---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Cedar Ridge 1
  
Cedar Ridge           
W-L: (11-10) PR = 81.4997

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 H Carrboro ( 7- 9, 85.6) 5-11 304 A Northwood ( 8-13, 81.8) 8-11 306 H Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 5-17 310 H Northwood ( 8-13, 81.8) 6- 5 311 H Hillsborough Orange (21- 5, 88.0) 4-13 314 A Walter M Williams (11-11, 82.0) 6- 7 318 H Southern Alamance (19- 5, 84.6) 6- 7 319 A Western Alamance ( 2-17, 74.0) 18- 7 325 A Southeast Alamance ( 7-17, 75.0) 11- 3 328 H Eastern Alamance ( 5-15, 77.3) 16- 5 408 A Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 4-16 414 A Riverside Durham ( 9- 8, 80.1) 13- 7 421 H Walter M Williams (11-11, 82.0) 8- 5 422 H Southeast Alamance ( 7-17, 75.0) 16- 5 428 A Southern Alamance (19- 5, 84.6) 6-16 429 A Eastern Alamance ( 5-15, 77.3) 4- 3 502 H Western Alamance ( 2-17, 74.0) 18- 5 505 A Hillsborough Orange (21- 5, 88.0) 3-14 516 H Voyager Academy (10- 9, 76.8) 13- 3 516 A Voyager Academy (10- 9, 76.8) 13- 3 520 A Union Pines (16- 9, 83.6) 4-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Carrboro                5-11      -6    -4          -1.14
   304 A Northwood               8-11      -3    -1    -     -2.46
   306 H Seaforth                5-17     -12    -6           0.00
   310 H Northwood               6- 5       1     0           1.00
   311 H Hillsborough Orange     4-13      -9    -6           0.00
   314 A Walter M Williams       6- 7      -1    -1          -0.27
   318 H Southern Alamance       6- 7      -1    -3           1.87
   319 A Western Alamance       18- 7      11     7           0.00
   325 A Southeast Alamance     11- 3       8     6           0.00
   328 H Eastern Alamance       16- 5      11     4           0.51
   408 A Seaforth                4-16     -12    -7           0.00
   414 A Riverside Durham       13- 7       6     1    +      3.92
   421 H Walter M Williams       8- 5       3     0    +      3.19
   422 H Southeast Alamance     16- 5      11     7           0.00
   428 A Southern Alamance       6-16     -10    -3          -1.59
   429 A Eastern Alamance        4- 3       1     4    -     -2.95
   502 H Western Alamance       18- 5      13     8           0.00
   505 A Hillsborough Orange     3-14     -11    -7           0.00
   516 H Voyager Academy        13- 3      10     5           0.00
   516 A Voyager Academy        13- 3      10     4           0.55
   520 A Union Pines             4-11      -7    -2    -     -2.63

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Northwood               8-11      -3    -1    -     -2.46
   429 A Eastern Alamance        4- 3       1     4    -     -2.95
   520 A Union Pines             4-11      -7    -2    -     -2.63

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Riverside Durham       13- 7       6     1    +      3.92
   421 H Walter M Williams       8- 5       3     0    +      3.19

Cedar Ridge Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Arendell Parrott Aca   Arendell Parrott Aca
Asheville HS Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Asheville School Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins   Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness   Bishop McGuinness
Bradford Prep Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Cedar Ridge tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Cedar Ridge
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro Carrboro  
Cary Academy Cary Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cary Academy
Cary Christian Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Cary HS Cedar Ridge insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Cedar Ridge
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton Clayton insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Clayton
Cleveland Cedar Ridge tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Cedar Ridge
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders   Corinth Holders
Cornerstone Charter Cornerstone Charter tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cornerstone Charter
Croatan Croatan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   5- 0 vs 2- 4
East Forsyth East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Eastern Alamance Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge  
Eastern Guilford Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Enloe Enloe tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Enloe
Fike Cedar Ridge insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Cedar Ridge
First Flight First Flight insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) First Flight
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Garner Cedar Ridge tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Cedar Ridge
Glenn Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Grays Creek Cedar Ridge tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Cedar Ridge
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley Grimsley insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Grimsley
Havelock Cedar Ridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cedar Ridge
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Hickory   Hickory
High Point Central Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange  
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Independence Independence   Independence
Jack Britt Cedar Ridge tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Cedar Ridge
Jacksonville Cedar Ridge tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cedar Ridge
JF Webb JF Webb   JF Webb
JH Rose JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) JH Rose
John Paul II Catholi Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Jordan Jordan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter   Lincoln Charter
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville   Mooresville
Mount Tabor Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Mountain Island Char Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
North Brunswick Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
North Davidson Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ North Raleigh Christ insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) North Raleigh Christ
Northern Durham Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Northside Northside tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 3- 5) Northwood
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Parkwood Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Patton Morganton Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Pine Forest Cedar Ridge tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Cedar Ridge
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant Queens Grant   Queens Grant
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Cedar Ridge insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cedar Ridge
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ravenscroft School
Reagan Reagan   Reagan
Riverside Durham Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge  
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Roxboro Community Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Sanderson Sanderson insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth Seaforth  
South Brunswick Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
South Garner Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
South Iredell Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
South Mecklenburg Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
South View South View   South View
Southeast Alamance Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge  
Southeast Guilford Cedar Ridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cedar Ridge
Southern Alamance Southern Alamance Southern Alamance  
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Cedar Ridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cedar Ridge
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Stephens St Stephens   St Stephens
Sun Valley Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Swansboro Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
TC Roberson TC Roberson   TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Cedar Ridge insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) Cedar Ridge
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines Union Pines  
Vance Charter Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Voyager Academy Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge  
Wake Forest Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Wake Prep Cedar Ridge tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cedar Ridge
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Walter M Williams Walter M Williams tied - ( 4- 5) ( 4- 4) Walter M Williams
Watauga Cedar Ridge insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Cedar Ridge
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
West Carteret Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
West Forsyth West Forsyth tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) West Forsyth
West Stokes Cedar Ridge   Cedar Ridge
Western Alamance Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge  
Western Guilford Cedar Ridge insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) Cedar Ridge
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 55


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Carrboro        ( 7- 9, 85.6)     5-11      -14.27      19.54      -0.27         0.85           -12.42
   0 A Northwood       ( 8-13, 81.8)     8-11      -18.13      15.68       0.27         0.85           -15.25
   0 H Seaforth        (18- 3, 88.0)     5-17      -11.88      21.93      -0.27         0.85           -10.38
   0 H Northwood       ( 8-13, 81.8)     6- 5      -18.13      15.68      -0.27         0.85            13.16
   0 H Hillsborough O  (21- 5, 88.0)     4-13      -11.89      21.92      -0.27         0.85           -10.38
   0 A Walter M Willi  (11-11, 82.0)     6- 7      -17.94      15.87       0.27         0.85           -15.09
   0 H Southern Alama  (19- 5, 84.6)     6- 7      -15.26      18.55      -0.27         0.85           -13.27
   0 A Western Alaman  ( 2-17, 74.0)    18- 7      -25.89       7.92       0.27         0.85             7.00
   0 A Southeast Alam  ( 7-17, 75.0)    11- 3      -24.89       8.92       0.27         0.85             7.85
   0 H Eastern Alaman  ( 5-15, 77.3)    16- 5      -22.62      11.19      -0.27         0.85             9.32
   0 A Seaforth        (18- 3, 88.0)     4-16      -11.88      21.93       0.27         0.85            -9.92
   0 A Riverside Durh  ( 9- 8, 80.1)    13- 7      -19.75      14.06       0.27         0.85            12.24
   0 H Walter M Willi  (11-11, 82.0)     8- 5      -17.94      15.87      -0.27         0.85            13.32
   0 H Southeast Alam  ( 7-17, 75.0)    16- 5      -24.89       8.92      -0.27         0.85             7.38
   0 A Southern Alama  (19- 5, 84.6)     6-16      -15.26      18.55       0.27         0.85           -12.80
   0 A Eastern Alaman  ( 5-15, 77.3)     4- 3      -22.62      11.19       0.27         0.85             9.79
   0 H Western Alaman  ( 2-17, 74.0)    18- 5      -25.89       7.92      -0.27         0.85             6.53
   0 A Hillsborough O  (21- 5, 88.0)     3-14      -11.89      21.92       0.27         0.85            -9.92
   0 H Voyager Academ  (10- 9, 76.8)    13- 3      -23.13      10.68      -0.27         0.85             8.89
   0 A Voyager Academ  (10- 9, 76.8)    13- 3      -23.13      10.68       0.27         0.85             9.35
   0 A Union Pines     (16- 9, 83.6)     4-11      -16.30      17.51       0.27         0.85           -13.69
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -18.29

winning pts = 104.8242 losing points = -123.1107

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------