Conf = Mountain East              Region = Midwest      State = OH
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Ben Morhac              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.0262985    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 H Tiffin                 Great Midwest ( 5- 9, 66.7)    14-12   
 313 A Indianapolis           GLVC          (12- 2, 84.9)     2-28   
 317 A Roberts Wes            East Coast    (14- 2, 75.4)     8-22   
 324 H WV Wesleyan            Mountain East ( 0-10, 42.7)    23- 3   
 327 A Frostburg St           Mountain East (10- 4, 65.7)    21-15   
 331 H Charleston             Mountain East ( 5- 9, 58.2)    13- 8   
 403 H Davis&Elkins           Mountain East ( 5- 6, 58.9)    14- 9   
 408 A AldersonBroad          Mountain East ( 4- 7, 54.4)    22- 6   
 411 H Frostburg St           Mountain East (10- 4, 65.7)     9-20   
 414 A WV Wesleyan            Mountain East ( 0-10, 42.7)    24- 2   
 417 A Davis&Elkins           Mountain East ( 5- 6, 58.9)    11- 7   
 422 A Charleston             Mountain East ( 5- 9, 58.2)    14-13 2o
 425 H AldersonBroad          Mountain East ( 4- 7, 54.4)    15- 6   
 427 H Charleston             Mountain East ( 5- 9, 58.2)    15-10   
 430 H Frostburg St           Mountain East (10- 4, 65.7)    14-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Tiffin                 14-12       2    -1    +      3.73
   313 A Indianapolis            2-28     -26   -21           0.00
   317 A Roberts Wes             8-22     -14   -11           0.00
   324 H WV Wesleyan            23- 3      20    22           0.00
   327 A Frostburg St           21-15       6    -2    +++    8.29
   331 H Charleston             13- 8       5     6          -1.69
   403 H Davis&Elkins           14- 9       5     6          -1.01
   408 A AldersonBroad          22- 6      16     9           0.94
   411 H Frostburg St            9-20     -11     0    ---   -9.17
   414 A WV Wesleyan            24- 2      22    20           0.00
   417 A Davis&Elkins           11- 7       4     4          -0.56
   422 A Charleston             14-13 2o    1     5    --    -4.23
   425 H AldersonBroad          15- 6       9    10          -1.00
   427 H Charleston             15-10       5     6          -1.69
   430 H Frostburg St           14-10       4     0    ++     4.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Frostburg St            9-20     -11     0    ---   -9.17
   422 A Charleston             14-13 2o    1     5    --    -4.23

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Frostburg St           21-15       6    -2    +++    8.29
   430 H Frostburg St           14-10       4     0    ++     4.83
   305 H Tiffin                 14-12       2    -1    +      3.73
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 64.19 Local Power Rank...........    68
 Local SOS Rating......... 30.36 Local SOS Rank.............    92
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    76
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/