North Branford
W-L: (11- 8) PR = 81.4573Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 A Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 7-13 410 H Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 8- 5 412 H North Haven ( 5-11, 77.1) 9- 2 415 A Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 20- 0 417 H Valley Regional (10- 9, 79.3) 7- 4 422 H Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 13- 1 426 A Branford ( 9- 8, 78.7) 14- 6 429 A Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 14- 6 501 H Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 19- 2 503 A Foran (12- 6, 83.4) 5-13 506 H Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 86.2) 5- 7 508 A Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 12- 2 510 H Sheehan (15- 5, 84.5) 2-10 513 H Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 8-11 519 A Valley Regional (10- 9, 79.3) 9- 4 521 A Haddam-Killingworth (19- 2, 86.2) 5-14 527 A Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 6-11 604 A Bacon Academy (14- 5, 83.1) 12-11 607 A Sheehan (15- 5, 84.5) 4-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
408 A Old Saybrook 7-13 -6 -2 - -2.63
410 H Morgan School 8- 5 3 4 -0.80
412 H North Haven 9- 2 7 5 0.15
415 A Cromwell 20- 0 20 17 0.00
417 H Valley Regional 7- 4 3 3 0.42
422 H Old Lyme 13- 1 12 7 0.00
426 A Branford 14- 6 8 2 + 2.70
429 A Morgan School 14- 6 8 3 + 2.14
501 H Cromwell 19- 2 17 18 0.00
503 A Foran 5-13 -8 -2 - -2.57
506 H Haddam-Killingworth 5- 7 -2 -4 + 2.23
508 A Old Lyme 12- 2 10 6 0.00
510 H Sheehan 2-10 -8 -3 - -2.44
513 H Old Saybrook 8-11 -3 -1 -1.58
519 A Valley Regional 9- 4 5 2 + 3.36
521 A Haddam-Killingworth 5-14 -9 -5 0.00
527 A Old Saybrook 6-11 -5 -2 - -2.63
604 A Bacon Academy 12-11 1 -2 + 3.13
607 A Sheehan 4-11 -7 -4 -1.50
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Old Saybrook 7-13 -6 -2 - -2.63 503 A Foran 5-13 -8 -2 - -2.57 510 H Sheehan 2-10 -8 -3 - -2.44 527 A Old Saybrook 6-11 -5 -2 - -2.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 A Branford 14- 6 8 2 + 2.70 429 A Morgan School 14- 6 8 3 + 2.14 506 H Haddam-Killingworth 5- 7 -2 -4 + 2.23 519 A Valley Regional 9- 4 5 2 + 3.36 604 A Bacon Academy 12-11 1 -2 + 3.13 |
North Branford Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Avon HS | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Bacon Academy | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Berlin | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Bethel | Bethel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| Branford | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Brien McMahon | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Bristol Co-Op | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Brookfield | Brookfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brookfield | |
| Bunnell-Stratford | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Canton | Canton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Canton | |
| Capital-Classical Pr | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Danbury | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Daniel Hand | |
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | East Lyme | |
| Ellington | North Branford | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Enfield | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| EO Smith | North Branford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep | Fairfield Prep 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Fairfield Warde | North Branford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Farmington | Farmington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Farmington | |
| Fitch Groton | North Branford | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | North Branford | |
| Foran | Foran | Foran | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Granby Memorial | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | ||
| Hall | Hall | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hall | |
| Hamden | North Branford | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | North Branford | |
| Holy Cross | North Branford | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Immaculate Danbury | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | ||
| Jonathan Law | North Branford | North Branford 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Lakeview United | North Branford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Ledyard-Griswold | North Branford | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | North Branford | |
| Lewis Mills | North Branford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Lyman Hall | North Branford | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | North Branford | |
| Maloney-Platt | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Masuk | |
| Middletown | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Montville | North Branford | North Branford 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Morgan School | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New Milford | New Milford | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Milford | |
| Newington | North Branford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Newtown | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| North Haven | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Norwalk | North Branford | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Norwich Free Academy | North Branford | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Norwich Tech | North Branford | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Notre Dame-Fairfield | North Branford | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Notre Dame-West Have | Notre Dame-West Have | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Notre Dame-West Have | |
| Old Lyme | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Pomperaug | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Prince-Cheney Tech | North Branford | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| RHAM | RHAM | RHAM | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville Co-op | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Rocky Hill | North Branford | North Branford 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Sheehan | Sheehan | Sheehan | ||
| Shelton | North Branford | North Branford 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Bernard-Wheeler | St Bernard-Wheeler | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | St Bernard-Wheeler | |
| St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | St Joseph Trumbull | ||
| St Paul Catholic | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | North Branford | North Branford 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Suffield | Suffield | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Suffield | |
| Tolland | North Branford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Branford | |
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Valley Regional | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech | North Branford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Branford | |
| Waterford | North Branford | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | North Branford | |
| Watertown | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| West Haven | North Branford | North Branford 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Westhill | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Weston | Weston | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Weston | |
| Wethersfield | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Wilbur Cross | North Branford | North Branford 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Wolcott | North Branford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Woodstock Academy | North Branford | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Xavier | Xavier | Xavier |
PowerWise = 54
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 7-13 -16.54 23.71 0.47 0.90 -14.39
0 H Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 8- 5 -21.77 18.48 -0.47 0.90 16.12
0 H North Haven ( 5-11, 77.1) 9- 2 -22.82 17.43 -0.47 0.90 15.18
0 A Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 20- 0 -36.37 3.88 0.47 0.90 3.90
0 H Valley Regiona (10- 9, 79.3) 7- 4 -20.55 19.70 -0.47 0.90 17.22
0 H Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 13- 1 -25.18 15.07 -0.47 0.90 13.07
0 A Branford ( 9- 8, 78.7) 14- 6 -21.22 19.04 0.47 0.90 17.47
0 A Morgan School ( 8-10, 78.1) 14- 6 -21.77 18.48 0.47 0.90 16.97
0 H Cromwell ( 1-15, 63.5) 19- 2 -36.37 3.88 -0.47 0.90 3.05
0 A Foran (12- 6, 83.4) 5-13 -16.49 23.77 0.47 0.90 -14.34
0 H Haddam-Killing (19- 2, 86.2) 5- 7 -13.74 26.52 -0.47 0.90 -12.72
0 A Old Lyme ( 4-12, 74.7) 12- 2 -25.18 15.07 0.47 0.90 13.92
0 H Sheehan (15- 5, 84.5) 2-10 -15.41 24.84 -0.47 0.90 -14.22
0 H Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 8-11 -16.54 23.71 -0.47 0.90 -15.24
0 A Valley Regiona (10- 9, 79.3) 9- 4 -20.55 19.70 0.47 0.90 18.06
0 A Haddam-Killing (19- 2, 86.2) 5-14 -13.74 26.52 0.47 0.90 -11.88
0 A Old Saybrook (15- 5, 83.4) 6-11 -16.54 23.71 0.47 0.90 -14.39
0 A Bacon Academy (14- 5, 83.1) 12-11 -16.79 23.47 0.47 0.90 21.43
0 A Sheehan (15- 5, 84.5) 4-11 -15.41 24.84 0.47 0.90 -13.37
------
45.85
|
winning pts = 156.3949 losing points = -110.5447
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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