Conf = Atlantic Sun               Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Flames                 Coach  = Kelly Nangle            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.5901184    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 212 H VA Tech                Atlantic Coas ( 4-11, 88.3)     5-13   
 221 A Robert Morris          MAC           (14- 3, 81.2)     8- 9   
 224 H Cincinnati             American      ( 7-10, 82.6)    14-10   
 227 A Furman                 Southern      (12- 4, 83.6)     8-10   
 303 H Radford                Big South     ( 6-12, 75.8)    18-10   
 310 A ODU                    American      ( 3-14, 74.8)    14- 8   
 313 A W&M                    Colonial      ( 3- 9, 79.1)    20-16   
 319 A Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas (11- 7, 93.9)     5-19   
 326 H Delaware St            Southern      ( 1- 9, 61.5)    24- 2   
 401 H JMU                    Colonial      (12- 5, 89.8)     5- 8   
 410 H Cst Carolina           Southern      (10- 7, 82.9)    14-13   
 413 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 93.1)     6-18   
 416 H Kennesaw St            Atlantic Sun  ( 4-10, 76.6)    17- 6   
 418 A High Point             Big South     (10- 8, 85.5)    15-13   
 423 A Stetson                Atlantic Sun  ( 1- 8, 75.1)    18- 9   
 425 A Jacksonville           Atlantic Sun  (12- 2, 89.7)    11-22   
 428 A Florida                American      (18- 3, 94.2)     2-17   
 506 A Kennesaw St            Atlantic Sun  ( 4-10, 76.6)    23-11   
 508 N Jacksonville           Atlantic Sun  (12- 2, 89.7)     8-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 H VA Tech                 5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.83
   221 A Robert Morris           8- 9      -1     0          -1.85
   224 H Cincinnati             14-10       4     2           1.50
   227 A Furman                  8-10      -2    -1          -0.46
   303 H Radford                18-10       8     9          -1.27
   310 A ODU                    14- 8       6     7          -1.29
   313 A W&M                    20-16       4     2           1.05
   319 A Notre Dame              5-19     -14   -11           0.00
   326 H Delaware St            24- 2      22    23           0.00
   401 H JMU                     5- 8      -3    -4           1.73
   410 H Cst Carolina           14-13       1     2          -1.17
   413 A Duke                    6-18     -12   -11           0.00
   416 H Kennesaw St            17- 6      11     8           1.46
   418 A High Point             15-13       2    -3    ++     5.46
   423 A Stetson                18- 9       9     6    +      2.04
   425 A Jacksonville           11-22     -11    -7    -     -2.40
   428 A Florida                 2-17     -15   -12           0.00
   506 A Kennesaw St            23-11      12     5    ++     4.50
   508 N Jacksonville            8-13      -5    -6           1.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 H VA Tech                 5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.83
   425 A Jacksonville           11-22     -11    -7    -     -2.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A High Point             15-13       2    -3    ++     5.46
   506 A Kennesaw St            23-11      12     5    ++     4.50
   423 A Stetson                18- 9       9     6    +      2.04
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.59 Local Power Rank...........    51
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.60 Local SOS Rank.............    53
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    49
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    62
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    66
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/