Ursuline                      2 - 9


 
   Conf = Great Midwest              Region = Midwest      State = OH
   Nickname = Arrows                 Coach  = Lauren Simko            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   67.5944214    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 H Charleston             Mountain East ( 5- 9, 58.2)     6- 8   
 313 A AldersonBroad          Mountain East ( 4- 7, 54.4)    15-13   
 327 H Lewis                  GLVC          ( 5- 8, 65.5)     4-16   
 401 H Walsh                  Great Midwest ( 9- 5, 66.9)   
 407 H Lewis                  GLVC          ( 5- 8, 65.5)     4-18   
 412 A Edinboro               PSAC          ( 1- 2, 55.9)   
 413 H Walsh                  Great Midwest ( 9- 5, 66.9)    12-22   
 416 A Walsh                  Great Midwest ( 9- 5, 66.9)     6-18   
 418 H Ashland                Great Lakes   ( 1-12, 57.5)    12-11  o
 420 A Findlay                Great Midwest ( 6- 6, 66.7)     4-22   
 423 H Findlay                Great Midwest ( 6- 6, 66.7)     9-20   
 425 A Tiffin                 Great Midwest ( 5- 9, 66.7)     4-19   
 430 A Tiffin                 Great Midwest ( 5- 9, 66.7)   
 506 A Walsh                  Great Midwest ( 9- 5, 66.9)     3-19   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Charleston              6- 8      -2    -2           0.74
   313 A AldersonBroad          15-13       2     0    +      2.37
   327 H Lewis                   4-16     -12   -10           0.00
   407 H Lewis                   4-18     -14   -10           0.00
   413 H Walsh                  12-22     -10   -11           0.00
   416 A Walsh                   6-18     -12   -12           0.00
   418 H Ashland                12-11  o    1    -1    +      2.98
   420 A Findlay                 4-22     -18   -12           0.00
   423 H Findlay                 9-20     -11   -11           0.00
   425 A Tiffin                  4-19     -15   -12           0.00
   506 A Walsh                   3-19     -16   -12           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A AldersonBroad          15-13       2     0    +      2.37
   418 H Ashland                12-11  o    1    -1    +      2.98




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 54.76 Local Power Rank...........    95
 Local SOS Rating......... 32.80 Local SOS Rank.............    84
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.34 Local RPI Rank.............   105
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   107
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   108
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   16.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -14.0


  
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