Page
W-L: (12-10) PR = 87.5299Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 H Chapel Hill (12- 8, 89.5) 11-12 304 H Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 12-11 306 H Bishop McGuinness (10-11, 83.0) 13- 3 308 A Ardrey Kell (16- 5, 94.0) 6-17 311 A Davie (17- 3, 89.9) 8-16 313 A Myers Park ( 7-12, 88.4) 6-15 318 H Hough (18- 4, 95.7) 3-16 320 H RJ Reynolds (19- 3, 92.5) 8-16 325 H Forsyth Country Day (13- 4, 89.7) 13-12 328 A Mooresville ( 4-15, 83.8) 18- 7 403 H Southwest Guilford ( 2-17, 77.1) 16- 6 408 A Ragsdale ( 2-11, 74.4) 20- 0 410 H Northwest Guilford (20- 5, 94.7) 7-17 422 A Western Guilford ( 6-14, 77.2) 25- 3 424 H Northern Guilford ( 9- 8, 88.8) 7-11 428 A Grimsley ( 9-12, 82.8) 16- 9 501 A Southeast Guilford ( 6-11, 80.1) 14- 7 502 A Mount Tabor ( 5-14, 81.1) 19- 3 506 A Northern Guilford ( 9- 8, 88.8) 9- 7 508 A Northwest Guilford (20- 5, 94.7) 3-16 513 H Ballantyne Ridge ( 8- 7, 83.7) 14- 8 515 A TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 7- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
228 H Chapel Hill 11-12 -1 -2 0.72
304 H Reagan 12-11 1 1 -0.03
306 H Bishop McGuinness 13- 3 10 5 0.16
308 A Ardrey Kell 6-17 -11 -7 0.00
311 A Davie 8-16 -8 -3 - -2.36
313 A Myers Park 6-15 -9 -1 - -3.83
318 H Hough 3-16 -13 -8 0.00
320 H RJ Reynolds 8-16 -8 -5 -0.26
325 H Forsyth Country Day 13-12 1 -2 + 2.92
328 A Mooresville 18- 7 11 3 1.53
403 H Southwest Guilford 16- 6 10 11 0.00
408 A Ragsdale 20- 0 20 13 0.00
410 H Northwest Guilford 7-17 -10 -7 0.00
422 A Western Guilford 25- 3 22 10 0.00
424 H Northern Guilford 7-11 -4 -1 - -3.00
428 A Grimsley 16- 9 7 4 0.52
501 A Southeast Guilford 14- 7 7 7 0.00
502 A Mount Tabor 19- 3 16 6 0.00
506 A Northern Guilford 9- 7 2 -2 + 3.55
508 A Northwest Guilford 3-16 -13 -7 0.00
513 H Ballantyne Ridge 14- 8 6 4 0.91
515 A TC Roberson 7- 9 -2 -1 -0.80
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 A Davie 8-16 -8 -3 - -2.36 313 A Myers Park 6-15 -9 -1 - -3.83 424 H Northern Guilford 7-11 -4 -1 - -3.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H Forsyth Country Day 13-12 1 -2 + 2.92 506 A Northern Guilford 9- 7 2 -2 + 3.55 |
Page Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Apex Friendship | |
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | ||
| Arendell Parrott Aca | Page | Page | ||
| Asheville HS | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Page | |
| Asheville School | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Ashley | Ashley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ashley | |
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | Athens Drive | ||
| Atkins | Page | insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1) | Page | |
| Ballantyne Ridge | Page | Page | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | Page | Page | ||
| Bradford Prep | Page | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Broughton | Broughton | Broughton | ||
| Butler | Page | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 3) | Page | |
| Cannon School | Cannon School | Cannon School | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Page | |
| Cape Fear HS | Page | Page | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cardinal Gibbons | |
| Carrboro | Page | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Page | |
| Cary Academy | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Cary Christian | Page | Page | ||
| Cary HS | Page | Page | ||
| Cedar Ridge | Page | Page | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic 5- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Charlotte CDS | |
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Charlotte Christian | |
| Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Charlotte Latin | |
| Christ School | Christ School | Christ School | ||
| Christ The King | Christ The King | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Christ The King | |
| Clayton | Page | Page | ||
| Cleveland | Page | Page | ||
| Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Community School-Dav | |
| Corinth Holders | Page | Page | ||
| Cornerstone Charter | Page | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Page | |
| Croatan | Croatan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Croatan | |
| Cuthbertson | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 1) | Page | |
| Davie | Davie | Davie | ||
| DH Conley | Page | Page | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Durham Academy | |
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| East Forsyth | Page | Page 5- 3 vs 3- 6 | ||
| Eastern Alamance | Page | Page | ||
| Eastern Guilford | Page | Page 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Enloe | Page | Page | ||
| Fike | Page | Page | ||
| First Flight | First Flight | First Flight | ||
| Forsyth Country Day | Page | Page | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Page | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Garner | Page | Page | ||
| Glenn | Page | Page 5- 3 vs 3- 5 | ||
| Grays Creek | Page | Page | ||
| Green Hope | Green Hope | Green Hope | ||
| Green Level | Green Level | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Green Level | |
| Greensboro Day | Page | Page 4- 1 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Grimsley | Page | Page | ||
| Havelock | Page | Page | ||
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage | ||
| Hickory | Page | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| High Point Central | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Hough | Hough | Hough | ||
| Hunt | Page | Page | ||
| Independence | Page | Page | ||
| Jack Britt | Page | Page | ||
| Jacksonville | Page | Page | ||
| JF Webb | Page | Page | ||
| JH Rose | Page | Page | ||
| John Paul II Catholi | Page | Page | ||
| Jordan | Page | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Lake Norman Charter | |
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS 6- 0 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Laney | Laney | Laney | ||
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | Leesville Road | ||
| Lincoln Charter | Page | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 1) | Page | |
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Marvin Ridge | |
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Millbrook | Millbrook | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Millbrook | |
| Mooresville | Page | Page | ||
| Mount Tabor | Page | Page | ||
| Mountain Island Char | Page | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Myers Park | Myers Park | Myers Park | ||
| New Bern | Page | Page | ||
| New Hanover | Page | Page | ||
| North Brunswick | Page | Page | ||
| North Davidson | Page | Page 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| North Lincoln | Page | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Page | |
| North Raleigh Christ | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Northern Durham | Page | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Northern Guilford | Northern Guilford | tied - ( 7- 4) ( 7- 4) | Northern Guilford | |
| Northside | Page | Page | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | ||
| Northwood | Page | Page | ||
| Panther Creek | Page | Page | ||
| Parkwood | Page | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Patton Morganton | Page | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Pine Forest | Page | Page | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) | Page | |
| Pinecrest | Page | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Porter Ridge | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Page | |
| Providence | Page | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 4) | Page | |
| Providence Day | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Providence Day | |
| Queens Grant | Page | Page | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | ||
| Ragsdale | Page | Page | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Reagan | Page | Page | ||
| Riverside Durham | Page | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | ||
| Rolesville | Page | Page | ||
| Roxboro Community | Page | Page | ||
| Sanderson | Page | Page | ||
| Seaforth | Seaforth | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Seaforth | |
| South Brunswick | Page | Page | ||
| South Garner | Page | Page | ||
| South Iredell | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Page | |
| South Mecklenburg | Page | Page 2- 2 vs 0- 6 | ||
| South View | Page | Page | ||
| Southeast Alamance | Page | Page | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Page | Page | ||
| Southern Alamance | Page | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Page | |
| Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Southlake Christian | |
| Southwest Guilford | Page | Page | ||
| St Davids School | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Page | |
| St Stephens | Page | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Page | |
| Sun Valley | Page | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) | Page | |
| Swansboro | Page | Page | ||
| TC Roberson | TC Roberson | TC Roberson | ||
| Terry Sanford | Page | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Page | |
| Topsail | Topsail | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Topsail | |
| Union Pines | Page | Page | ||
| Vance Charter | Page | Page | ||
| Voyager Academy | Page | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Page | |
| Wake Forest | Page | Page | ||
| Wake Prep | Page | Page | ||
| Wakefield | Page | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Walter M Williams | Page | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Page | |
| Watauga | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Weddington | Weddington | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 2) | Weddington | |
| West Brunswick | Page | Page | ||
| West Carteret | Page | Page | ||
| West Forsyth | Page | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) | Page | |
| West Stokes | Page | Page 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Western Alamance | Page | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Page | |
| Western Guilford | Page | Page | ||
| Willow Spring | Willow Spring | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 101
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Chapel Hill (12- 8, 89.5) 11-12 -10.38 23.43 -0.27 0.82 -8.68
0 H Reagan (12-12, 86.8) 12-11 -13.13 20.68 -0.27 0.82 16.64
0 H Bishop McGuinn (10-11, 83.0) 13- 3 -16.94 16.87 -0.27 0.82 13.53
0 A Ardrey Kell (16- 5, 94.0) 6-17 -5.86 27.95 0.27 0.82 -4.56
0 A Davie (17- 3, 89.9) 8-16 -10.00 23.81 0.27 0.82 -7.93
0 A Myers Park ( 7-12, 88.4) 6-15 -11.47 22.33 0.27 0.82 -9.13
0 H Hough (18- 4, 95.7) 3-16 -4.21 29.60 -0.27 0.82 -3.65
0 H RJ Reynolds (19- 3, 92.5) 8-16 -7.36 26.45 -0.27 0.82 -6.22
0 H Forsyth Countr (13- 4, 89.7) 13-12 -10.18 23.63 -0.27 0.82 19.04
0 A Mooresville ( 4-15, 83.8) 18- 7 -16.12 17.69 0.27 0.82 14.64
0 H Southwest Guil ( 2-17, 77.1) 16- 6 -22.76 11.05 -0.27 0.82 8.78
0 A Ragsdale ( 2-11, 74.4) 20- 0 -25.53 8.28 0.27 0.82 6.97
0 H Northwest Guil (20- 5, 94.7) 7-17 -5.18 28.63 -0.27 0.82 -4.45
0 A Western Guilfo ( 6-14, 77.2) 25- 3 -22.70 11.11 0.27 0.82 9.28
0 H Northern Guilf ( 9- 8, 88.8) 7-11 -11.09 22.71 -0.27 0.82 -9.26
0 A Grimsley ( 9-12, 82.8) 16- 9 -17.12 16.69 0.27 0.82 13.82
0 A Southeast Guil ( 6-11, 80.1) 14- 7 -19.83 13.98 0.27 0.82 11.61
0 A Mount Tabor ( 5-14, 81.1) 19- 3 -18.81 15.00 0.27 0.82 12.44
0 A Northern Guilf ( 9- 8, 88.8) 9- 7 -11.09 22.71 0.27 0.82 18.74
0 A Northwest Guil (20- 5, 94.7) 3-16 -5.18 28.63 0.27 0.82 -4.00
0 H Ballantyne Rid ( 8- 7, 83.7) 14- 8 -16.19 17.62 -0.27 0.82 14.14
0 A TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 7- 9 -11.44 22.37 0.27 0.82 -9.10
------
92.64
|
winning pts = 159.6368 losing points = -66.9921
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------