Mount Vernon
W-L: ( 5- 8) PR = 76.0804
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
317 A Unity Reed ( 5- 9, 72.1) 10- 2
324 A Herndon ( 8- 4, 89.9) 0-14
328 H Wakefield HS ( 4-10, 81.9) 2-11
401 H Thomas Jefferson ( 6- 8, 78.2) 2- 1
403 A Lewis ( 2-10, 69.7) 7- 0
404 A Gar-field ( 1-14, 70.4) 7- 4
409 H Edison ( 9- 8, 81.2) 1-12
425 A Falls Church ( 6- 8, 80.6) 5-15
501 H Justice ( 5- 9, 78.8) 2- 5
506 H Hayfield (14- 5, 85.1) 1-14
508 A Annandale ( 3- 9, 74.2) 8- 5
515 H Thomas Jefferson ( 6- 8, 78.2) 3- 7
521 A Woodson ( 9- 9, 86.9) 1-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 A Unity Reed 10- 2 8 3 1.62
324 A Herndon 0-14 -14 -14 0.00
328 H Wakefield HS 2-11 -9 -5 0.00
401 H Thomas Jefferson 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.49
403 A Lewis 7- 0 7 6 0.00
404 A Gar-field 7- 4 3 5 - -2.00
409 H Edison 1-12 -11 -5 -0.46
425 A Falls Church 5-15 -10 -5 0.00
501 H Justice 2- 5 -3 -2 -0.84
506 H Hayfield 1-14 -13 -8 0.00
508 A Annandale 8- 5 3 1 1.72
515 H Thomas Jefferson 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.51
521 A Woodson 1-15 -14 -11 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
404 A Gar-field 7- 4 3 5 - -2.00
515 H Thomas Jefferson 3- 7 -4 -1 - -2.51
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
401 H Thomas Jefferson 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.49
|
Mount Vernon Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Albemarle |
Albemarle |
|
 
| Albemarle |
Alexandria City |
Alexandria City |
|
Alexandria City   2- 2 vs 0- 4 |
|
Annandale |
Mount Vernon |
Mount Vernon |
 
| |
Atlee |
Atlee |
|
 
| Atlee |
Battlefield |
Battlefield |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Battlefield |
Bayside |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Benedictine |
Benedictine |
|
 
| Benedictine |
Bishop Ireton |
Bishop Ireton |
|
 
| Bishop Ireton |
Bishop OConnell |
Bishop OConnell |
|
 
| Bishop OConnell |
Blacksburg |
Blacksburg |
|
 
| Blacksburg |
Blue Ridge School |
Blue Ridge School |
|
 
| Blue Ridge School |
Brentsville |
Brentsville |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Brentsville |
Briar Woods |
Briar Woods |
|
 
| Briar Woods |
Broad Run |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
Brooke Point |
Brooke Point |
|
 
| Brooke Point |
Cape Henry Collegiat |
Cape Henry Collegiat |
|
 
| Cape Henry Collegiat |
Catholic HS |
Catholic HS |
|
 
| Catholic HS |
Cave Spring |
Cave Spring |
|
 
| Cave Spring |
Centreville |
Centreville |
|
 
| Centreville |
Chantilly |
Chantilly |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Chantilly |
Charlottesville |
Charlottesville |
|
 
| Charlottesville |
Christchurch |
Christchurch |
|
 
| Christchurch |
Christiansburg |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Clover Hill |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Colgan |
Colgan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Colgan |
Collegiate School |
Collegiate School |
|
 
| Collegiate School |
Colonial Forge |
Colonial Forge |
|
 
| Colonial Forge |
Cosby |
Cosby |
|
 
| Cosby |
Covenant School |
Covenant School |
|
 
| Covenant School |
Cox |
Cox |
|
 
| Cox |
Culpeper County |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Deep Run |
Deep Run |
|
 
| Deep Run |
Dominion |
Dominion |
|
 
| Dominion |
Douglas Freeman |
Douglas Freeman |
|
 
| Douglas Freeman |
Eastern View |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
EC Glass |
EC Glass |
|
 
| EC Glass |
Edison |
Edison |
Edison |
 
| |
Episcopal |
Episcopal |
|
 
| Episcopal |
Eukarya Christian |
Eukarya Christian |
|
 
| Eukarya Christian |
Fairfax |
Fairfax |
|
Fairfax   4- 2 vs 1- 5 |
|
Falls Church |
Falls Church |
Falls Church |
 
| |
Fauquier |
Fauquier |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Fauquier |
First Colonial |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
Fishburne Military A |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Flint Hill |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
Fluvanna County |
Fluvanna County |
|
 
| Fluvanna County |
Forest Park |
Forest Park |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Forest Park |
Fork Union Military |
Fork Union Military |
|
 
| Fork Union Military |
Franklin County |
Franklin County |
|
 
| Franklin County |
Fredericksburg Acade |
Fredericksburg Acade |
|
 
| Fredericksburg Acade |
Fredericksburg Chris |
Fredericksburg Chris |
|
 
| Fredericksburg Chris |
Freedom South Ridin |
Freedom South Ridin |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Freedom South Ridin |
Freedom Woodbridge |
Freedom Woodbridge |
|
 
| Freedom Woodbridge |
Gainesville |
Gainesville |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Gainesville |
Gar-field |
Mount Vernon |
Mount Vernon |
 
| |
Glen Allen |
Glen Allen |
|
 
| Glen Allen |
Goochland |
Goochland |
|
 
| Goochland |
Grafton LC |
Grafton LC |
|
 
| Grafton LC |
Grassfield LC |
Grassfield LC |
|
 
| Grassfield LC |
Green Run |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Handley |
Handley |
|
 
| Handley |
Hanover |
Hanover |
|
 
| Hanover |
Hayfield |
Hayfield |
Hayfield |
 
| |
Heritage Leesburg |
Heritage Leesburg |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) |
Heritage Leesburg |
Herndon |
Herndon |
Herndon |
 
| |
Hickory LC |
Hickory LC |
|
 
| Hickory LC |
Hidden Valley |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Highland School |
Highland School |
|
 
| Highland School |
Highland Springs |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Hylton |
Hylton |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Hylton |
Independence |
Independence |
|
 
| Independence |
James Monroe |
James Monroe |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
James Monroe |
James River |
James River |
|
 
| James River |
Jamestown LC |
Jamestown LC |
|
 
| Jamestown LC |
Jefferson Forest |
Jefferson Forest |
|
 
| Jefferson Forest |
John Champe |
John Champe |
|
 
| John Champe |
Justice |
Justice |
Justice |
 
| |
Kellam |
Kellam |
|
 
| Kellam |
Kempsville |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Kettle Run |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
Lafayette LC |
Lafayette LC |
|
 
| Lafayette LC |
Lake Braddock |
Lake Braddock |
|
Lake Braddock   4- 1 vs 0- 5 |
|
Landstown |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Langley |
Langley |
|
Langley   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Lewis |
Mount Vernon |
Mount Vernon |
 
| |
Liberty Bealeton |
Liberty Bealeton |
|
 
| Liberty Bealeton |
Lightridge |
Lightridge |
|
 
| Lightridge |
Lloyd C Bird |
Lloyd C Bird |
|
 
| Lloyd C Bird |
Lord Botetourt |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Loudoun Valley |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
Madison |
Madison |
|
 
| Madison |
Manchester |
Manchester |
|
 
| Manchester |
Marshall |
Marshall |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 3- 3) |
Marshall |
Massaponax |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Matoaca |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Maury LC |
Maury LC |
|
 
| Maury LC |
McLean |
McLean |
|
McLean   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Mechanicsville |
Mechanicsville |
|
 
| Mechanicsville |
Menchville LC |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Meridian |
Meridian |
|
 
| Meridian |
Midlothian |
Midlothian |
|
 
| Midlothian |
Mills Godwin |
Mills Godwin |
|
 
| Mills Godwin |
Monacan |
Monacan |
|
 
| Monacan |
Monticello |
Monticello |
|
 
| Monticello |
Mountain View |
Mountain View |
|
 
| Mountain View |
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
|
 
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
New Covenant School |
New Covenant School |
|
 
| New Covenant School |
Norfolk Academy |
Norfolk Academy |
|
 
| Norfolk Academy |
Norfolk Christian |
Norfolk Christian |
|
 
| Norfolk Christian |
Norfolk Collegiate |
Norfolk Collegiate |
|
 
| Norfolk Collegiate |
North Cross School |
North Cross School |
|
 
| North Cross School |
North Stafford |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Northern VA Home Sch |
Mount Vernon |
|
Mount Vernon   2- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
Oakton |
Oakton |
|
Oakton   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Ocean Lakes |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
Orange County |
Orange County |
|
 
| Orange County |
Osbourn |
Mount Vernon |
|
Mount Vernon   5- 1 vs 0- 5 |
|
Osbourn Park |
Mount Vernon |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Mount Vernon |
Park View |
Mount Vernon |
|
Mount Vernon   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Patrick Henry Ashla |
Patrick Henry Ashla |
|
 
| Patrick Henry Ashla |
Patrick Henry Roano |
Patrick Henry Roano |
|
 
| Patrick Henry Roano |
Patriot |
Patriot |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Patriot |
Paul VI |
Paul VI |
|
 
| Paul VI |
Potomac Falls |
Potomac Falls |
|
 
| Potomac Falls |
Potomac School |
Potomac School |
|
 
| Potomac School |
Potomac-Dumfries |
Mount Vernon |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Mount Vernon |
Powhatan |
Powhatan |
|
 
| Powhatan |
Princess Anne |
Princess Anne |
|
 
| Princess Anne |
Riverbend |
Riverbend |
|
 
| Riverbend |
Riverside |
Riverside |
|
 
| Riverside |
Robinson |
Robinson |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Robinson |
Rock Ridge |
Rock Ridge |
|
 
| Rock Ridge |
Rockbridge County |
Rockbridge County |
|
 
| Rockbridge County |
Rockingham LC |
Rockingham LC |
|
 
| Rockingham LC |
Salem |
Salem |
|
 
| Salem |
Salem Virginia Beach |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Seton School |
Seton School |
|
 
| Seton School |
South County |
South County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) |
South County |
South Lakes |
South Lakes |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) |
South Lakes |
St Annes-Belfield |
St Annes-Belfield |
|
 
| St Annes-Belfield |
St Christophers |
St Christophers |
|
 
| St Christophers |
St John Paul the Gre |
St John Paul the Gre |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
St John Paul the Gre |
St Stephen-St Agnes |
St Stephen-St Agnes |
|
 
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
Stafford |
Stafford |
|
 
| Stafford |
Steward School |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Stone Bridge |
Stone Bridge |
|
 
| Stone Bridge |
Strasburg LC |
Strasburg LC |
|
 
| Strasburg LC |
Tabb LC |
Tabb LC |
|
 
| Tabb LC |
Tallwood |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Tandem Friends |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Thomas Dale |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Thomas Jefferson |
Thomas Jefferson |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) |
Thomas Jefferson |
Trinity Christian |
Trinity Christian |
|
 
| Trinity Christian |
Trinity Episcopal |
Trinity Episcopal |
|
 
| Trinity Episcopal |
Trinity Meadow View |
Trinity Meadow View |
|
Trinity Meadow View   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Tuscarora |
Tuscarora |
|
 
| Tuscarora |
Unity Reed |
Mount Vernon |
Mount Vernon |
 
| |
Veritas School |
Veritas School |
|
 
| Veritas School |
Virginia Academy |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Virginia Episcopal S |
Virginia Episcopal S |
|
 
| Virginia Episcopal S |
Wakefield HS |
Wakefield HS |
Wakefield HS |
 
| |
Wakefield School |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Washington-Liberty |
Washington-Liberty |
|
Washington-Liberty   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
West Potomac |
West Potomac |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
West Potomac |
West Springfield |
West Springfield |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
West Springfield |
Western Albemarle |
Western Albemarle |
|
 
| Western Albemarle |
Westfield |
Westfield |
|
Westfield   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
William Byrd |
William Byrd |
|
 
| William Byrd |
William Fleming |
William Fleming |
|
 
| William Fleming |
Woodberry Forest |
Woodberry Forest |
|
 
| Woodberry Forest |
Woodbridge |
Woodbridge |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Woodbridge |
Woodgrove |
Woodgrove |
|
 
| Woodgrove |
Woodson |
Woodson |
Woodson |
 
| |
York LC |
Mount Vernon |
|
 
| Mount Vernon |
Yorktown |
Yorktown |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Yorktown |
PowerWise = 33

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Unity Reed ( 5- 9, 72.1) 10- 2 -27.81 7.20 0.61 1.07 8.37
0 A Herndon ( 8- 4, 89.9) 0-14 -10.00 25.00 0.61 1.07 -10.07
0 H Wakefield HS ( 4-10, 81.9) 2-11 -18.05 16.95 -0.61 1.07 -20.01
0 H Thomas Jeffers ( 6- 8, 78.2) 2- 1 -21.72 13.28 -0.61 1.07 13.60
0 A Lewis ( 2-10, 69.7) 7- 0 -30.21 4.79 0.61 1.07 5.79
0 A Gar-field ( 1-14, 70.4) 7- 4 -29.47 5.54 0.61 1.07 6.59
0 H Edison ( 9- 8, 81.2) 1-12 -18.67 16.33 -0.61 1.07 -20.68
0 A Falls Church ( 6- 8, 80.6) 5-15 -19.32 15.68 0.61 1.07 -20.07
0 H Justice ( 5- 9, 78.8) 2- 5 -21.05 13.95 -0.61 1.07 -23.23
0 H Hayfield (14- 5, 85.1) 1-14 -14.85 20.15 -0.61 1.07 -16.58
0 A Annandale ( 3- 9, 74.2) 8- 5 -25.71 9.29 0.61 1.07 10.62
0 H Thomas Jeffers ( 6- 8, 78.2) 3- 7 -21.72 13.28 -0.61 1.07 -23.95
0 A Woodson ( 9- 9, 86.9) 1-15 -13.02 21.99 0.61 1.07 -13.31
------
-102.93
|
winning pts = 44.9699 losing points = -147.9014
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------