153 Oakdale 4 3 56 46 77 179 0.00
154 Oakland Mills 0 9 186 106 223 515 0.00
155 Old Mill 0 6 164 54 208 426 0.00
156 Overlea 1 6 191 170 212 573 0.00
157 Owings Mills 1 6 166 93 213 472 0.00
158 Oxon Hill 6 1 41 90 27 158 0.00
159 Paint Branch 3 4 150 151 147 448 0.00
160 Parkdale 2 2 119 136 96 351 0.00
161 Parkside 3 3 83 68 128 279 0.00
162 Parkville 2 5 195 191 194 580 0.00
163 Patapsco 4 3 140 168 122 430 0.00
164 Patterson HS 4 2 155 195 84 434 0.00
165 Patterson Mill 7 0 24 98 12 134 0.00
166 Patuxent 3 3 105 95 129 329 0.00
167 Perry Hall 3 3 93 72 97 262 0.00
168 Perryville 6 1 124 192 47 363 0.00
169 Pikesville 5 2 48 101 48 197 0.00
170 Poolesville 4 3 86 92 98 276 0.00
171 Queen Annes Coun 4 4 85 111 72 268 0.00
172 Quince Orchard 3 4 39 10 130 179 0.00
173 Randallstown 4 1 84 153 61 298 0.00
174 Reservoir 4 5 147 132 178 457 0.00
175 Richard Montgome 6 1 97 174 28 299 0.00
176 Rising Sun 5 3 130 169 92 391 0.00
177 River Hill 4 6 110 76 204 390 0.00
178 Rockville 2 3 136 103 123 362 0.00
179 Seneca Valley 2 5 165 131 195 491 0.00
180 Sherwood 7 1 18 43 24 85 0.00
181 Smithsburg 8 0 45 137 5 187 0.00
182 South Carroll 2 5 132 79 187 398 0.00
183 South Hagerstown 1 4 181 142 179 502 0.00
184 Southern AA 2 4 90 35 85 210 0.00
185 Sparrows Point 3 4 43 13 148 204 0.00
186 Springbrook 1 7 139 52 219 410 0.00
187 St Charles 1 0 138 202 29 369 0.00
188 Stephen Decatur 4 2 26 26 86 138 0.00
189 Suitland 2 3 187 197 137 521 0.00
190 Surrattsville 2 2 204 204 99 507 0.00
191 Thomas Stone 0 5 205 180 201 586 0.00
192 Tuscarora 3 6 109 59 189 357 0.00
193 Walkersville 3 5 122 89 191 402 0.00
194 Walt Whitman 6 1 13 31 21 65 0.00
195 Walter Johnson 5 2 31 40 64 135 0.00
196 Watkins Mill 0 7 194 140 221 555 0.00
197 Western STES 4 2 113 154 87 354 0.00
198 Westlake 1 3 210 201 124 535 0.00
199 Westminster 3 5 49 12 156 217 0.00
200 Wheaton 0 9 190 133 222 545 0.00
201 Wicomico 0 4 203 177 188 568 0.00
202 Wilde Lake 3 6 123 74 202 399 0.00
203 Winston Churchil 5 2 16 16 49 81 0.00
204 Winters Mill 5 2 58 81 78 217 0.00
205 Woodlawn 5 1 118 187 50 355 0.00
206 Wootton 2 5 144 96 196 436 0.00
207 DC International 3 7 162 182 100 444 0.00
208 Jackson Reed 1 1 202 220 30 452 0.00
209 Georgetown Day 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
210 Jemicy School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
211 Salisbury School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
212 St Maria Goretti 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
213 West Nottingham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
214 Frederick Dougla 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
215 Friendly 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
216 High Point 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
217 Milford Mill 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
218 National Academy 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
219 Archbishop Carro 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
220 Capital City PCS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
221 KIPP College Pre 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
222 Lab School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
223 School Without W 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00