---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:11 PDT

safe3step boys Bellaire 1
  
Bellaire              
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 76.7559

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 222 H Westside ( 0- 7, 75.2) 8- 5 224 A Houston Christian ( 6-12, 80.9) 10-11 228 H Trinity Valley ( 3-10, 77.7) 8- 9 301 H Fort Worth CDS (10- 7, 80.5) 6-12 305 A Clear Springs ( 2-11, 74.4) 6- 5 318 A Awty International ( 0- 9, 62.2) 15- 1 321 A Lamar (12- 4, 79.5) 5- 7 328 A St Thomas ( 8- 6, 78.5) 6- 9 401 H St Pius X ( 1-10, 67.4) 16- 2 404 A George Ranch (14- 6, 80.6) 4- 3 408 H Atascocita ( 5-10, 76.5) 7- 6 411 A Concordia Lutheran ( 7-11, 77.4) 3- 5 422 H Concordia Lutheran ( 7-11, 77.4) 6- 8 424 H Atascocita ( 5-10, 76.5) 4- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H Westside                8- 5       3     2           0.91
   224 A Houston Christian      10-11      -1    -5    +      3.60
   228 H Trinity Valley          8- 9      -1     0          -0.57
   301 H Fort Worth CDS          6-12      -6    -3          -1.72
   305 A Clear Springs           6- 5       1     2          -0.86
   318 A Awty International     15- 1      14    14           0.00
   321 A Lamar                   5- 7      -2    -3           1.28
   328 A St Thomas               6- 9      -3    -2          -0.76
   401 H St Pius X              16- 2      14    10           0.00
   404 A George Ranch            4- 3       1    -4    ++     5.37
   408 H Atascocita              7- 6       1     1           0.25
   411 A Concordia Lutheran      3- 5      -2    -1          -0.88
   422 H Concordia Lutheran      6- 8      -2     0          -1.90
   424 H Atascocita              4- 8      -4     1    --    -4.75

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Atascocita              4- 8      -4     1    --    -4.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A George Ranch            4- 3       1    -4    ++     5.37
   224 A Houston Christian      10-11      -1    -5    +      3.60

Bellaire Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alamo Heights Alamo Heights   Alamo Heights
All Saints Episcopal All Saints Episcopal   All Saints Episcopal
Allen Allen   Allen
Anderson Anderson   Anderson
Antonian College Pre Bellaire tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bellaire
Atascocita Bellaire tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 4) Bellaire
Austin Austin   Austin
Awty International Bellaire Bellaire  
Bishop Lynch Bellaire tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bellaire
Boerne Boerne insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Boerne
Bowie Bowie insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Bowie
Bridge LC Bridge LC Bridge LC   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Canyon Bellaire   Bellaire
Central Catholic Bellaire tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bellaire
Clear Springs Bellaire Bellaire  
Concordia Lutheran Concordia Lutheran Concordia Lutheran  
Coppell Bellaire   Bellaire
Coronado El Paso Bellaire   Bellaire
Cumberland Academy Cumberland Academy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Cumberland Academy
Cypress Woods Cypress Woods insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cypress Woods
Dallas Jesuit Dallas Jesuit   Dallas Jesuit
Dallas Jesuit B Dallas Jesuit B   Dallas Jesuit B
Dripping Springs Dripping Springs   Dripping Springs
Emery-Weiner Bellaire insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 3) Bellaire
Episcopal Houston Episcopal Houston insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Episcopal Houston
Episcopal Dallas Episcopal Dallas insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Episcopal Dallas
Flower Mound Flower Mound   Flower Mound
Fort Worth CDS Fort Worth CDS Fort Worth CDS  
Friendswood Friendswood insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) Friendswood
Frisco Frisco   Frisco
Gateway Gateway insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Gateway
George Ranch Bellaire Bellaire  
Georgetown Georgetown   Georgetown
Grapevine Grapevine insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Grapevine
Greenhill Bellaire tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Bellaire
Guyer Guyer   Guyer
Hebron Hebron insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Hebron
Highland Park Highland Park   Highland Park
Highland Park B Highland Park B   Highland Park B
Hillcrest Bellaire   Bellaire
Houston Christian Houston Christian Houston Christian  
Hyde Park Hyde Park tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hyde Park
John Paul II John Paul II insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) John Paul II
Katy Katy   Katy
Keller Keller   Keller
Kingwood Kingwood insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Kingwood
Kinkaid Kinkaid insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kinkaid
Klein Klein tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Klein
Lake Travis Lake Travis   Lake Travis
Lamar Lamar Lamar  
Liberty Hill Bellaire insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bellaire
Lovejoy Lovejoy   Lovejoy
Magnolia Magnolia Magnolia   2- 0 vs 0- 2
McKinney McKinney   McKinney
Memorial Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Memorial
New Braunfels Bellaire   Bellaire
Parish Episcopal Bellaire   Bellaire
Pearland Pearland tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Pearland
Plano Plano   Plano
Plano East Plano East Plano East   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Plano West Plano West Plano West   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Prosper Prosper   Prosper
Reagan Reagan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Reagan
Regents School Aust Regents School Aust   Regents School Aust
Ridge Point Ridge Point insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Ridge Point
Rockwall Rockwall   Rockwall
Rouse Bellaire   Bellaire
Santa Fe LC Santa Fe LC   Santa Fe LC
Smithson Valley Smithson Valley   Smithson Valley
Southlake Southlake   Southlake
St Andrews St Andrews St Andrews   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Johns St Johns insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Johns
St Marks St Marks insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Marks
St Marys Hall St Marys Hall insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) St Marys Hall
St Michaels Bellaire   Bellaire
St Pius X Bellaire Bellaire  
St Stephens St Stephens St Stephens   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Thomas St Thomas St Thomas  
Stony Point Bellaire insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Bellaire
Strake Jesuit Strake Jesuit insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Strake Jesuit
Stratford Stratford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Stratford
Tascosa Tascosa   Tascosa
TMI Episcopal TMI Episcopal   TMI Episcopal
Trinity Valley Trinity Valley Trinity Valley  
Vandegrift Vandegrift   Vandegrift
Vista Ridge Vista Ridge   Vista Ridge
Westlake Westlake   Westlake
Westlake B Westlake B   Westlake B
Westside Bellaire Bellaire  
Westwood Westwood   Westwood
Woodlands Woodlands insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Woodlands
Woodlands B Woodlands B tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Woodlands B

PowerWise = 21


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.29

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Westside        ( 0- 7, 75.2)     8- 5      -24.73      12.96      -0.51         0.95            11.82
   0 A Houston Christ  ( 6-12, 80.9)    10-11      -19.05      18.64       0.51         0.95           -17.60
   0 H Trinity Valley  ( 3-10, 77.7)     8- 9      -22.21      15.48      -0.51         0.95           -21.56
   0 H Fort Worth CDS  (10- 7, 80.5)     6-12      -19.35      18.33      -0.51         0.95           -18.85
   0 A Clear Springs   ( 2-11, 74.4)     6- 5      -25.51      12.18       0.51         0.95            12.04
   0 A Awty Internati  ( 0- 9, 62.2)    15- 1      -37.69       1.00       0.51         0.95             1.43
   0 A Lamar           (12- 4, 79.5)     5- 7      -20.37      17.32       0.51         0.95           -18.86
   0 A St Thomas       ( 8- 6, 78.5)     6- 9      -21.41      16.28       0.51         0.95           -19.84
   0 H St Pius X       ( 1-10, 67.4)    16- 2      -32.51       5.18      -0.51         0.95             4.44
   0 A George Ranch    (14- 6, 80.6)     4- 3      -19.28      18.41       0.51         0.95            17.96
   0 H Atascocita      ( 5-10, 76.5)     7- 6      -23.39      14.30      -0.51         0.95            13.09
   0 A Concordia Luth  ( 7-11, 77.4)     3- 5      -22.53      15.16       0.51         0.95           -20.91
   0 H Concordia Luth  ( 7-11, 77.4)     6- 8      -22.53      15.16      -0.51         0.95           -21.87
   0 H Atascocita      ( 5-10, 76.5)     4- 8      -23.39      14.30      -0.51         0.95           -22.68
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -101.40

winning pts = 60.7819 losing points = -162.1815

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------