List of boy Div 17 Danbury List of Team Values for Connecticut


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   17-16       1     0           1.65
   408 A Norwalk                 6- 9      -3    -1          -1.65
   410 A Westhill                9-16      -7    -5          -1.41
   412 A Brien McMahon           5-20     -15   -13           0.00
   415 H Holy Cross              8-20     -12    -8           0.00
   419 H Stamford                4-19     -15   -18           0.00
   422 H Norwalk                19-14       5     0    ++     5.07
   426 A Fairfield Warde         2-20     -18   -13           0.00
   429 A New Canaan              3-19     -16   -40           0.00
   501 H Trumbull                6-22     -16   -21           0.00
   503 H Berlin                  6-15      -9    -6          -0.97
   510 H West Haven              5- 6      -1    -1           0.49
   513 A Staples                 2-24     -22   -39           0.00
   515 H Fairfield Ludlowe       1-21     -20   -30           0.00
   519 A St Joseph Trumbull      6-21     -15   -32           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Norwalk                19-14       5     0    ++     5.07



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 56.02 Power Rank.................    89
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 46.34 SOS (PR) Rank..............    36
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5435 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    65
 RPI Rating............... .3538 RPI Rank...................    90
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    25
 Selection sum ...........   243 Selection Rank ............    83
 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -240. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    79
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -265. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    88
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....   6.6 Ave Defensive Goals .......   17.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -10.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -19.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -18.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -17.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -19.0