Mercer Island
W-L: (12- 3) PR = 99.1116
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
314 A Curtis (11- 4, 97.9) 11- 3
315 H Woodinville ( 4-10, 90.1) 19- 8
322 H Mount Si (17- 2, 99.9) 12-11
327 A Skyline ( 5- 7, 93.4) 16- 5
328 H Issaquah ( 5- 8, 91.9) 9- 2
331 H Sumner ( 7- 6, 91.8) 17- 3
408 A Juanita ( 2-10, 89.1) 13- 2
410 H Bellarmine Prep ( 8- 6, 96.0) 16-10
422 H Bellevue ( 9- 5, 96.5) 12-10
429 A Eastlake (16- 3, 99.5) 7- 8
502 A Bothell (11- 5, 96.2) 16- 3
506 H Seattle Prep (13- 1, 99.5) 9-11
517 H Stanwood ( 3-12, 82.7) 17- 8
521 H Ballard (11- 6, 92.5) 16- 5
524 H Bellevue ( 9- 5, 96.5) 4- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
314 A Curtis 11- 3 8 1 ++ 4.33
315 H Woodinville 19- 8 11 10 0.00
322 H Mount Si 12-11 1 0 1.27
327 A Skyline 16- 5 11 5 0.00
328 H Issaquah 9- 2 7 8 0.00
331 H Sumner 17- 3 14 8 0.00
408 A Juanita 13- 2 11 10 0.00
410 H Bellarmine Prep 16-10 6 4 1.33
422 H Bellevue 12-10 2 3 -1.16
429 A Eastlake 7- 8 -1 -1 -0.05
502 A Bothell 16- 3 13 2 + 2.65
506 H Seattle Prep 9-11 -2 0 - -2.17
517 H Stanwood 17- 8 9 17 0.00
521 H Ballard 16- 5 11 7 0.00
524 H Bellevue 4- 7 -3 3 --- -6.16
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
524 H Bellevue 4- 7 -3 3 --- -6.16
506 H Seattle Prep 9-11 -2 0 - -2.17
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
314 A Curtis 11- 3 8 1 ++ 4.33
502 A Bothell 16- 3 13 2 + 2.65
|
Mercer Island Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Anacortes |
Mercer Island |
|
Mercer Island   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Archbishop Murphy |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Mercer Island |
Arlington |
Mercer Island |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Mercer Island |
Auburn Riverside |
Mercer Island |
|
Mercer Island   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Bainbridge Island |
Mercer Island |
|
Mercer Island   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
Ballard |
Mercer Island |
Mercer Island |
 
| |
Bellarmine Prep |
Mercer Island |
Mercer Island |
 
| |
Bellevue |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 6- 2)( 5- 3) |
Mercer Island |
Bellingham |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Blanchet |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Mercer Island |
Bonney Lake |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Mercer Island |
Bothell |
Mercer Island |
Mercer Island |
 
| |
Burlington-Edison |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Camas |
Mercer Island |
|
Mercer Island   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Cedarcrest |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Chiawana |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Curtis |
Mercer Island |
Mercer Island |
 
| |
East Valley |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Eastlake |
Eastlake |
Eastlake |
 
|
Eastside Catholic |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) |
Mercer Island |
Emerald Ridge |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Mercer Island |
Enumclaw |
Mercer Island |
|
Mercer Island   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Franklin |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Gig Harbor |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Mercer Island |
Glacier Peak |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) |
Mercer Island |
Graham Kapowsin |
Mercer Island |
|
Mercer Island   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
Hanford |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Hermiston |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Mercer Island |
Inglemoor |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Interlake |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Issaquah |
Mercer Island |
Mercer Island |
 
| |
Jackson |
Mercer Island |
|
Mercer Island   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Juanita |
Mercer Island |
Mercer Island |
 
| |
Kamiak |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Kamiakin |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Kennedy Catholic |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Mercer Island |
Klahowya |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Lake Stevens |
Mercer Island |
|
Mercer Island   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
Lake Washington |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Mercer Island |
Lakeside |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Mercer Island |
Liberty |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Lincoln |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Mercer Island |
Lynden |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Mercer Island |
Marysville Getchell |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Monroe |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Mount Si |
Mercer Island |
Mercer Island |
 
| |
Mount Vernon |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Mercer Island |
Mountain View |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Nathan Hale |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Mercer Island |
Newport |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Mercer Island |
North Creek |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Mercer Island |
North Kitsap |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
O'Dea |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 4- 3) |
Mercer Island |
Olympia |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Orting |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Overlake |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Peninsula |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Mercer Island |
Providence Classical |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Puyallup |
Mercer Island |
|
Mercer Island   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Redmond |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Richland |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Mercer Island |
Rogers |
Mercer Island |
|
Mercer Island   5- 0 vs 2- 3 |
|
Roosevelt |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Mercer Island |
Sammamish |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Seattle Academy |
Mercer Island |
|
Mercer Island   4- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
Seattle Prep |
Seattle Prep |
Seattle Prep |
 
| |
Sedro-Woolley |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Sehome |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Selah |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Shorecrest |
Mercer Island |
|
Mercer Island   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Skyline |
Mercer Island |
Mercer Island |
 
| |
Skyview |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Snohomish |
Mercer Island |
|
Mercer Island   3- 1 vs 1- 2 |
|
South Kitsap |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Southridge |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Squalicum |
Mercer Island |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Mercer Island |
Stadium |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Stanwood |
Mercer Island |
Mercer Island |
 
| |
Sumner |
Mercer Island |
Mercer Island |
 
| |
Tahoma |
Mercer Island |
|
Mercer Island   6- 0 vs 2- 4 |
|
Union |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Vashon Island |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Walla Walla |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Wenatchee |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
West Seattle |
Mercer Island |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Mercer Island |
White River |
Mercer Island |
|
 
| Mercer Island |
Woodinville |
Mercer Island |
Mercer Island |
 
| |
PowerWise = 85

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Curtis (11- 4, 97.9) 11- 3 -1.98 23.82 0.52 0.76 18.40
0 H Woodinville ( 4-10, 90.1) 19- 8 -9.80 16.00 -0.52 0.76 11.70
0 H Mount Si (17- 2, 99.9) 12-11 -0.00 25.80 -0.52 0.76 19.11
0 A Skyline ( 5- 7, 93.4) 16- 5 -6.46 19.34 0.52 0.76 15.01
0 H Issaquah ( 5- 8, 91.9) 9- 2 -7.98 17.82 -0.52 0.76 13.08
0 H Sumner ( 7- 6, 91.8) 17- 3 -8.14 17.66 -0.52 0.76 12.96
0 A Juanita ( 2-10, 89.1) 13- 2 -10.84 14.96 0.52 0.76 11.71
0 H Bellarmine Pre ( 8- 6, 96.0) 16-10 -3.94 21.86 -0.52 0.76 16.13
0 H Bellevue ( 9- 5, 96.5) 12-10 -3.43 22.37 -0.52 0.76 16.52
0 A Eastlake (16- 3, 99.5) 7- 8 -0.36 25.44 0.52 0.76 -0.12
0 A Bothell (11- 5, 96.2) 16- 3 -3.66 22.14 0.52 0.76 17.14
0 H Seattle Prep (13- 1, 99.5) 9-11 -0.43 25.37 -0.52 0.76 -0.72
0 H Stanwood ( 3-12, 82.7) 17- 8 -17.15 8.65 -0.52 0.76 6.15
0 H Ballard (11- 6, 92.5) 16- 5 -7.39 18.41 -0.52 0.76 13.53
0 H Bellevue ( 9- 5, 96.5) 4- 7 -3.43 22.37 -0.52 0.76 -2.98
------
167.62
|
winning pts = 171.4429 losing points = -3.8263
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------