womens probabilites for 2
 
 

2019 NCAA Women's Division II

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Tampa Sunshine 12 1 6 9 3 1 2 1 4 4.00 2 FL Southern Sunshine 14 2 1 11 5 2 4 5 11 31.00 3 Queens NC South Atlantic 15 1 7 43 7 6 16 7 29 4.00 4 Le Moyne Northeast 10 15 1 2 3 1 3 27 2 32 12.00 5 Regis CO Rocky Mountain 13 0 17 45 4 4 24 4 32 0.10 6 St Leo Sunshine 13 4 11 26 19 11 5 18 34 1.00 7 LIU Post East Coast 13 3 16 24 12 12 10 14 36 1.00 8 West Chester PSAC 14 1 4 21 6 8 23 6 37 9.00 9 Limestone Carolinas 15 2 19 69 11 18 26 8 52 0.10 10 Pace Northeast 10 11 6 21 4 20 20 7 25 52 1.00 11 Adelphi Northeast 10 14 1 5 5 2 7 46 3 56 3.00 12 Bentley Northeast 10 10 6 28 1 27 22 8 27 57 0.10 13 Mercy East Coast 14 3 12 30 15 9 34 15 58 1.00 14 Florida Tech Sunshine 7 8 22 7 41 19 1 39 59 0.10 15 E Stroudsburg PSAC 12 3 10 29 18 15 29 19 63 2.00 16 Assumption Northeast 10 14 3 15 10 8 10 43 11 64 0.10 17 Lenoir Rhyne South Atlantic 11 5 50 39 29 21 18 28 67 0.10 18 Lindenwood Rocky Mountain 14 1 23 67 14 16 42 9 67 0.10 19 Seton Hill PSAC 11 5 18 17 25 23 19 26 68 0.10 20 Indianapolis Great Lakes 12 1 3 54 10 14 45 13 72 10.00 21 Rollins Sunshine 12 1 8 35 13 5 58 10 73 10.00 22 Grand Valley St Great Lakes 10 3 14 48 22 24 36 20 80 2.00 23 NYIT East Coast 12 5 27 53 33 31 20 29 80 0.10 24 New Haven Northeast 10 10 7 13 6 35 26 22 34 82 3.00 25 Merrimack Northeast 10 11 6 9 2 17 13 53 17 83 5.00 26 Findlay Great Lakes 9 8 32 38 57 28 3 53 84 0.10 27 Bloomsburg PSAC 11 6 30 25 31 27 25 37 89 0.10 28 Tiffin Great Lakes 10 7 40 41 55 32 11 46 89 0.10 29 Georgian Court CACC North 13 4 37 58 21 35 37 21 93 0.10 30 Mercyhurst PSAC 11 5 31 34 28 33 30 32 95 0.10 31 Wingate South Atlantic 9 7 42 40 46 36 14 47 97 0.10 32 Indiana PA PSAC 9 7 20 18 44 34 12 54 100 0.10 33 Mesa St Rocky Mountain 11 0 25 79 9 17 75 12 104 1.00 34 Belmont Abbey Carolinas 10 7 47 72 43 48 15 44 107 0.10 35 St Anselm Northeast 10 7 9 26 13 47 45 13 49 107 0.10 36 Catawba South Atlantic 7 9 66 36 60 42 6 61 109 0.10 37 Roberts Wslyn East Coast 11 5 41 59 34 43 35 31 109 0.10 38 Embry-Riddle FL 9 7 33 28 37 25 60 33 118 0.10 39 AL Huntsville Gulf South 11 2 34 62 16 29 77 16 122 0.10 40 Molloy East Coast 11 6 39 61 39 47 38 38 123 0.10 41 Millersville PSAC 9 8 35 27 54 39 28 64 131 0.10 42 Young Harris Gulf South 6 6 43 44 49 41 47 43 131 0.10 43 McKendree Great Lakes 7 5 36 46 38 40 48 45 133 0.10 44 Stonehill Northeast 10 9 8 29 15 48 44 39 50 133 0.10 45 Westminster UT Rocky Mountain 4 8 70 37 69 51 17 65 133 0.10 46 Mt Olive Carolinas 11 5 24 52 26 30 82 24 136 0.10 47 Slippery Rock PSAC 7 9 48 14 64 49 21 69 139 0.10 48 CSU-Pueblo Rocky Mountain 5 6 63 70 52 50 52 42 144 0.10 49 UVA-Wise Mountain East 6 6 60 68 59 46 51 55 152 0.10 50 Concordia SP Great Lakes 8 5 55 64 36 55 59 41 155 0.10 51 Rockhurst Rocky Mountain 9 7 38 51 42 37 86 35 158 0.10 52 Palm Beach Atl Sunshine 5 9 73 23 70 53 44 67 164 0.10 53 Col Springs Rocky Mountain 5 8 44 47 67 52 62 57 171 0.10 54 T Jefferson CACC South 9 5 64 89 45 58 68 48 174 0.10 55 Lincoln Mem South Atlantic 11 5 58 73 32 38 102 36 176 0.10 56 North Greenville Carolinas 8 7 59 92 62 63 55 60 178 0.10 57 S Connecticut Northeast 10 2 15 51 8 99 70 9 101 180 0.10 58 Wheeling Jesuit Mountain East 8 4 74 87 40 59 85 40 184 0.10 59 Shippensburg PSAC 5 11 53 22 90 60 33 93 186 0.10 60 Walsh Great Lakes 13 4 52 94 30 56 100 30 186 0.10 61 Bridgeport East Coast 8 8 54 60 53 57 80 52 189 0.10 62 Lake Erie Great Midwest 7 9 65 55 76 62 49 80 191 0.10 63 Shepherd Mountain East 7 5 68 85 51 61 79 51 191 0.10 64 Kutztown PSAC 7 9 45 31 63 54 71 68 193 0.10 65 Franklin Pierce Northeast 10 6 10 49 20 71 64 61 74 199 0.10 66 American Intl Northeast 10 4 13 67 16 89 71 40 90 201 0.10 67 Wilmington DE CACC South 10 7 69 97 65 66 70 66 202 0.10 68 Charleston WV Mountain East 4 7 72 66 66 67 66 70 203 0.10 69 Davenport GLIAC 7 6 57 57 50 65 81 58 204 0.10 70 Edinboro PSAC 3 14 61 19 106 68 32 108 208 0.10 71 Lock Haven PSAC 4 13 56 33 98 74 31 104 209 0.10 72 St Michael's Northeast 10 3 12 46 12 86 72 54 85 211 0.10 73 Barton Carolinas 9 6 81 98 56 69 88 56 213 0.10 74 N Michigan Great Lakes 4 8 75 50 74 73 64 77 214 0.10 75 Ft Lewis Rocky Mountain 2 6 80 71 68 78 74 63 215 0.10 76 Chestnut Hill CACC South 5 9 79 77 82 77 56 83 216 0.10 77 Gannon PSAC 3 13 71 32 100 79 41 106 226 0.10 78 Thomas Aquinas East Coast 8 9 76 75 80 76 76 75 227 0.10 79 Mars Hill South Atlantic 5 10 88 90 91 84 63 89 236 0.10 80 Tusculum South Atlantic 4 12 86 84 102 85 50 102 237 0.10 81 Maryville MO Great Lakes 2 9 95 49 85 86 69 87 242 0.10 82 Montevallo Gulf South 4 7 83 74 73 80 90 72 242 0.10 83 Davis & Elkins Great Midwest 11 6 85 101 61 75 108 62 245 0.10 84 Lee TN Gulf South 4 8 84 76 72 82 95 71 248 0.10 85 Coker South Atlantic 6 8 78 95 75 81 97 73 251 0.10 86 Adams St Rocky Mountain 0 11 111 56 103 96 65 96 257 0.10 87 Caldwell CACC North 6 10 87 88 93 88 78 91 257 0.10 88 WV Wesleyan Mountain East 5 7 100 83 77 92 89 76 257 0.10 89 Shorter Gulf South 4 7 102 105 58 89 110 59 258 0.10 90 Ursuline Great Midwest 4 12 89 81 94 83 83 94 260 0.10 91 Newberry NECC 3 14 104 86 110 93 57 111 261 0.10 92 Ashland Great Lakes 3 9 103 80 81 94 84 86 264 0.10 93 Lewis Great Lakes 0 9 99 42 87 100 72 92 264 0.10 94 OK Baptist Rocky Mountain 5 9 101 63 92 90 91 84 265 0.10 95 Notre Dame OH Mountain East 5 8 90 104 83 91 96 81 268 0.10 96 Dominican NY CACC North 5 9 77 96 79 87 103 79 269 0.10 97 Ohio Valley Great Midwest 6 8 82 108 84 95 98 82 275 0.10 98 Dist Columbia East Coast 0 13 109 78 109 105 67 109 281 0.10 99 Converse Carolinas 7 8 96 109 78 97 109 78 284 0.10 100 S Wesleyan Carolinas 5 11 106 103 88 101 99 88 288 0.10 101 Ald-Broaddus Great Midwest 1 14 91 82 112 104 73 112 289 0.10 102 Queens NY East Coast 2 15 97 65 111 98 92 110 300 0.10 103 Nyack CACC North 5 12 94 100 97 99 104 98 301 0.10 104 Chowan Carolinas 1 12 107 102 108 109 87 107 303 0.10 105 Emmanuel GA Carolinas 1 10 108 106 95 108 101 95 304 0.10 106 Post CACC North 4 12 93 99 107 106 93 105 304 0.10 107 Holy Family CACC South 3 13 98 93 104 102 105 99 306 0.10 108 Erskine Carolinas 4 12 92 110 96 103 107 97 307 0.10 109 Felician CACC North 0 12 110 91 105 110 94 103 307 0.10 110 Lees-McRae Carolinas 1 12 105 107 101 107 106 100 313 0.10 111 J&W CO NAIA 0 1 62 111 23 111 111 22 0 0.10 112 S. New Hampshire Northeast 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10
<