---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Mercer Island 1
  
Mercer Island         
W-L: (12- 3) PR = 99.1116

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 314 A Curtis (11- 4, 97.9) 11- 3 315 H Woodinville ( 4-10, 90.1) 19- 8 322 H Mount Si (17- 2, 99.9) 12-11 327 A Skyline ( 5- 7, 93.4) 16- 5 328 H Issaquah ( 5- 8, 91.9) 9- 2 331 H Sumner ( 7- 6, 91.8) 17- 3 408 A Juanita ( 2-10, 89.1) 13- 2 410 H Bellarmine Prep ( 8- 6, 96.0) 16-10 422 H Bellevue ( 9- 5, 96.5) 12-10 429 A Eastlake (16- 3, 99.5) 7- 8 502 A Bothell (11- 5, 96.2) 16- 3 506 H Seattle Prep (13- 1, 99.5) 9-11 517 H Stanwood ( 3-12, 82.7) 17- 8 521 H Ballard (11- 6, 92.5) 16- 5 524 H Bellevue ( 9- 5, 96.5) 4- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Curtis                 11- 3       8     1    ++     4.33
   315 H Woodinville            19- 8      11    10           0.00
   322 H Mount Si               12-11       1     0           1.27
   327 A Skyline                16- 5      11     5           0.00
   328 H Issaquah                9- 2       7     8           0.00
   331 H Sumner                 17- 3      14     8           0.00
   408 A Juanita                13- 2      11    10           0.00
   410 H Bellarmine Prep        16-10       6     4           1.33
   422 H Bellevue               12-10       2     3          -1.16
   429 A Eastlake                7- 8      -1    -1          -0.05
   502 A Bothell                16- 3      13     2    +      2.65
   506 H Seattle Prep            9-11      -2     0    -     -2.17
   517 H Stanwood               17- 8       9    17           0.00
   521 H Ballard                16- 5      11     7           0.00
   524 H Bellevue                4- 7      -3     3    ---   -6.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   524 H Bellevue                4- 7      -3     3    ---   -6.16
   506 H Seattle Prep            9-11      -2     0    -     -2.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Curtis                 11- 3       8     1    ++     4.33
   502 A Bothell                16- 3      13     2    +      2.65

Mercer Island Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anacortes Mercer Island Mercer Island   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Archbishop Murphy Mercer Island insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer Island
Arlington Mercer Island tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercer Island
Auburn Riverside Mercer Island Mercer Island   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bainbridge Island Mercer Island Mercer Island   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Ballard Mercer Island Mercer Island  
Bellarmine Prep Mercer Island Mercer Island  
Bellevue Mercer Island insuffient: ( 6- 2)( 5- 3) Mercer Island
Bellingham Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Blanchet Mercer Island insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Mercer Island
Bonney Lake Mercer Island insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer Island
Bothell Mercer Island Mercer Island  
Burlington-Edison Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Camas Mercer Island Mercer Island   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Cedarcrest Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Chiawana Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Curtis Mercer Island Mercer Island  
East Valley Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Eastlake Eastlake Eastlake  
Eastside Catholic Mercer Island insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Mercer Island
Emerald Ridge Mercer Island insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer Island
Enumclaw Mercer Island Mercer Island   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Franklin Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Gig Harbor Mercer Island insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer Island
Glacier Peak Mercer Island insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Mercer Island
Graham Kapowsin Mercer Island Mercer Island   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Hanford Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Hermiston Mercer Island insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Mercer Island
Inglemoor Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Interlake Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Issaquah Mercer Island Mercer Island  
Jackson Mercer Island Mercer Island   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Juanita Mercer Island Mercer Island  
Kamiak Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Kamiakin Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Kennedy Catholic Mercer Island insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Mercer Island
Klahowya Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Lake Stevens Mercer Island Mercer Island   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Lake Washington Mercer Island insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer Island
Lakeside Mercer Island insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Mercer Island
Liberty Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Lincoln Mercer Island insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer Island
Lynden Mercer Island insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer Island
Marysville Getchell Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Monroe Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Mount Si Mercer Island Mercer Island  
Mount Vernon Mercer Island insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer Island
Mountain View Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Nathan Hale Mercer Island insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer Island
Newport Mercer Island insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer Island
North Creek Mercer Island insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer Island
North Kitsap Mercer Island   Mercer Island
O'Dea Mercer Island insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 4- 3) Mercer Island
Olympia Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Orting Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Overlake Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Peninsula Mercer Island insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer Island
Providence Classical Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Puyallup Mercer Island Mercer Island   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Redmond Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Richland Mercer Island insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Mercer Island
Rogers Mercer Island Mercer Island   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Roosevelt Mercer Island insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer Island
Sammamish Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Seattle Academy Mercer Island Mercer Island   4- 2 vs 1- 4
Seattle Prep Seattle Prep Seattle Prep  
Sedro-Woolley Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Sehome Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Selah Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Shorecrest Mercer Island Mercer Island   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Skyline Mercer Island Mercer Island  
Skyview Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Snohomish Mercer Island Mercer Island   3- 1 vs 1- 2
South Kitsap Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Southridge Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Squalicum Mercer Island tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercer Island
Stadium Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Stanwood Mercer Island Mercer Island  
Sumner Mercer Island Mercer Island  
Tahoma Mercer Island Mercer Island   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Union Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Vashon Island Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Walla Walla Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Wenatchee Mercer Island   Mercer Island
West Seattle Mercer Island insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer Island
White River Mercer Island   Mercer Island
Woodinville Mercer Island Mercer Island  

PowerWise = 85


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Curtis          (11- 4, 97.9)    11- 3       -1.98      23.82       0.52         0.76            18.40
   0 H Woodinville     ( 4-10, 90.1)    19- 8       -9.80      16.00      -0.52         0.76            11.70
   0 H Mount Si        (17- 2, 99.9)    12-11       -0.00      25.80      -0.52         0.76            19.11
   0 A Skyline         ( 5- 7, 93.4)    16- 5       -6.46      19.34       0.52         0.76            15.01
   0 H Issaquah        ( 5- 8, 91.9)     9- 2       -7.98      17.82      -0.52         0.76            13.08
   0 H Sumner          ( 7- 6, 91.8)    17- 3       -8.14      17.66      -0.52         0.76            12.96
   0 A Juanita         ( 2-10, 89.1)    13- 2      -10.84      14.96       0.52         0.76            11.71
   0 H Bellarmine Pre  ( 8- 6, 96.0)    16-10       -3.94      21.86      -0.52         0.76            16.13
   0 H Bellevue        ( 9- 5, 96.5)    12-10       -3.43      22.37      -0.52         0.76            16.52
   0 A Eastlake        (16- 3, 99.5)     7- 8       -0.36      25.44       0.52         0.76            -0.12
   0 A Bothell         (11- 5, 96.2)    16- 3       -3.66      22.14       0.52         0.76            17.14
   0 H Seattle Prep    (13- 1, 99.5)     9-11       -0.43      25.37      -0.52         0.76            -0.72
   0 H Stanwood        ( 3-12, 82.7)    17- 8      -17.15       8.65      -0.52         0.76             6.15
   0 H Ballard         (11- 6, 92.5)    16- 5       -7.39      18.41      -0.52         0.76            13.53
   0 H Bellevue        ( 9- 5, 96.5)     4- 7       -3.43      22.37      -0.52         0.76            -2.98
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       167.62

winning pts = 171.4429 losing points = -3.8263

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------