---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:13 PDT

safe3step boys Fauquier 1
  
Fauquier              
W-L: ( 6- 9) PR = 82.2120

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 A Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 80.3) 12- 5 320 H Kettle Run ( 4- 9, 79.4) 15- 6 324 H Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 89.7) 6-20 325 A Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 6-15 401 A Patriot ( 8- 8, 86.2) 3- 7 403 H Liberty Bealeton ( 6- 6, 81.3) 8- 5 407 H Unity Reed ( 5- 9, 72.1) 11- 4 421 H Monticello (14- 3, 86.8) 4-16 424 A James Monroe (11- 3, 81.0) 11-13 428 H Meridian (13- 6, 87.1) 9-13 430 A Independence (19- 2, 93.8) 5-18 502 A Culpeper County ( 4-11, 75.7) 13- 6 507 A Eastern View ( 0-13, 72.3) 16- 1 519 A Brentsville (13- 3, 84.6) 5-16 527 A Brentsville (13- 3, 84.6) 10-20

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Loudoun Valley         12- 5       7     1    +      3.65
   320 H Kettle Run             15- 6       9     3           1.55
   324 H Stone Bridge            6-20     -14    -7           0.00
   325 A Broad Run               6-15      -9    -6           0.00
   401 A Patriot                 3- 7      -4    -5           0.64
   403 H Liberty  Bealeton       8- 5       3     2           1.50
   407 H Unity Reed             11- 4       7    11           0.00
   421 H Monticello              4-16     -12    -4          -0.98
   424 A James Monroe           11-13      -2     1    -     -2.62
   428 H Meridian                9-13      -4    -4           0.26
   430 A Independence            5-18     -13   -12           0.00
   502 A Culpeper County        13- 6       7     6           0.00
   507 A Eastern View           16- 1      15     9           0.00
   519 A Brentsville             5-16     -11    -3          -1.98
   527 A Brentsville            10-20     -10    -3          -1.98

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A James Monroe           11-13      -2     1    -     -2.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Loudoun Valley         12- 5       7     1    +      3.65

Fauquier Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Alexandria City
Annandale Fauquier   Fauquier
Atlee Atlee tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Battlefield
Bayside Fauquier   Fauquier
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville Brentsville  
Briar Woods Briar Woods Briar Woods   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Broad Run Broad Run Broad Run  
Brooke Point Brooke Point   Brooke Point
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring   Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Fauquier tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Fauquier
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Fauquier   Fauquier
Clover Hill Fauquier   Fauquier
Colgan Colgan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Fauquier tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fauquier
Culpeper County Fauquier Fauquier  
Deep Run Deep Run   Deep Run
Dominion Dominion insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Fauquier Fauquier  
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Fauquier   Fauquier
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fairfax
Falls Church Fauquier   Fauquier
First Colonial Fauquier   Fauquier
Fishburne Military A Fauquier   Fauquier
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Fauquier tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Fauquier
Forest Park Fauquier tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Fauquier
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Fauquier   Fauquier
Fredericksburg Acade Fauquier tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fauquier
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Gainesville
Gar-field Fauquier   Fauquier
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Goochland
Grafton LC Fauquier   Fauquier
Grassfield LC Fauquier   Fauquier
Green Run Fauquier   Fauquier
Handley Handley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Handley
Hanover Hanover tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hanover
Hayfield Hayfield   Hayfield
Heritage Leesburg Fauquier tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Fauquier
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Fauquier   Fauquier
Hidden Valley Fauquier   Fauquier
Highland School Fauquier   Fauquier
Highland Springs Fauquier   Fauquier
Hylton Fauquier tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fauquier
Independence Independence Independence  
James Monroe James Monroe James Monroe  
James River James River tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe Fauquier insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Fauquier
Justice Fauquier   Fauquier
Kellam Kellam tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kellam
Kempsville Fauquier   Fauquier
Kettle Run Fauquier Fauquier  
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Braddock
Landstown Fauquier   Fauquier
Langley Langley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Langley
Lewis Fauquier   Fauquier
Liberty Bealeton Fauquier Fauquier  
Lightridge Lightridge insuffient: ( 1- 6)( 2- 5) Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Fauquier   Fauquier
Loudoun County Loudoun County Loudoun County   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Loudoun Valley Fauquier Fauquier  
Madison Madison insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Madison
Manchester Manchester   Manchester
Marshall Fauquier   Fauquier
Massaponax Fauquier tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fauquier
Matoaca Fauquier   Fauquier
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Fauquier tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fauquier
Menchville LC Fauquier   Fauquier
Meridian Meridian Meridian  
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Fauquier   Fauquier
Monacan Monacan insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Monacan
Monticello Monticello Monticello  
Mount Vernon Fauquier tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fauquier
Mountain View Fauquier insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Fauquier
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Fauquier   Fauquier
Norfolk Collegiate Fauquier   Fauquier
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Fauquier   Fauquier
Northern VA Home Sch Fauquier   Fauquier
Oakton Oakton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Oakton
Ocean Lakes Fauquier   Fauquier
Orange County Fauquier insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Fauquier
Osbourn Fauquier Fauquier   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Osbourn Park Fauquier Fauquier   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Park View Fauquier Fauquier   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Patrick Henry Ashla Fauquier tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fauquier
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot Patriot  
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Fauquier insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Fauquier
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Fauquier   Fauquier
Powhatan Fauquier   Fauquier
Princess Anne Fauquier   Fauquier
Riverbend Fauquier tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Fauquier
Riverside Riverside Riverside   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Fauquier   Fauquier
Rockbridge County Fauquier   Fauquier
Rockingham LC Rockingham LC   Rockingham LC
Salem Salem insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Fauquier   Fauquier
Seton School Fauquier tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fauquier
South County South County   South County
South Lakes South Lakes   South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Fauquier tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fauquier
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Fauquier   Fauquier
Steward School Fauquier   Fauquier
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge Stone Bridge  
Strasburg LC Fauquier   Fauquier
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Fauquier   Fauquier
Tandem Friends Fauquier   Fauquier
Thomas Dale Fauquier   Fauquier
Thomas Jefferson Fauquier   Fauquier
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian   Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal Fauquier   Fauquier
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Fauquier Fauquier   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Unity Reed Fauquier Fauquier  
Veritas School Fauquier   Fauquier
Virginia Academy Fauquier   Fauquier
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Fauquier   Fauquier
Wakefield School Fauquier   Fauquier
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty   Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac   West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Westfield Westfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Fauquier tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fauquier
Woodgrove Woodgrove tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC Fauquier   Fauquier
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PowerWise = 79


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Loudoun Valley  ( 5- 9, 80.3)    12- 5      -19.64      15.36       0.61         0.93            14.84
   0 H Kettle Run      ( 4- 9, 79.4)    15- 6      -20.53      14.47      -0.61         0.93            12.89
   0 H Stone Bridge    ( 9- 8, 89.7)     6-20      -10.16      24.84      -0.61         0.93           -10.01
   0 A Broad Run       (13- 6, 88.1)     6-15      -11.83      23.17       0.61         0.93           -10.43
   0 A Patriot         ( 8- 8, 86.2)     3- 7      -13.66      21.34       0.61         0.93           -12.13
   0 H Liberty  Beale  ( 6- 6, 81.3)     8- 5      -18.58      16.42      -0.61         0.93            14.70
   0 H Unity Reed      ( 5- 9, 72.1)    11- 4      -27.81       7.20      -0.61         0.93             6.12
   0 H Monticello      (14- 3, 86.8)     4-16      -13.06      21.95      -0.61         0.93           -12.70
   0 A James Monroe    (11- 3, 81.0)    11-13      -18.92      16.08       0.61         0.93           -17.02
   0 H Meridian        (13- 6, 87.1)     9-13      -12.81      22.19      -0.61         0.93           -12.48
   0 A Independence    (19- 2, 93.8)     5-18       -6.07      28.94       0.61         0.93            -5.07
   0 A Culpeper Count  ( 4-11, 75.7)    13- 6      -24.17      10.83       0.61         0.93            10.63
   0 A Eastern View    ( 0-13, 72.3)    16- 1      -27.61       7.39       0.61         0.93             7.43
   0 A Brentsville     (13- 3, 84.6)     5-16      -15.28      19.72       0.61         0.93           -13.64
   0 A Brentsville     (13- 3, 84.6)    10-20      -15.28      19.72       0.61         0.93           -13.64
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -40.51

winning pts = 66.6172 losing points = -107.1226

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------