List of Probabilities for California
California Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St Margarets Epi 8 1 1 3 1 5 13.00
2 Loyola Los Ange 9 2 12 9 53 74 12.00
3 Torrey Pines 6 2 4 5 15 24 10.00
4 Redwood 7 2 8 22 11 41 8.00
5 Santa Fe Christi 5 2 46 85 61 192 7.00
6 Sacred Heart Pre 7 3 19 18 10 47 5.00
7 St Ignatius Prep 8 0 3 15 2 20 5.00
8 JSerra Catholic 9 0 10 61 4 75 5.00
9 Westlake 8 2 11 21 6 38 5.00
10 Marin Academy 7 3 14 12 27 53 4.00
11 Crespi 9 4 37 41 66 144 4.00
12 Marin Catholic 8 3 6 2 17 25 3.00
13 Bishops School 5 3 9 8 56 73 3.00
14 La Costa Canyon 5 3 15 27 22 64 3.00
15 Whitney 7 1 32 83 24 139 2.00
16 Francis Parker 7 0 13 65 14 92 2.00
17 Granite Bay 5 4 21 6 98 125 0.00
18 San Ramon Valley 7 4 47 32 100 179 0.00
19 St Francis-Mtn V 6 3 29 28 74 131 0.00
20 Agoura 9 2 41 69 49 159 0.00
21 Canyon 9 3 24 19 50 93 0.00
22 Los Alamitos 6 7 27 14 138 179 0.00
23 Mater Dei Santa 7 2 2 7 13 22 0.00
24 Santa Margarita 8 2 7 1 26 34 0.00
25 Coronado 8 4 50 35 142 227 0.00
26 Acalanes 0 9 226 109 284 619 0.00
27 Alhambra 3 7 243 247 258 748 0.00
28 Amador Valley 5 4 101 111 164 376 0.00
29 Archie Williams 0 2 276 274 117 667 0.00
30 Bear River 4 4 251 272 177 700 0.00
31 Bella Vista 3 6 120 59 225 404 0.00
32 Berkeley 8 5 123 92 185 400 0.00
33 Bishop ODowd 4 3 93 104 130 327 0.00
34 Branson 1 5 250 239 219 708 0.00
35 California 2 6 174 103 239 516 0.00
36 Campolindo 6 3 92 155 105 352 0.00
37 Cardinal Newman 9 2 53 118 58 229 0.00
38 Casa Grande 3 4 140 124 186 450 0.00
39 Christian Brothe 8 2 82 185 62 329 0.00
40 Clayton Valley C 3 8 176 84 272 532 0.00
41 College Park 3 7 236 238 259 733 0.00
42 Davis 7 3 62 101 83 246 0.00
43 De LaSalle 7 3 40 56 16 112 0.00
44 Del Oro 4 3 133 173 84 390 0.00
45 Dougherty Valley 1 9 238 186 283 707 0.00
46 Dublin 1 7 192 107 267 566 0.00
47 Folsom 1 6 160 54 231 445 0.00
48 Foothill Pleasa 7 3 58 95 97 250 0.00
49 Granada 5 5 139 160 204 503 0.00
50 Grant Union 3 6 239 246 232 717 0.00
51 Jesuit Sacramen 5 3 67 82 77 226 0.00
52 Justin Siena 7 3 36 47 59 142 0.00
53 Las Lomas 4 7 194 204 255 653 0.00
54 Lick Wilmerding 0 3 233 212 165 610 0.00
55 Lincoln Stockto 3 7 214 221 260 695 0.00
56 Lincoln Sacramen 0 8 256 215 281 752 0.00
57 Livermore 7 3 122 199 99 420 0.00
58 Miramonte 6 3 86 138 106 330 0.00
59 Monte Vista Danv 8 2 43 87 23 153 0.00
60 Moreau Catholic 0 7 269 250 273 792 0.00
61 Napa 0 2 264 235 118 617 0.00
62 Nevada Union 4 3 114 106 131 351 0.00
63 Northgate 9 1 63 191 18 272 0.00
64 Novato 4 7 141 70 233 444 0.00
65 Oak Ridge 7 2 20 34 67 121 0.00
66 Oakmont 2 7 231 224 263 718 0.00
67 Petaluma 3 4 130 99 156 385 0.00
68 Piedmont 6 3 189 256 107 552 0.00
69 Rancho Cotate 4 6 145 112 229 486 0.00
70 Rio Americano 4 5 137 129 200 466 0.00
71 Rocklin 5 3 61 74 119 254 0.00
72 Roseville 4 3 178 182 132 492 0.00
73 San Marin 7 2 89 193 68 350 0.00
74 San Rafael 2 4 165 135 157 457 0.00
75 Sonoma Academy 4 3 208 251 133 592 0.00
76 Sonoma Valley 1 4 201 161 201 563 0.00
77 St Marys Stockto 3 3 127 133 144 404 0.00
78 St Vincent de Pa 0 2 275 273 120 668 0.00
79 Stuart Hall 3 3 90 81 145 316 0.00
80 Tamalpais 4 8 121 43 240 404 0.00
81 Terra Linda 5 3 88 125 85 298 0.00
82 University SF 7 2 108 201 72 381 0.00
83 Urban School 3 5 228 249 187 664 0.00
84 Vintage 1 7 183 86 268 537 0.00
85 Vista del Lago 6 2 18 26 28 72 0.00
86 Washington Frem 1 10 263 234 287 784 0.00
87 West Park 6 2 94 187 73 354 0.00
88 Windsor 3 5 230 244 212 686 0.00
89 Woodcreek 4 4 161 188 178 527 0.00
90 Aptos 2 3 182 197 149 528 0.00
91 Aragon 0 2 271 255 121 647 0.00
92 Archbishop Mitty 2 4 211 225 193 629 0.00
93 Archbishop Riord 7 5 152 142 194 488 0.00
94 Bellarmine Prep 3 6 51 11 166 228 0.00
95 Burlingame 1 3 170 205 146 521 0.00
96 Carlmont 6 1 25 62 29 116 0.00
97 Carmel 9 1 22 100 9 131 0.00
98 Christopher 7 0 16 73 12 101 0.00
99 Gunn 5 2 158 248 78 484 0.00
100 Harbor 0 2 274 270 122 666 0.00
101 Hillsdale 4 3 74 79 134 287 0.00
102 Hollister-San Be 0 6 223 108 241 572 0.00
103 Latino College P 2 4 217 218 195 630 0.00
104 Leland 0 4 249 192 205 646 0.00
105 Live Oak 3 4 235 236 188 659 0.00
106 Los Altos 0 5 260 231 216 707 0.00
107 Los Gatos 5 4 87 90 150 327 0.00
108 Menlo School 1 6 129 31 220 380 0.00
109 Menlo-Atherton 10 0 33 148 5 186 0.00
110 Monte Vista Chri 1 6 268 265 247 780 0.00
111 Monterey 3 1 111 210 63 384 0.00
112 Mountain View 5 4 124 149 167 440 0.00
113 Pacific Collegia 2 2 134 145 101 380 0.00
114 Pacific Grove 0 6 215 93 252 560 0.00
115 Palma 3 1 30 48 64 142 0.00
116 Palo Alto 5 3 116 166 102 384 0.00
117 Pioneer 1 3 198 174 158 530 0.00
118 Priory 2 0 17 80 25 122 0.00
119 Sacred Heart Cat 7 5 97 78 196 371 0.00
120 Salinas 1 2 196 208 91 495 0.00
121 Saratoga 0 3 265 76 168 509 0.00
122 Sequoia 1 5 237 214 221 672 0.00
123 Serra San Mateo 7 4 117 126 135 378 0.00
124 Sobrato 1 2 77 30 108 215 0.00
125 Soquel 4 3 186 243 136 565 0.00
126 Stevenson School 2 2 80 291 30 401 0.00
127 Valley Christian 3 2 205 253 92 550 0.00
128 Woodside 3 4 147 143 189 479 0.00
129 Aliso Niguel 8 3 28 23 65 116 0.00
130 Beckman 9 4 84 60 93 237 0.00
131 Beverly Hills 0 2 270 254 123 647 0.00
132 Birmingham Chart 4 10 224 144 285 653 0.00
133 Brentwood School 5 4 156 165 151 472 0.00
134 Cabrillo 0 4 273 267 206 746 0.00
135 Calabasas 4 11 220 127 288 635 0.00
136 Capistrano Valle 1 6 218 169 230 617 0.00
137 Castaic 4 11 232 189 291 712 0.00
138 Cate School 3 0 60 226 21 307 0.00
139 Centennial 14 1 128 223 7 358 0.00
140 Chaminade Prep 5 6 162 164 222 548 0.00
141 Chaparral 6 6 148 121 223 492 0.00
142 Compton 7 3 212 268 103 583 0.00
143 Corona 14 1 164 257 8 429 0.00
144 Corona Del Mar 6 4 39 37 152 228 0.00
145 Crean Lutheran 8 5 45 17 137 199 0.00
146 Crescenta Valley 2 7 193 158 261 612 0.00
147 Culver City 1 6 267 263 248 778 0.00
148 Damien 4 7 202 198 256 656 0.00
149 Dana Hills 5 6 179 190 226 595 0.00
150 Dos Pueblos 4 2 126 196 86 408 0.00
151 Downey 3 6 247 252 234 733 0.00
152 Edison 6 4 52 57 124 233 0.00
153 El Camino Real C 3 7 221 228 262 711 0.00
154 El Dorado 8 3 109 159 94 362 0.00
155 El Modena 5 7 187 162 235 584 0.00
156 El Segundo 4 4 103 91 147 341 0.00
157 Eleanor Roosevel 6 6 131 96 217 444 0.00
158 Esperanza 3 10 197 67 286 550 0.00
159 Foothill Santa 8 3 5 4 3 12 0.00
160 Glendale 3 4 245 264 190 699 0.00
161 Grace Brethren 5 3 203 258 125 586 0.00
162 Great Oak 7 3 81 150 95 326 0.00
163 Hart 10 2 69 141 51 261 0.00
164 Harvard-Westlake 4 4 99 88 159 346 0.00
165 Heritage Christi 5 8 188 171 274 633 0.00
166 Heritage HS 0 7 252 202 275 729 0.00
167 Huntington Beach 7 6 56 29 169 254 0.00
168 Irvine 0 10 227 184 290 701 0.00
169 King 4 6 83 45 209 337 0.00
170 La Canada 1 6 195 116 249 560 0.00
171 Laguna Hills 1 12 258 200 294 752 0.00
172 Lakewood 2 7 219 203 264 686 0.00
173 Liberty 3 4 216 241 191 648 0.00
174 Linfield Christi 9 5 155 146 170 471 0.00
175 Long Beach Poly 1 2 168 137 109 414 0.00
176 Lynwood 0 12 259 170 295 724 0.00
177 Millikan 4 2 151 232 87 470 0.00
178 Mira Costa 6 5 42 24 148 214 0.00
179 Mission Viejo 6 5 143 147 179 469 0.00
180 Murrieta Mesa 3 7 171 122 257 550 0.00
181 Murrieta Valley 2 11 207 68 292 567 0.00
182 Newbury Park 7 4 105 131 139 375 0.00
183 Newport Harbor 2 7 191 154 265 610 0.00
184 Norco 3 11 229 128 293 650 0.00
185 Northwood 6 5 149 163 202 514 0.00
186 Notre Dame Sher 6 6 106 72 203 381 0.00
187 Oak Park 4 7 138 66 253 457 0.00
188 Oaks Christian 7 3 38 52 88 178 0.00
189 Orange Lutheran 6 4 100 139 160 399 0.00
190 Palisades Charte 7 3 98 181 79 358 0.00
191 Paloma Valley 1 10 257 222 289 768 0.00
192 Palos Verdes 6 6 55 25 171 251 0.00
193 Peninsula 4 5 144 140 210 494 0.00
194 Portola 2 9 240 195 282 717 0.00
195 Redondo Union 4 7 172 110 254 536 0.00
196 Riverside Poly 4 5 166 179 207 552 0.00
197 San Clemente 7 4 54 51 126 231 0.00
198 San Juan Hills 4 9 107 16 266 389 0.00
199 San Marcos SB 2 6 213 194 242 649 0.00
200 Santa Barbara 1 6 177 77 250 504 0.00
201 Santa Monica 5 5 142 105 197 444 0.00
202 Santiago 9 3 49 55 80 184 0.00
203 Saugus 7 6 76 36 213 325 0.00
204 Segerstrom 7 5 190 233 198 621 0.00
205 Servite 6 5 64 44 172 280 0.00
206 Sierra Canyon 4 5 78 49 110 237 0.00
207 Simi Royal 4 8 242 245 278 765 0.00
208 Simi Valley 6 2 118 216 75 409 0.00
209 St Francis-La Ca 10 5 48 33 111 192 0.00
210 St John Bosco 1 8 209 130 279 618 0.00
211 Temecula Valley 8 4 70 58 104 232 0.00
212 Tesoro 9 1 26 71 19 116 0.00
213 Thacher School 0 3 244 175 173 592 0.00
214 Trabuco Hills 6 4 31 20 89 140 0.00
215 University Irvin 9 3 96 123 90 309 0.00
216 University Los A 0 3 266 240 174 680 0.00
217 Valencia Santa C 6 7 157 114 236 507 0.00
218 Viewpoint School 6 3 146 230 112 488 0.00
219 Village Christia 11 2 72 113 55 240 0.00
220 Vista Murrieta 11 2 34 50 20 104 0.00
221 West Ranch 5 5 169 207 208 584 0.00
222 Woodbridge 6 4 150 217 140 507 0.00
223 Woodrow Wilson 4 3 132 172 141 445 0.00
224 Yorba Linda 5 9 115 39 269 423 0.00
225 Army-Navy Academ 2 6 199 176 243 618 0.00
226 Bonita Vista 7 2 112 219 69 400 0.00
227 Canyon Crest 3 5 175 168 214 557 0.00
228 Canyon Hills 0 5 262 266 227 755 0.00
229 Carlsbad 7 2 85 119 60 264 0.00
230 Cathedral Cathol 4 5 44 10 180 234 0.00
231 Clairemont 6 4 234 269 161 664 0.00
232 Classical Academ 3 6 167 136 237 540 0.00
233 Del Lago Academy 4 4 173 213 181 567 0.00
234 Del Norte 3 5 113 64 215 392 0.00
235 Eastlake 6 3 95 157 113 365 0.00
236 El Camino 1 6 225 178 251 654 0.00
237 El Capitan 5 2 79 153 81 313 0.00
238 Fallbrook 6 2 57 115 76 248 0.00
239 Foothills Christ 6 3 136 220 114 470 0.00
240 Granite Hills 5 4 159 209 175 543 0.00
241 Grossmont 4 4 75 63 182 320 0.00
242 Helix Charter 3 2 23 13 96 132 0.00
243 Hilltop 2 8 241 229 280 750 0.00
244 La Jolla CDS 1 8 206 102 270 578 0.00
245 La Jolla HS 3 5 153 98 162 413 0.00
246 Mar Vista 0 5 253 206 228 687 0.00
247 Mater Dei Chula 4 4 125 117 183 425 0.00
248 Mira Mesa 2 3 248 261 153 662 0.00
249 Mission Bay 2 6 261 260 244 765 0.00
250 Mission Hills 2 6 163 89 245 497 0.00
251 Monte Vista Spri 2 6 185 151 246 582 0.00
252 Morse 0 7 272 262 276 810 0.00
253 Mt Carmel 1 7 222 167 271 660 0.00
254 Olympian 5 3 110 156 127 393 0.00
255 Otay Ranch 2 3 246 259 154 659 0.00
256 Pacific Ridge 6 1 68 180 31 279 0.00
257 Patrick Henry 7 2 59 134 70 263 0.00
258 Point Loma 6 3 65 94 115 274 0.00
259 Poway 4 6 104 75 163 342 0.00
260 Preuss School 7 2 204 271 71 546 0.00
261 Rancho Bernardo 5 3 154 227 128 509 0.00
262 Rancho Buena Vis 3 4 210 237 192 639 0.00
263 Sage Creek 2 5 181 152 218 551 0.00
264 San Diego 5 4 119 132 129 380 0.00
265 San Dieguito 6 3 35 42 116 193 0.00
266 San Marcos SD 3 5 184 183 199 566 0.00
267 San Ysidro 1 5 255 242 224 721 0.00
268 Santana 5 4 91 97 176 364 0.00
269 Scripps Ranch 3 6 102 120 155 377 0.00
270 St Augustine 5 5 71 38 82 191 0.00
271 University City 3 6 200 211 238 649 0.00
272 Valhalla 4 4 73 53 184 310 0.00
273 Valley Center 4 5 66 40 211 317 0.00
274 West Hills 4 4 135 177 143 455 0.00
275 Westview 0 7 180 46 277 503 0.00
276 Bay School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
277 Bentley School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
278 Berean Christian 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
279 Casa Roble 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
280 Drew 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
281 George Washingto 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
282 Head-Royce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
283 Newark Memorial 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
284 Chico LC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
285 Elk Grove LC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
286 Mendocino LC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
287 Oakland LC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
288 Pleasant Grove L 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
289 Santa Rosa LC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
290 Yuba Sutter LC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
291 Scotts Valley 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
292 Watsonville 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
293 Hemet 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
294 North Valley Mil 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
295 Lincoln San Die 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00