Merrimack Valley
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 86.0841Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 416 A Hollis-Brookline (13- 6, 89.9) 6- 9 418 H Kingswood ( 4-10, 84.3) 10- 5 421 A Souhegan ( 4-13, 83.6) 10-11 423 H Hanover ( 6-10, 86.1) 7- 5 425 A St Thomas Aquinas (13- 6, 90.4) 5-19 430 A Manchester Memorial- ( 3-12, 84.6) 8- 6 505 H Derryfield (18- 1, 93.0) 6-20 507 A Spaulding ( 0-16, 74.7) 14- 5 512 H Oyster River-Newmark ( 9- 8, 87.7) 5- 6 515 A Winnacunnet (13- 4, 90.7) 4-16 516 H Goffstown ( 9- 7, 88.2) 4-11 519 A Alvirne ( 1-15, 79.3) 16- 3 521 H Portsmouth (16- 4, 92.5) 8-17 523 A Timberlane (12- 5, 89.3) 8-14 530 H Pembroke Academy ( 2-13, 81.9) 11- 0 605 A Oyster River-Newmark ( 9- 8, 87.7) 7- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
416 A Hollis-Brookline 6- 9 -3 -4 1.16
418 H Kingswood 10- 5 5 2 + 2.84
421 A Souhegan 10-11 -1 2 - -3.13
423 H Hanover 7- 5 2 0 1.66
425 A St Thomas Aquinas 5-19 -14 -5 -0.28
430 A Manchester Memorial- 8- 6 2 1 0.94
505 H Derryfield 6-20 -14 -6 0.00
507 A Spaulding 14- 5 9 11 0.00
512 H Oyster River-Newmark 5- 6 -1 -1 0.23
515 A Winnacunnet 4-16 -12 -5 -0.03
516 H Goffstown 4-11 -7 -2 - -3.31
519 A Alvirne 16- 3 13 6 0.00
521 H Portsmouth 8-17 -9 -6 0.00
523 A Timberlane 8-14 -6 -4 -1.39
530 H Pembroke Academy 11- 0 11 5 0.43
605 A Oyster River-Newmark 7- 8 -1 -2 0.98
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 A Souhegan 10-11 -1 2 - -3.13 516 H Goffstown 4-11 -7 -2 - -3.31 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H Kingswood 10- 5 5 2 + 2.84 |
Merrimack Valley Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvirne | Merrimack Valley | Merrimack Valley | ||
| Bedford | Bedford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bedford | |
| Bishop Brady | Bishop Brady | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bishop Brady | |
| Bishop Guertin | Bishop Guertin | Bishop Guertin | ||
| Bow | Bow | Bow | ||
| Campbell | Campbell | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Campbell | |
| Coe-Brown | Coe-Brown | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Coe-Brown | |
| Concord | Concord | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Concord | |
| ConVal | ConVal | ConVal | ||
| Derryfield | Derryfield | Derryfield | ||
| Dover | Dover | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Dover | |
| Exeter HS | Exeter HS | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Exeter HS | |
| Gilford | Merrimack Valley | Merrimack Valley | ||
| Goffstown | Goffstown | Goffstown | ||
| Hanover | Merrimack Valley | Merrimack Valley | ||
| Hollis-Brookline | Hollis-Brookline | Hollis-Brookline | ||
| Hopkinton | Hopkinton | Hopkinton | ||
| Inter-Lakes-Moultonb | Merrimack Valley | Merrimack Valley | ||
| John Stark | Merrimack Valley | Merrimack Valley | ||
| Kearsarge | Kearsarge | Kearsarge | ||
| Keene-Monadnock | Merrimack Valley | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Merrimack Valley | |
| Kennett | Merrimack Valley | Merrimack Valley | ||
| Kingswood | Merrimack Valley | Merrimack Valley | ||
| Laconia | Laconia | Laconia | ||
| Lebanon | Merrimack Valley | Merrimack Valley | ||
| Londonderry | Londonderry | Londonderry 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Manchester Memorial- | Merrimack Valley | Merrimack Valley | ||
| Merrimack | Merrimack | Merrimack 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Milford | Merrimack Valley | Merrimack Valley | ||
| Nashua North | Merrimack Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Merrimack Valley | |
| Nashua South | Nashua South | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Nashua South | |
| Oyster River-Newmark | Oyster River-Newmark | Oyster River-Newmark | ||
| Pelham | Merrimack Valley | Merrimack Valley | ||
| Pembroke Academy | Merrimack Valley | Merrimack Valley | ||
| Pinkerton Academy | Pinkerton Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Pinkerton Academy | |
| Plymouth Regional | Plymouth Regional | Plymouth Regional | ||
| Portsmouth | Portsmouth | Portsmouth | ||
| Salem | Merrimack Valley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Merrimack Valley | |
| Souhegan | Souhegan | Souhegan | ||
| Spaulding | Merrimack Valley | Merrimack Valley | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | ||
| Stevens | Merrimack Valley | Merrimack Valley | ||
| Timberlane | Timberlane | Timberlane | ||
| Trinity Manchester | Merrimack Valley | Merrimack Valley | ||
| Windham | Windham | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Windham | |
| Winnacunnet | Winnacunnet | Winnacunnet |
PowerWise = 18
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.30
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Hollis-Brookli (13- 6, 89.9) 6- 9 -10.03 16.56 0.38 1.02 -9.84
0 H Kingswood ( 4-10, 84.3) 10- 5 -15.60 11.00 -0.38 1.02 10.82
0 A Souhegan ( 4-13, 83.6) 10-11 -16.33 10.27 0.38 1.02 -16.25
0 H Hanover ( 6-10, 86.1) 7- 5 -13.78 12.82 -0.38 1.02 12.67
0 A St Thomas Aqui (13- 6, 90.4) 5-19 -9.47 17.12 0.38 1.02 -9.27
0 A Manchester Mem ( 3-12, 84.6) 8- 6 -15.25 11.34 0.38 1.02 11.94
0 H Derryfield (18- 1, 93.0) 6-20 -6.94 19.66 -0.38 1.02 -7.45
0 A Spaulding ( 0-16, 74.7) 14- 5 -25.23 1.37 0.38 1.02 1.78
0 H Oyster River-N ( 9- 8, 87.7) 5- 6 -12.21 14.38 -0.38 1.02 -12.82
0 A Winnacunnet (13- 4, 90.7) 4-16 -9.22 17.37 0.38 1.02 -9.01
0 H Goffstown ( 9- 7, 88.2) 4-11 -11.75 14.85 -0.38 1.02 -12.35
0 A Alvirne ( 1-15, 79.3) 16- 3 -20.56 6.04 0.38 1.02 6.53
0 H Portsmouth (16- 4, 92.5) 8-17 -7.37 19.22 -0.38 1.02 -7.89
0 A Timberlane (12- 5, 89.3) 8-14 -10.58 16.01 0.38 1.02 -10.40
0 H Pembroke Acade ( 2-13, 81.9) 11- 0 -18.01 8.59 -0.38 1.02 8.37
0 A Oyster River-N ( 9- 8, 87.7) 7- 8 -12.21 14.38 0.38 1.02 -12.06
------
-55.23
|
winning pts = 52.1053 losing points = -107.3392
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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