---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Mount Vernon 1
  
Mount Vernon          
W-L: ( 5- 8) PR = 76.0804

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A Unity Reed ( 5- 9, 72.1) 10- 2 324 A Herndon ( 8- 4, 89.9) 0-14 328 H Wakefield HS ( 4-10, 81.9) 2-11 401 H Thomas Jefferson ( 6- 8, 78.2) 2- 1 403 A Lewis ( 2-10, 69.7) 7- 0 404 A Gar-field ( 1-14, 70.4) 7- 4 409 H Edison ( 9- 8, 81.2) 1-12 425 A Falls Church ( 6- 8, 80.6) 5-15 501 H Justice ( 5- 9, 78.8) 2- 5 506 H Hayfield (14- 5, 85.1) 1-14 508 A Annandale ( 3- 9, 74.2) 8- 5 515 H Thomas Jefferson ( 6- 8, 78.2) 3- 7 521 A Woodson ( 9- 9, 86.9) 1-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Unity Reed             10- 2       8     3           1.62
   324 A Herndon                 0-14     -14   -14           0.00
   328 H Wakefield HS            2-11      -9    -5           0.00
   401 H Thomas Jefferson        2- 1       1    -1    +      2.49
   403 A Lewis                   7- 0       7     6           0.00
   404 A Gar-field               7- 4       3     5    -     -2.00
   409 H Edison                  1-12     -11    -5          -0.46
   425 A Falls Church            5-15     -10    -5           0.00
   501 H Justice                 2- 5      -3    -2          -0.84
   506 H Hayfield                1-14     -13    -8           0.00
   508 A Annandale               8- 5       3     1           1.72
   515 H Thomas Jefferson        3- 7      -4    -1    -     -2.51
   521 A Woodson                 1-15     -14   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Gar-field               7- 4       3     5    -     -2.00
   515 H Thomas Jefferson        3- 7      -4    -1    -     -2.51

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Thomas Jefferson        2- 1       1    -1    +      2.49

Mount Vernon Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle   Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City Alexandria City   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Annandale Mount Vernon Mount Vernon  
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Battlefield
Bayside Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Brentsville
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Brooke Point Brooke Point   Brooke Point
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring   Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Chantilly
Charlottesville Charlottesville   Charlottesville
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Clover Hill Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Colgan Colgan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Deep Run Deep Run   Deep Run
Dominion Dominion   Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Edison Edison  
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax Fairfax   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Falls Church Falls Church Falls Church  
Fauquier Fauquier tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fauquier
First Colonial First Colonial   First Colonial
Fishburne Military A Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Fluvanna County   Fluvanna County
Forest Park Forest Park tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Forest Park
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Franklin County   Franklin County
Fredericksburg Acade Fredericksburg Acade   Fredericksburg Acade
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Gainesville
Gar-field Mount Vernon Mount Vernon  
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland   Goochland
Grafton LC Grafton LC   Grafton LC
Grassfield LC Grassfield LC   Grassfield LC
Green Run Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield Hayfield Hayfield  
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon Herndon  
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Highland School Highland School   Highland School
Highland Springs Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Hylton Hylton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hylton
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) James Monroe
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe John Champe   John Champe
Justice Justice Justice  
Kellam Kellam   Kellam
Kempsville Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Kettle Run Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Landstown Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Langley Langley Langley   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lewis Mount Vernon Mount Vernon  
Liberty Bealeton Liberty Bealeton   Liberty Bealeton
Lightridge Lightridge   Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Loudoun County Loudoun County   Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Loudoun Valley   Loudoun Valley
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Manchester   Manchester
Marshall Marshall insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 3- 3) Marshall
Massaponax Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Matoaca Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean McLean   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville   Mechanicsville
Menchville LC Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Meridian Meridian   Meridian
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Mills Godwin   Mills Godwin
Monacan Monacan   Monacan
Monticello Monticello   Monticello
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Norfolk Collegiate   Norfolk Collegiate
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Northern VA Home Sch Mount Vernon Mount Vernon   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Oakton Oakton Oakton   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ocean Lakes Ocean Lakes   Ocean Lakes
Orange County Orange County   Orange County
Osbourn Mount Vernon Mount Vernon   5- 1 vs 0- 5
Osbourn Park Mount Vernon insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Mount Vernon
Park View Mount Vernon Mount Vernon   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Patrick Henry Ashla Patrick Henry Ashla   Patrick Henry Ashla
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Patriot
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Potomac Falls   Potomac Falls
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Mount Vernon tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mount Vernon
Powhatan Powhatan   Powhatan
Princess Anne Princess Anne   Princess Anne
Riverbend Riverbend   Riverbend
Riverside Riverside   Riverside
Robinson Robinson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Robinson
Rock Ridge Rock Ridge   Rock Ridge
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County   Rockbridge County
Rockingham LC Rockingham LC   Rockingham LC
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Seton School Seton School   Seton School
South County South County insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) South County
South Lakes South Lakes insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre St John Paul the Gre tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St John Paul the Gre
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Stafford   Stafford
Steward School Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Tandem Friends Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Thomas Dale Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) Thomas Jefferson
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian   Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal Trinity Episcopal   Trinity Episcopal
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Tuscarora Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Unity Reed Mount Vernon Mount Vernon  
Veritas School Veritas School   Veritas School
Virginia Academy Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Wakefield HS Wakefield HS  
Wakefield School Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty   3- 0 vs 0- 3
West Potomac West Potomac insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield Westfield   2- 1 vs 0- 3
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Woodbridge tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Woodbridge
Woodgrove Woodgrove   Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson Woodson  
York LC Mount Vernon   Mount Vernon
Yorktown Yorktown insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Yorktown

PowerWise = 33


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Unity Reed      ( 5- 9, 72.1)    10- 2      -27.81       7.20       0.61         1.07             8.37
   0 A Herndon         ( 8- 4, 89.9)     0-14      -10.00      25.00       0.61         1.07           -10.07
   0 H Wakefield HS    ( 4-10, 81.9)     2-11      -18.05      16.95      -0.61         1.07           -20.01
   0 H Thomas Jeffers  ( 6- 8, 78.2)     2- 1      -21.72      13.28      -0.61         1.07            13.60
   0 A Lewis           ( 2-10, 69.7)     7- 0      -30.21       4.79       0.61         1.07             5.79
   0 A Gar-field       ( 1-14, 70.4)     7- 4      -29.47       5.54       0.61         1.07             6.59
   0 H Edison          ( 9- 8, 81.2)     1-12      -18.67      16.33      -0.61         1.07           -20.68
   0 A Falls Church    ( 6- 8, 80.6)     5-15      -19.32      15.68       0.61         1.07           -20.07
   0 H Justice         ( 5- 9, 78.8)     2- 5      -21.05      13.95      -0.61         1.07           -23.23
   0 H Hayfield        (14- 5, 85.1)     1-14      -14.85      20.15      -0.61         1.07           -16.58
   0 A Annandale       ( 3- 9, 74.2)     8- 5      -25.71       9.29       0.61         1.07            10.62
   0 H Thomas Jeffers  ( 6- 8, 78.2)     3- 7      -21.72      13.28      -0.61         1.07           -23.95
   0 A Woodson         ( 9- 9, 86.9)     1-15      -13.02      21.99       0.61         1.07           -13.31
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -102.93

winning pts = 44.9699 losing points = -147.9014

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------