Traverse City Centra
W-L: ( 5-13) PR = 83.8584Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Midland Dow (14- 5, 86.2) 8-14 404 A Brighton (15- 5, 92.4) 4-17 405 A South Lyon Unified (14- 5, 88.6) 6- 8 409 H Petoskey (11- 4, 85.7) 7- 8 411 A Bay City Western ( 6-12, 78.7) 9- 3 412 A Saginaw Heritage (11- 7, 82.9) 10-11 417 H Midland ( 0-15, 74.8) 19- 3 421 A Traverse City West ( 8- 6, 85.7) 12-13 423 A Coopersville ( 7-10, 82.3) 12- 8 424 H Cadillac ( 0- 3, 78.3) 9- 1 426 H Holland West Ottawa ( 7-12, 85.4) 10-11 428 A Cadillac ( 0- 3, 78.3) 10- 5 430 A Petoskey (11- 4, 85.7) 7- 9 503 H Holt (16- 3, 89.0) 6-13 509 H Grandville (10- 9, 88.7) 5-14 510 H Mona Shores (17- 4, 91.2) 2-15 512 H Traverse City West ( 8- 6, 85.7) 7-12 516 A Forest Hills Central ( 5-12, 88.3) 4-22
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
319 A Midland Dow 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.13
404 A Brighton 4-17 -13 -9 0.00
405 A South Lyon Unified 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.00
409 H Petoskey 7- 8 -1 -1 0.31
411 A Bay City Western 9- 3 6 5 0.31
412 A Saginaw Heritage 10-11 -1 0 -1.45
417 H Midland 19- 3 16 10 0.00
421 A Traverse City West 12-13 -1 -2 1.29
423 A Coopersville 12- 8 4 1 + 2.95
424 H Cadillac 9- 1 8 6 0.00
426 H Holland West Ottawa 10-11 -1 -1 0.08
428 A Cadillac 10- 5 5 5 0.00
430 A Petoskey 7- 9 -2 -2 0.31
503 H Holt 6-13 -7 -5 -0.37
509 H Grandville 5-14 -9 -4 -0.67
510 H Mona Shores 2-15 -13 -7 0.00
512 H Traverse City West 7-12 -5 -1 - -3.70
516 A Forest Hills Central 4-22 -18 -5 -0.08
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 A Midland Dow 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.13 512 H Traverse City West 7-12 -5 -1 - -3.70 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A South Lyon Unified 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.00 423 A Coopersville 12- 8 4 1 + 2.95 |
Traverse City Centra Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Park | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Anchor Bay | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Ann Arbor Father Gab | Ann Arbor Father Gab | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Ann Arbor Father Gab | |
| Ann Arbor Greenhills | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Ann Arbor Huron | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Bay City Central | Traverse City Centra | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Bay City John Glenn | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Bay City Western | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Bedford | Bedford | Bedford | ||
| Belleville | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Birmingham United | Birmingham United | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Birmingham United | |
| Birmingham United B | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Bishop Foley | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Bloomfield Hills | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Brighton | Brighton | Brighton | ||
| Brighton B | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Brother Rice | Brother Rice | Brother Rice 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Brother Rice Orange | Brother Rice Orange | Brother Rice Orange | ||
| Brownstown Woodhaven | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Byron Center | Byron Center | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Byron Center | |
| Cadillac | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Caledonia | Caledonia | Caledonia 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Canton | Traverse City Centra | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Cass Tech | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Chelsea | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Chippewa Valley | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Clarkston | Clarkston | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Clarkston | |
| Coopersville | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Cranbrook | Cranbrook | Cranbrook | ||
| Dakota | Dakota | Dakota | ||
| Davison | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Traverse City Centra | |
| De La Salle | De La Salle | De La Salle | ||
| Detroit Catholic Cen | Detroit Catholic Cen | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Detroit Catholic Cen | |
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| DeWitt | DeWitt | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | DeWitt | |
| Dexter | Dexter | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dexter | |
| Divine Child | Divine Child | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Divine Child | |
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| East Kentwood | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Traverse City Centra | |
| East Lansing | East Lansing | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | East Lansing | |
| Farmington | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Fenton | Traverse City Centra | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Flint Powers | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | ||
| Forest Hills Eastern | Forest Hills Eastern | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Forest Hills Eastern | |
| Forest Hills Norther | Forest Hills Norther | Forest Hills Norther 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Goodrich/Lake Fenton | Traverse City Centra | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Grand Haven | Grand Haven | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Grand Haven | |
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Grand Rapids Catholi | Grand Rapids Catholi | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Grand Rapids Catholi | |
| Grand Rapids Christi | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Grandville | Grandville | Grandville | ||
| Grosse Ile | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | ||
| Harper Creek | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Hartland | Hartland | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Hartland | |
| Haslett-Williamston | Haslett-Williamston | Haslett-Williamston 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Henry Ford II | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Holland Christian | Holland Christian | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Holland Christian | |
| Holland West Ottawa | Holland West Ottawa | Holland West Ottawa | ||
| Holt | Holt | Holt | ||
| Howell | Howell | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Howell | |
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | Hudsonville 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Jackson | Traverse City Centra | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Jenison | Jenison | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Jenison | |
| Kalamazoo United | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Kenowa Hills | Kenowa Hills | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | Kenowa Hills | |
| L'Anse Creuse | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| L'Anse Creuse North | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Lake Shore | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Lakeview | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Lansing Catholic | Traverse City Centra | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Lapeer | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Lincoln Ypsilanti | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Linden | Traverse City Centra | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Livonia United | Livonia United | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Livonia United | |
| Lowell | Lowell | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Lowell | |
| Mattawan | Mattawan | Mattawan | ||
| Midland | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Midland Dow | Midland Dow | Midland Dow | ||
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | Mona Shores | ||
| Northview | Traverse City Centra | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Northville | Northville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northville | |
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Novi | Traverse City Centra | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Okemos | Okemos | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Okemos | |
| Orchard Lake St Mary | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Ortonville Brandon | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Oxford | Oxford | Oxford | ||
| Pennfield | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Petoskey | Petoskey | Petoskey | ||
| Pinckney | Traverse City Centra | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Plymouth | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Port Huron United | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Portage Central | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Portage Northern | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Reeths Puffer | Traverse City Centra | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Riverview Gabriel Ri | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Rochester Adams | |
| Rochester HS | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Rochester Stoney Cre | Rochester Stoney Cre | Rochester Stoney Cre | ||
| Rockford | Rockford | Rockford 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Romeo | Romeo | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Romeo | |
| Royal Oak HS | Royal Oak HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Royal Oak HS | |
| Royal Oak Shrine | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Salem | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Saline | Saline | Saline | ||
| Sault Area | Traverse City Centra | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Traverse City Centra | |
| South Lyon Unified | South Lyon Unified | South Lyon Unified | ||
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | Spring Lake 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| St Clair | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Traverse City Centra | |
| St Mary Catholic Cen | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Swartz Creek | Traverse City Centra | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Tecumseh | Tecumseh | Tecumseh | ||
| Traverse City West | Traverse City West | Traverse City West | ||
| Troy | Troy | Troy | ||
| Troy Athens | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| University Detroit J | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| University Liggett | University Liggett | University Liggett | ||
| Utica Eisenhower | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Vicksburg | Vicksburg | Vicksburg | ||
| Walled Lake Northern | Walled Lake Northern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Walled Lake Northern | |
| Walled Lake Western | Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | ||
| Waterford United | Traverse City Centra | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Traverse City Centra | |
| West Bloomfield | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Traverse City Centra | |
| White Lake Lakeland | Traverse City Centra | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Zeeland | Zeeland | Zeeland 2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
PowerWise = 69
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.06
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Midland Dow (14- 5, 86.2) 8-14 -13.67 18.64 0.50 0.89 -11.75
0 A Brighton (15- 5, 92.4) 4-17 -7.53 24.78 0.50 0.89 -6.28
0 A South Lyon Uni (14- 5, 88.6) 6- 8 -11.34 20.97 0.50 0.89 -9.67
0 H Petoskey (11- 4, 85.7) 7- 8 -14.23 18.08 -0.50 0.89 -13.14
0 A Bay City Weste ( 6-12, 78.7) 9- 3 -21.23 11.09 0.50 0.89 10.33
0 A Saginaw Herita (11- 7, 82.9) 10-11 -16.99 15.32 0.50 0.89 -14.72
0 H Midland ( 0-15, 74.8) 19- 3 -25.11 7.20 -0.50 0.89 5.98
0 A Traverse City ( 8- 6, 85.7) 12-13 -14.25 18.07 0.50 0.89 -12.27
0 A Coopersville ( 7-10, 82.3) 12- 8 -17.59 14.72 0.50 0.89 13.58
0 H Cadillac ( 0- 3, 78.3) 9- 1 -21.57 10.74 -0.50 0.89 9.14
0 H Holland West O ( 7-12, 85.4) 10-11 -14.46 17.85 -0.50 0.89 -13.35
0 A Cadillac ( 0- 3, 78.3) 10- 5 -21.57 10.74 0.50 0.89 10.03
0 A Petoskey (11- 4, 85.7) 7- 9 -14.23 18.08 0.50 0.89 -12.25
0 H Holt (16- 3, 89.0) 6-13 -10.92 21.39 -0.50 0.89 -10.18
0 H Grandville (10- 9, 88.7) 5-14 -11.21 21.10 -0.50 0.89 -10.45
0 H Mona Shores (17- 4, 91.2) 2-15 -8.74 23.57 -0.50 0.89 -8.24
0 H Traverse City ( 8- 6, 85.7) 7-12 -14.25 18.07 -0.50 0.89 -13.15
0 A Forest Hills C ( 5-12, 88.3) 4-22 -11.62 20.70 0.50 0.89 -9.92
------
-96.32
|
winning pts = 49.0565 losing points = -145.3764
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------