Conf = Atlantic Coast             Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Jenny Levy              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 213 H JMU                    Colonial      (12- 5, 89.8)   
 214 H Stony Brook            America East  (16- 3, 93.3)    14- 7   
 219 H Florida                American      (18- 3, 94.2)    11- 5   
 221 H High Point             Big South     (10- 8, 85.5)    19- 5   
 226 H Duke                   Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 93.1)    13- 6   
 228 H Vanderbilt             American      (12- 7, 85.3)    17- 6   
 306 H Boston C               Atlantic Coas (18- 3, 97.3)    21- 9   
 311 A VA Tech                Atlantic Coas ( 4-11, 88.3)   
 313 A VA Tech                Atlantic Coas ( 4-11, 88.3)    22- 1   
 318 A Louisville             Atlantic Coas ( 5-11, 88.4)    19- 7   
 321 H JMU                    Colonial      (12- 5, 89.8)    15- 5   
 327 H Mercer                 Southern      ( 7- 8, 80.9)    18- 3   
 403 H Syracuse               Atlantic Coas (17- 4, 98.2)    17- 6   
 410 A Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas (11- 7, 93.9)    11-10   
 416 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 90.4)    20- 8   
 418 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 90.4)    15- 4   
 423 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 93.1)    12-11   
 428 H Louisville             Atlantic Coas ( 5-11, 88.4)    19- 6   
 430 H Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas (11- 7, 93.9)    18- 4   
 502 H Syracuse               Atlantic Coas (17- 4, 98.2)     9- 4   
 516 N JMU                    Colonial      (12- 5, 89.8)    14- 9   
 522 N Stony Brook            America East  (16- 3, 93.3)    14-11   
 528 N Boston C               Atlantic Coas (18- 3, 97.3)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 H Stony Brook            14- 7       7     8          -1.08
   219 H Florida                11- 5       6     7          -1.17
   221 H High Point             19- 5      14    15           0.00
   226 H Duke                   13- 6       7     8          -1.31
   228 H Vanderbilt             17- 6      11    16           0.00
   306 H Boston C               21- 9      12     4    ++     5.85
   313 A VA Tech                22- 1      21    10           0.00
   318 A Louisville             19- 7      12     9           0.04
   321 H JMU                    15- 5      10    11           0.00
   327 H Mercer                 18- 3      15    20           0.00
   403 H Syracuse               17- 6      11     3    +++    6.80
   410 A Notre Dame             11-10       1     4    -     -3.50
   416 H Virginia               20- 8      12    11           0.00
   418 H Virginia               15- 4      11    11           0.00
   423 A Duke                   12-11       1     5    --    -4.28
   428 H Louisville             19- 6      13    12           0.00
   430 H Notre Dame             18- 4      14     7    +      2.47
   502 H Syracuse                9- 4       5     3           1.80
   516 N JMU                    14- 9       5    10    --    -5.00
   522 N Stony Brook            14-11       3     6    -     -3.56
   528 N Boston C               10-11      -1     2    -     -3.64

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Duke                   12-11       1     5    --    -4.28
   516 N JMU                    14- 9       5    10    --    -5.00
   410 A Notre Dame             11-10       1     4    -     -3.50
   522 N Stony Brook            14-11       3     6    -     -3.56
   528 N Boston C               10-11      -1     2    -     -3.64

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Syracuse               17- 6      11     3    +++    6.80
   306 H Boston C               21- 9      12     4    ++     5.85
   430 H Notre Dame             18- 4      14     7    +      2.47
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.60 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.74 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   34.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.285.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 20- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/