---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:59 PDT

safe3step boys Harper Creek 1
  
Harper Creek          
W-L: ( 5-13) PR = 81.4732

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 327 A Lowell ( 6-11, 85.0) 6- 8 410 H Portage Northern ( 4- 9, 82.4) 7- 6 412 H DeWitt ( 8- 9, 83.9) 7-11 415 A Portage Central ( 5-10, 81.0) 7- 8 417 H Pennfield ( 1-15, 72.1) 18- 3 418 H Byron Center ( 9-10, 89.2) 4-16 422 A Mattawan (18- 2, 92.9) 2-16 424 H Lakeview ( 8-12, 83.8) 6- 5 425 A Pennfield ( 1-15, 72.1) 16- 1 428 H Haslett-Williamston (15- 4, 91.4) 2-17 501 A Vicksburg ( 8- 6, 84.9) 6-18 503 A Caledonia (15- 5, 91.7) 3-16 505 H Lakeview ( 8-12, 83.8) 5- 9 506 A Kalamazoo United ( 3-11, 78.2) 13- 2 508 H Coopersville ( 7-10, 82.3) 1- 7 512 H Grand Ledge (17- 5, 93.1) 5-13 515 A Lakeview ( 8-12, 83.8) 7- 9 516 A Lakeview ( 8-12, 83.8) 8- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Lowell                  6- 8      -2    -4           2.00
   410 H Portage Northern        7- 6       1     0           1.43
   412 H DeWitt                  7-11      -4    -2    -     -2.10
   415 A Portage Central         7- 8      -1     0          -0.93
   417 H Pennfield              18- 3      15    10           0.00
   418 H Byron Center            4-16     -12    -7           0.00
   422 A Mattawan                2-16     -14   -12           0.00
   424 H Lakeview                6- 5       1    -2    +      2.80
   425 A Pennfield              16- 1      15     9           0.00
   428 H Haslett-Williamston     2-17     -15    -9           0.00
   501 A Vicksburg               6-18     -12    -4          -1.12
   503 A Caledonia               3-16     -13   -11           0.00
   505 H Lakeview                5- 9      -4    -2    -     -2.20
   506 A Kalamazoo United       13- 2      11     3    +      2.24
   508 H Coopersville            1- 7      -6     0    --    -4.66
   512 H Grand Ledge             5-13      -8   -11           0.00
   515 A Lakeview                7- 9      -2    -3           0.79
   516 A Lakeview                8- 9      -1    -3           1.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H Coopersville            1- 7      -6     0    --    -4.66
   412 H DeWitt                  7-11      -4    -2    -     -2.10
   505 H Lakeview                5- 9      -4    -2    -     -2.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Lakeview                6- 5       1    -2    +      2.80
   506 A Kalamazoo United       13- 2      11     3    +      2.24

Harper Creek Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allen Park Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Anchor Bay Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Ann Arbor Father Gab Ann Arbor Father Gab   Ann Arbor Father Gab
Ann Arbor Greenhills Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Ann Arbor Huron Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Bay City Central Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Bay City John Glenn Harper Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Harper Creek
Bay City Western Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Bedford Bedford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bedford
Belleville Belleville   Belleville
Birmingham United Birmingham United   Birmingham United
Birmingham United B Birmingham United B   Birmingham United B
Bishop Foley Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B   Brighton B
Brother Rice Brother Rice   Brother Rice
Brother Rice Orange Brother Rice Orange tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Brother Rice Orange
Brownstown Woodhaven Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Byron Center Byron Center Byron Center  
Cadillac Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Caledonia Caledonia Caledonia  
Canton Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Cass Tech Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Chelsea Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Chippewa Valley Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Clarkston Clarkston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Clarkston
Coopersville Coopersville Coopersville  
Cranbrook Cranbrook tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Cranbrook
Dakota Dakota   Dakota
Davison Harper Creek   Harper Creek
De La Salle De La Salle   De La Salle
Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Detroit Catholic Cen
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   2- 0 vs 0- 2
DeWitt DeWitt DeWitt  
Dexter Dexter tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child   Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   3- 0 vs 0- 3
East Kentwood Harper Creek insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Harper Creek
East Lansing East Lansing insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 3) East Lansing
Farmington Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Fenton Harper Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Harper Creek
Flint Powers Flint Powers tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Flint Powers
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Goodrich/Lake Fenton Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc   Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge  
Grand Rapids Catholi Grand Rapids Catholi insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Grand Rapids Catholi
Grand Rapids Christi Grand Rapids Christi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Rapids Christi
Grandville Grandville Grandville   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Grosse Ile Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Grosse Pointe North Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   Grosse Pointe South
Hartland Hartland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hartland
Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston  
Henry Ford II Henry Ford II   Henry Ford II
Holland Christian Holland Christian Holland Christian   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Holland West Ottawa
Holt Holt insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Holt
Howell Howell   Howell
Hudsonville Hudsonville Hudsonville   4- 1 vs 1- 5
Jackson Harper Creek insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Harper Creek
Jenison Jenison insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Jenison
Kalamazoo United Harper Creek Harper Creek  
Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills   7- 2 vs 3- 7
L'Anse Creuse Harper Creek   Harper Creek
L'Anse Creuse North Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Lake Orion Lake Orion   Lake Orion
Lake Shore Lake Shore   Lake Shore
Lakeview Lakeview Lakeview  
Lansing Catholic Lansing Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Lansing Catholic
Lapeer Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Lincoln Ypsilanti Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Linden Linden   Linden
Livonia United Livonia United   Livonia United
Lowell Lowell Lowell  
Mattawan Mattawan Mattawan  
Midland Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Midland Dow Midland Dow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Midland Dow
Mona Shores Mona Shores insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 2) Mona Shores
Northview Northview tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Northview
Northville Northville   Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Novi Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Okemos Okemos Okemos   2- 4 vs 0- 6
Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Orchard Lake St Mary
Ortonville Brandon Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Oxford Oxford   Oxford
Pennfield Harper Creek Harper Creek  
Petoskey Petoskey   Petoskey
Pinckney Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Plymouth Plymouth   Plymouth
Port Huron United Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Portage Central Portage Central Portage Central  
Portage Northern Harper Creek Harper Creek  
Reeths Puffer Harper Creek insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Harper Creek
Riverview Gabriel Ri Riverview Gabriel Ri   Riverview Gabriel Ri
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester HS   Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Rochester Stoney Cre
Rockford Rockford Rockford   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Romeo Romeo   Romeo
Royal Oak HS Royal Oak HS   Royal Oak HS
Royal Oak Shrine Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Saginaw Heritage
Salem Salem   Salem
Saline Saline   Saline
Sault Area Harper Creek   Harper Creek
South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Lyon Unified
Spring Lake Spring Lake insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Spring Lake
St Clair Harper Creek   Harper Creek
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Harper Creek insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) Harper Creek
St Mary Catholic Cen Harper Creek   Harper Creek
Swartz Creek Harper Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Harper Creek
Tecumseh Tecumseh tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tecumseh
Traverse City Centra Traverse City Centra insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Traverse City Centra
Traverse City West Traverse City West insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Traverse City West
Troy Troy   Troy
Troy Athens Harper Creek   Harper Creek
University Detroit J University Detroit J   University Detroit J
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower   Utica Eisenhower
Vicksburg Vicksburg Vicksburg  
Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern   Walled Lake Northern
Walled Lake Western Walled Lake Western   Walled Lake Western
Waterford United Waterford United   Waterford United
West Bloomfield Harper Creek   Harper Creek
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland   White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland Zeeland insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 2) Zeeland

PowerWise = 44


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.06

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Lowell          ( 6-11, 85.0)     6- 8      -14.93      17.38       0.50         0.89           -12.87
   0 H Portage Northe  ( 4- 9, 82.4)     7- 6      -17.50      14.81      -0.50         0.89            12.77
   0 H DeWitt          ( 8- 9, 83.9)     7-11      -16.03      16.28      -0.50         0.89           -14.75
   0 A Portage Centra  ( 5-10, 81.0)     7- 8      -18.86      13.46       0.50         0.89           -16.38
   0 H Pennfield       ( 1-15, 72.1)    18- 3      -27.77       4.54      -0.50         0.89             3.61
   0 H Byron Center    ( 9-10, 89.2)     4-16      -10.68      21.64      -0.50         0.89            -9.97
   0 A Mattawan        (18- 2, 92.9)     2-16       -6.98      25.33       0.50         0.89            -5.78
   0 H Lakeview        ( 8-12, 83.8)     6- 5      -16.13      16.18      -0.50         0.89            13.99
   0 A Pennfield       ( 1-15, 72.1)    16- 1      -27.77       4.54       0.50         0.89             4.50
   0 H Haslett-Willia  (15- 4, 91.4)     2-17       -8.50      23.82      -0.50         0.89            -8.02
   0 A Vicksburg       ( 8- 6, 84.9)     6-18      -15.04      17.27       0.50         0.89           -12.98
   0 A Caledonia       (15- 5, 91.7)     3-16       -8.24      24.07       0.50         0.89            -6.91
   0 H Lakeview        ( 8-12, 83.8)     5- 9      -16.13      16.18      -0.50         0.89           -14.84
   0 A Kalamazoo Unit  ( 3-11, 78.2)    13- 2      -21.69      10.62       0.50         0.89             9.92
   0 H Coopersville    ( 7-10, 82.3)     1- 7      -17.59      14.72      -0.50         0.89           -16.14
   0 H Grand Ledge     (17- 5, 93.1)     5-13       -6.84      25.47      -0.50         0.89            -6.55
   0 A Lakeview        ( 8-12, 83.8)     7- 9      -16.13      16.18       0.50         0.89           -13.95
   0 A Lakeview        ( 8-12, 83.8)     8- 9      -16.13      16.18       0.50         0.89           -13.95
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -108.30

winning pts = 44.7896 losing points = -153.0898

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------