---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:59 PDT

safe3step boys St Mary Catholic Cen 1
  
St Mary Catholic Cen  
W-L: ( 6- 7) PR = 74.4124

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Allen Park ( 5-10, 72.5) 7- 8 403 A Jackson ( 2-14, 74.4) 7- 6 404 A Lincoln Ypsilanti ( 9- 9, 76.9) 8- 9 409 A Lincoln Ypsilanti ( 9- 9, 76.9) 7-16 415 A Brownstown Woodhaven ( 4-10, 71.6) 7- 0 417 A Bishop Foley ( 1-16, 71.4) 7- 5 421 A Grosse Ile (12- 3, 77.6) 10-17 424 A Cass Tech ( 1-12, 69.5) 15- 7 429 H Ann Arbor Greenhills ( 2- 8, 68.9) 12- 5 501 H Brownstown Woodhaven ( 4-10, 71.6) 16- 3 502 H University Liggett (12- 2, 85.4) 2-11 515 H Grosse Ile (12- 3, 77.6) 11-18 517 A Tecumseh (10- 6, 85.7) 1-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Allen Park              7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.38
   403 A Jackson                 7- 6       1     0           1.44
   404 A Lincoln  Ypsilanti      8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.01
   409 A Lincoln  Ypsilanti      7-16      -9    -3          -1.99
   415 A Brownstown Woodhaven    7- 0       7     2    +      2.72
   417 A Bishop Foley            7- 5       2     2          -0.48
   421 A Grosse Ile             10-17      -7    -4          -1.33
   424 A Cass Tech              15- 7       8     4           0.54
   429 H Ann Arbor Greenhills   12- 5       7     6           0.00
   501 H Brownstown Woodhaven   16- 3      13     3           1.72
   502 H University Liggett      2-11      -9   -11           0.00
   515 H Grosse Ile             11-18      -7    -3    -     -2.32
   517 A Tecumseh                1-16     -15   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Allen Park              7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.38
   515 H Grosse Ile             11-18      -7    -3    -     -2.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Lincoln  Ypsilanti      8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.01
   415 A Brownstown Woodhaven    7- 0       7     2    +      2.72

St Mary Catholic Cen Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allen Park Allen Park Allen Park  
Anchor Bay Anchor Bay   Anchor Bay
Ann Arbor Father Gab Ann Arbor Father Gab Ann Arbor Father Gab   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Ann Arbor Greenhills St Mary Catholic Cen St Mary Catholic Cen  
Ann Arbor Huron Ann Arbor Huron insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) Ann Arbor Huron
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Ann Arbor Skyline tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Ann Arbor Skyline
Bay City Central Bay City Central   Bay City Central
Bay City John Glenn Bay City John Glenn   Bay City John Glenn
Bay City Western Bay City Western   Bay City Western
Bedford Bedford Bedford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Belleville Belleville Belleville   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Birmingham United Birmingham United   Birmingham United
Birmingham United B Birmingham United B   Birmingham United B
Bishop Foley St Mary Catholic Cen St Mary Catholic Cen  
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Brighton B
Brother Rice Brother Rice   Brother Rice
Brother Rice Orange Brother Rice Orange   Brother Rice Orange
Brownstown Woodhaven St Mary Catholic Cen St Mary Catholic Cen  
Byron Center Byron Center insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Byron Center
Cadillac Cadillac   Cadillac
Caledonia Caledonia   Caledonia
Canton Canton   Canton
Cass Tech St Mary Catholic Cen St Mary Catholic Cen  
Chelsea Chelsea tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Chelsea
Chippewa Valley Chippewa Valley insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Chippewa Valley
Clarkston Clarkston   Clarkston
Coopersville Coopersville   Coopersville
Cranbrook Cranbrook   Cranbrook
Dakota Dakota   Dakota
Davison Davison   Davison
De La Salle De La Salle tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) De La Salle
Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen   Detroit Catholic Cen
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt   DeWitt
Dexter Dexter Dexter   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Divine Child Divine Child tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   East Grand Rapids
East Kentwood St Mary Catholic Cen   St Mary Catholic Cen
East Lansing East Lansing   East Lansing
Farmington St Mary Catholic Cen insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) St Mary Catholic Cen
Fenton Fenton   Fenton
Flint Powers Flint Powers   Flint Powers
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern   Forest Hills Eastern
Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther   Forest Hills Norther
Goodrich/Lake Fenton Goodrich/Lake Fenton   Goodrich/Lake Fenton
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven   Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Catholi Grand Rapids Catholi   Grand Rapids Catholi
Grand Rapids Christi Grand Rapids Christi   Grand Rapids Christi
Grandville Grandville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Grandville
Grosse Ile Grosse Ile Grosse Ile  
Grosse Pointe North St Mary Catholic Cen tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) St Mary Catholic Cen
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grosse Pointe South
Harper Creek Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Hartland Hartland   Hartland
Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston   Haslett-Williamston
Henry Ford II Henry Ford II   Henry Ford II
Holland Christian Holland Christian   Holland Christian
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa   Holland West Ottawa
Holt Holt tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Holt
Howell Howell   Howell
Hudsonville Hudsonville   Hudsonville
Jackson St Mary Catholic Cen St Mary Catholic Cen  
Jenison Jenison   Jenison
Kalamazoo United Kalamazoo United tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Kalamazoo United
Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills   Kenowa Hills
L'Anse Creuse L'Anse Creuse tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) L'Anse Creuse
L'Anse Creuse North L'Anse Creuse North   L'Anse Creuse North
Lake Orion Lake Orion   Lake Orion
Lake Shore Lake Shore   Lake Shore
Lakeview Lakeview   Lakeview
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic   Lansing Catholic
Lapeer Lapeer   Lapeer
Lincoln Ypsilanti Lincoln Ypsilanti Lincoln Ypsilanti  
Linden Linden   Linden
Livonia United Livonia United tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Livonia United
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Mattawan Mattawan   Mattawan
Midland Midland   Midland
Midland Dow Midland Dow   Midland Dow
Mona Shores Mona Shores   Mona Shores
Northview Northview   Northview
Northville Northville   Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Novi Novi   Novi
Okemos Okemos   Okemos
Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary   Orchard Lake St Mary
Ortonville Brandon Ortonville Brandon   Ortonville Brandon
Oxford Oxford   Oxford
Pennfield St Mary Catholic Cen insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Mary Catholic Cen
Petoskey Petoskey   Petoskey
Pinckney Pinckney   Pinckney
Plymouth Plymouth   Plymouth
Port Huron United Port Huron United   Port Huron United
Portage Central Portage Central tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Portage Central
Portage Northern Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Reeths Puffer Reeths Puffer   Reeths Puffer
Riverview Gabriel Ri Riverview Gabriel Ri   Riverview Gabriel Ri
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester HS   Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre   Rochester Stoney Cre
Rockford Rockford   Rockford
Romeo Romeo   Romeo
Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Royal Oak HS
Royal Oak Shrine Royal Oak Shrine insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Royal Oak Shrine
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Salem Salem   Salem
Saline Saline   Saline
Sault Area Sault Area   Sault Area
South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified   South Lyon Unified
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Clair St Mary Catholic Cen tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Mary Catholic Cen
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Mary Catholic Cen tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Mary Catholic Cen
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek   Swartz Creek
Tecumseh Tecumseh Tecumseh  
Traverse City Centra Traverse City Centra   Traverse City Centra
Traverse City West Traverse City West   Traverse City West
Troy Troy   Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Troy Athens
University Detroit J University Detroit J tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) University Detroit J
University Liggett University Liggett University Liggett  
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower   Utica Eisenhower
Vicksburg Vicksburg   Vicksburg
Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Walled Lake Northern
Walled Lake Western Walled Lake Western   Walled Lake Western
Waterford United Waterford United   Waterford United
West Bloomfield West Bloomfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) West Bloomfield
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland   White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland Zeeland   Zeeland

PowerWise = 11


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.06

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Allen Park      ( 5-10, 72.5)     7- 8      -27.36       4.95       0.50         1.24           -33.19
   0 A Jackson         ( 2-14, 74.4)     7- 6      -25.54       6.77       0.50         1.24             8.97
   0 A Lincoln  Ypsil  ( 9- 9, 76.9)     8- 9      -22.97       9.34       0.50         1.24           -27.77
   0 A Lincoln  Ypsil  ( 9- 9, 76.9)     7-16      -22.97       9.34       0.50         1.24           -27.77
   0 A Brownstown Woo  ( 4-10, 71.6)     7- 0      -28.27       4.04       0.50         1.24             5.61
   0 A Bishop Foley    ( 1-16, 71.4)     7- 5      -28.46       3.85       0.50         1.24             5.37
   0 A Grosse Ile      (12- 3, 77.6)    10-17      -22.31      10.00       0.50         1.24           -26.95
   0 A Cass Tech       ( 1-12, 69.5)    15- 7      -30.44       1.87       0.50         1.24             2.92
   0 H Ann Arbor Gree  ( 2- 8, 68.9)    12- 5      -31.01       1.30      -0.50         1.24             1.00
   0 H Brownstown Woo  ( 4-10, 71.6)    16- 3      -28.27       4.04      -0.50         1.24             4.38
   0 H University Lig  (12- 2, 85.4)     2-11      -14.45      17.86      -0.50         1.24           -18.47
   0 H Grosse Ile      (12- 3, 77.6)    11-18      -22.31      10.00      -0.50         1.24           -28.17
   0 A Tecumseh        (10- 6, 85.7)     1-16      -14.21      18.10       0.50         1.24           -16.94
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -151.00

winning pts = 28.2486 losing points = -179.2492

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------