Bay
W-L: ( 5- 8) PR = 81.7295Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Clay ( 4-12, 77.9) 5- 2 325 H Rocky River (19- 2, 93.5) 5-14 327 A Brunswick ( 8- 9, 86.9) 5-11 329 A Benedictine Clevela ( 4-12, 75.0) 13- 3 401 A Chardon (11- 6, 83.4) 5- 4 403 A Westlake ( 6- 9, 84.6) 9- 8 405 H Orange (10- 3, 82.0) 6- 8 408 H Avon ( 8- 9, 86.8) 4-12 410 H Padua Franciscan ( 6-12, 80.0) 13- 9 412 A Lakewood ( 7-11, 78.1) 6- 7 417 H Avon Lake (11- 5, 88.0) 1-15 503 H Findlay (12- 6, 85.1) 2- 9 515 A Ottawa Hills ( 4-12, 84.1) 0- 1
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Clay 5- 2 3 3 -0.43
325 H Rocky River 5-14 -9 -11 0.00
327 A Brunswick 5-11 -6 -6 0.00
329 A Benedictine Clevela 13- 3 10 6 0.00
401 A Chardon 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.11
403 A Westlake 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.33
405 H Orange 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.22
408 H Avon 4-12 -8 -5 -0.38
410 H Padua Franciscan 13- 9 4 2 1.84
412 A Lakewood 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.16
417 H Avon Lake 1-15 -14 -6 0.00
503 H Findlay 2- 9 -7 -3 - -2.12
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 A Lakewood 6- 7 -1 3 -- -4.16 405 H Orange 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.22 503 H Findlay 2- 9 -7 -3 - -2.12 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A Westlake 9- 8 1 -3 ++ 4.33 401 A Chardon 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.11 |
Bay Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | Bay | Bay | ||
| Anthony Wayne | Anthony Wayne | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Anthony Wayne | |
| Archbishop Alter | Archbishop Alter | Archbishop Alter | ||
| Archbishop Hoban | Archbishop Hoban | Archbishop Hoban | ||
| Archbishop McNichola | Bay | Bay | ||
| Archbishop Moeller | Archbishop Moeller | Archbishop Moeller | ||
| Aurora | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bay | |
| Avon | Avon | Avon | ||
| Avon Lake | Avon Lake | Avon Lake | ||
| Beavercreek | Beavercreek | Beavercreek | ||
| Bellbrook | Bellbrook | Bellbrook | ||
| Benedictine Clevela | Bay | Bay | ||
| Bexley | Bexley | Bexley | ||
| Big Walnut | Big Walnut | Big Walnut | ||
| Bishop Fenwick | Bishop Fenwick | Bishop Fenwick | ||
| Bishop Watterson | Bishop Watterson | Bishop Watterson | ||
| Boardman | Boardman | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Boardman | |
| Bowling Green | Bay | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) | Bay | |
| Brecksville-Broadvie | Brecksville-Broadvie | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Brecksville-Broadvie | |
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick | ||
| Buckeye Valley | Bay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Canal Winchester | Bay | Bay | ||
| Canfield | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Canton Central Catho | Canton Central Catho | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Canton Central Catho | |
| Cardinal Mooney | Bay | Bay 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Carroll | Bay | Bay | ||
| Centerville | Centerville | Centerville | ||
| Chagrin Falls | Chagrin Falls | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Chagrin Falls | |
| Chaminade Julienne | Bay | Bay | ||
| Chardon | Bay | Bay | ||
| Cincinnati Hills Chr | Cincinnati Hills Chr | Cincinnati Hills Chr | ||
| Clay | Bay | Bay | ||
| Cleveland Heights | Bay | Bay 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Clinton-Massie | Bay | Bay | ||
| Columbus Academy | Columbus Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Columbus Academy | |
| Copley | Copley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Copley | |
| Cuyahoga Valley Chri | Cuyahoga Valley Chri | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Cuyahoga Valley Chri | |
| Delaware Hayes | Delaware Hayes | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Delaware Hayes | |
| Dublin Coffman | Dublin Coffman | Dublin Coffman | ||
| Dublin Jerome | Dublin Jerome | Dublin Jerome | ||
| Dublin Scioto | Bay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Edgewood | Bay | Bay | ||
| Elder Cincinnati | Elder Cincinnati | Elder Cincinnati | ||
| Elyria Catholic | Bay | Bay 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Fairfield | Bay | Bay | ||
| Fairmont Kettering | Bay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Findlay | Findlay | Findlay | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Gilmour Academy | Gilmour Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Gilmour Academy | |
| GlenOak-Canton | Bay | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Bay | |
| Granville | Granville | Granville | ||
| Green | Green | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Green | |
| Grove City | Grove City | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grove City | |
| Hawken School | Hawken School | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Hawken School | |
| Highland | Highland | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Highland | |
| Hilliard Bradley | Hilliard Bradley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hilliard Bradley | |
| Hilliard Darby | Hilliard Darby | Hilliard Darby | ||
| Hilliard Davidson | Hilliard Davidson | Hilliard Davidson | ||
| Holy Name | Holy Name | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | Holy Name | |
| Hoover North Canton | Hoover North Canton | Hoover North Canton | ||
| Hudson | Hudson | Hudson | ||
| Hudson Blue | Hudson Blue | Hudson Blue | ||
| Indian Hill | Bay | Bay | ||
| Jackson Massillon | Jackson Massillon | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Jackson Massillon | |
| John Glenn | John Glenn | John Glenn | ||
| Johnstown | Bay | Bay | ||
| Jonathan Alder | Jonathan Alder | Jonathan Alder | ||
| Kenston | Kenston | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Kenston | |
| Kent Roosevelt | Bay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Keystone | Bay | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Bay | |
| Kings | Kings | Kings | ||
| Kirtland | Kirtland | Kirtland | ||
| La Salle | Bay | Bay | ||
| Lake Uniontown | Bay | Bay | ||
| Lakewood | Lakewood | Lakewood | ||
| Lakota East | Lakota East | Lakota East | ||
| Lakota West | Lakota West | Lakota West | ||
| Lebanon | Lebanon | Lebanon | ||
| Licking Valley | Bay | Bay | ||
| Lima | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Lincoln Gahanna | Lincoln Gahanna | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lincoln Gahanna | |
| Little Miami | Bay | Bay | ||
| Louisville | Bay | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Loveland | Loveland | Loveland | ||
| Madeira | Madeira | Madeira | ||
| Mariemont | Mariemont | Mariemont | ||
| Marysville | Marysville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Marysville | |
| Mason | Mason | Mason | ||
| Medina | Medina | Medina 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mentor | Bay | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Bay | |
| Miamisburg | Bay | Bay | ||
| Milford | Milford | Milford | ||
| Monroe | Bay | Bay | ||
| New Albany | New Albany | New Albany | ||
| Newark | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| North Ridgeville | North Ridgeville | North Ridgeville | ||
| Northmont | Bay | Bay | ||
| Notre Dame-Cathedral | Bay | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Bay | |
| Oak Hills | Oak Hills | Oak Hills | ||
| Oakwood | Oakwood | Oakwood | ||
| Olentangy Berlin | Olentangy Berlin | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Olentangy Berlin | |
| Olentangy HS | Olentangy HS | Olentangy HS | ||
| Olentangy Liberty | Olentangy Liberty | Olentangy Liberty | ||
| Olentangy Orange | Olentangy Orange | Olentangy Orange | ||
| Olmsted Falls | Olmsted Falls | Olmsted Falls 6- 1 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Orange | Orange | Orange | ||
| Ottawa Hills | Ottawa Hills | Ottawa Hills | ||
| Padua Franciscan | Bay | Bay | ||
| Perrysburg | Perrysburg | Perrysburg 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Pickerington Central | Pickerington Central | Pickerington Central | ||
| Pickerington North | Pickerington North | Pickerington North | ||
| Poland Seminary | Bay | Bay | ||
| Revere | Revere | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Revere | |
| Riverside Painesvill | Riverside Painesvill | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Riverside Painesvill | |
| Rocky River | Rocky River | Rocky River | ||
| Seven Hills | Bay | Bay | ||
| Shaker Heights | Shaker Heights | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Shaker Heights | |
| Solon | Bay | Bay | ||
| Southeast Ravenna | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Springboro | Springboro | Springboro | ||
| St Charles Prep | St Charles Prep | St Charles Prep | ||
| St Edward | St Edward | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | St Edward | |
| St Francis De Sales | St Francis De Sales | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | St Francis De Sales | |
| St Francis DeSales - | St Francis DeSales - | St Francis DeSales - | ||
| St Ignatius Cle Blu | Bay | Bay | ||
| St Ignatius Clevelan | St Ignatius Clevelan | St Ignatius Clevelan | ||
| St Johns Jesuit | St Johns Jesuit | St Johns Jesuit 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| St Vincent-St Mary | Bay | Bay 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| St Xavier Cincinnat | St Xavier Cincinnat | St Xavier Cincinnat | ||
| Stow-Munroe Falls | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Bay | |
| Strongsville | Strongsville | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) | Strongsville | |
| Summit CDS | Bay | Bay | ||
| Sycamore | Sycamore | Sycamore | ||
| Sylvania Northview | Bay | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | Bay | |
| Sylvania Southview | Bay | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Bay | |
| Thomas Worthington | Thomas Worthington | Thomas Worthington | ||
| Tipp City | Bay | Bay | ||
| Toledo United | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Bay | |
| Turpin | Turpin | Turpin | ||
| University School Cl | University School Cl | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | University School Cl | |
| Upper Arlington | Upper Arlington | Upper Arlington | ||
| Wadsworth | Wadsworth | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wadsworth | |
| Walnut Hills | Bay | Bay | ||
| Walsh Jesuit | Walsh Jesuit | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Walsh Jesuit | |
| Waynesville | Bay | Bay | ||
| West Geauga | Bay | Bay 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Western Reserve B | Western Reserve B | Western Reserve B | ||
| Westerville Central | Bay | Bay | ||
| Westerville North | Westerville North | Westerville North | ||
| Westerville South | Westerville South | Westerville South | ||
| Westlake | Bay | Bay | ||
| Willoughby South | Bay | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Bay | |
| Wilmington | Bay | Bay | ||
| Winton Woods | Winton Woods | Winton Woods | ||
| Wooster | Wooster | Wooster 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Worthington Kilbourn | Worthington Kilbourn | Worthington Kilbourn | ||
| Wyoming | Wyoming | Wyoming | ||
| Xenia | Bay | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bay |
PowerWise = 58
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Clay ( 4-12, 77.9) 5- 2 -22.04 10.14 0.45 1.21 12.81
0 H Rocky River (19- 2, 93.5) 5-14 -6.41 25.78 -0.45 1.21 -8.29
0 A Brunswick ( 8- 9, 86.9) 5-11 -12.97 19.22 0.45 1.21 -15.15
0 A Benedictine C ( 4-12, 75.0) 13- 3 -24.89 7.30 0.45 1.21 9.37
0 A Chardon (11- 6, 83.4) 5- 4 -16.51 15.68 0.45 1.21 19.50
0 A Westlake ( 6- 9, 84.6) 9- 8 -15.28 16.90 0.45 1.21 20.98
0 H Orange (10- 3, 82.0) 6- 8 -17.94 14.25 -0.45 1.21 -22.24
0 H Avon ( 8- 9, 86.8) 4-12 -13.10 19.08 -0.45 1.21 -16.39
0 H Padua Francisc ( 6-12, 80.0) 13- 9 -19.89 12.30 -0.45 1.21 14.33
0 A Lakewood ( 7-11, 78.1) 6- 7 -21.77 10.41 0.45 1.21 -25.80
0 H Avon Lake (11- 5, 88.0) 1-15 -11.91 20.28 -0.45 1.21 -14.94
0 H Findlay (12- 6, 85.1) 2- 9 -14.85 17.34 -0.45 1.21 -18.50
0 A Ottawa Hills ( 4-12, 84.1) 0- 1 -15.83 16.36 0.45 1.21 -18.60
------
-62.91
|
winning pts = 76.9923 losing points = -139.8988
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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