2018 NCAA Women's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 17 4 2 1 5 1 1 4 6 18.00 2 James Madison Colonial 22 1 5 12 1 2 4 1 7 9.00 3 Maryland Big Ten 20 2 3 4 3 4 6 2 12 17.00 4 Boston College Atlantic Coast 22 2 4 7 2 3 7 3 13 9.00 5 Florida Big East 17 4 6 16 6 5 3 6 14 5.00 6 Navy Patriot League 18 4 11 35 7 7 11 7 25 4.00 7 Northwestern Big Ten 15 6 7 5 9 8 10 11 29 3.00 8 Towson Colonial 16 5 12 19 8 9 13 9 31 2.00 9 Stony Brook America East 20 1 1 34 4 6 24 5 35 22.00 10 Loyola Patriot League 16 5 9 30 12 11 19 10 40 2.00 11 Denver Big East 13 7 24 23 19 14 9 18 41 0.10 12 Penn Ivy League 14 5 17 14 13 10 18 13 41 1.00 13 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 14 7 21 11 14 15 14 12 41 0.10 14 Colorado Pacific 12 14 6 10 13 15 12 16 15 43 1.00 15 Virginia Atlantic Coast 10 10 13 3 26 17 2 28 47 0.10 16 Penn State Big Ten 10 10 18 6 24 24 5 25 54 0.10 17 Princeton Ivy League 13 6 14 15 18 13 23 19 55 0.10 18 Georgetown Big East 12 7 29 26 27 19 17 20 56 0.10 19 Syracuse Atlantic Coast 9 10 16 2 28 21 8 27 56 2.00 20 Richmond Atlantic 10 16 4 28 56 16 20 26 14 60 0.10 21 Stanford Pacific 12 15 5 8 20 10 16 27 17 60 5.00 22 High Point Big South 17 3 23 61 11 18 35 8 61 0.10 23 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 10 9 20 17 30 25 12 26 63 0.10 24 Southern Califor Pacific 12 10 8 15 10 20 26 15 29 70 0.10 25 Dartmouth Ivy League 11 5 19 33 21 22 29 21 72 0.10 26 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast 10 9 22 9 32 27 22 35 84 0.10 27 Duke Atlantic Coast 8 9 26 18 39 30 20 36 86 0.10 28 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 14 5 25 50 22 23 43 22 88 0.10 29 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 12 7 39 53 41 28 28 34 90 0.10 30 Lehigh Patriot League 13 6 51 55 23 29 42 24 95 0.10 31 Delaware Colonial 8 10 46 27 55 32 21 45 98 0.10 32 Yale Ivy League 7 8 42 28 49 31 31 49 111 0.10 33 Boston Universit Patriot League 10 8 54 46 37 36 36 41 113 0.10 34 Marquette Big East 10 8 36 42 44 37 44 37 118 0.10 35 Michigan Big Ten 6 10 33 22 52 35 25 58 118 0.10 36 Liberty Big South 13 5 57 86 25 38 58 23 119 0.10 37 Cornell Ivy League 7 8 30 21 47 33 40 52 125 0.10 38 Brown Ivy League 9 6 31 45 31 34 61 31 126 0.10 39 Temple Big East 9 8 60 47 46 43 45 39 127 0.10 40 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 16 4 32 88 17 44 69 16 129 0.10 41 Winthrop Big South 14 6 59 92 35 46 54 30 130 0.10 42 Connecticut Big East 8 9 34 38 61 41 37 57 135 0.10 43 Oregon Pacific 12 9 9 27 25 33 45 39 55 139 0.10 44 Hofstra Colonial 8 9 37 44 56 55 32 53 140 0.10 45 Elon Colonial 4 11 35 8 69 40 34 68 142 0.10 46 Villanova Big East 9 7 44 49 48 47 56 42 145 0.10 47 San Diego State MPSF 11 8 49 63 45 51 51 48 150 0.10 48 Louisville Atlantic Coast 6 11 40 24 70 53 33 69 155 0.10 49 Wagner Northeast 14 6 62 83 34 52 70 33 155 0.10 50 Canisius Metro Atlantic 11 9 66 51 54 39 67 56 162 0.10 51 Albany America East 9 9 43 43 53 49 53 62 164 0.10 52 Columbia Ivy League 6 10 67 39 74 58 41 71 170 0.10 53 Rutgers Big Ten 7 10 45 37 63 62 47 61 170 0.10 54 Colgate Patriot League 10 7 64 65 43 59 68 44 171 0.10 55 Harvard Ivy League 6 9 41 29 65 50 52 70 172 0.10 56 George Mason Atlantic 10 11 7 48 74 51 54 75 47 176 0.10 57 UMBC America East 11 6 63 75 29 60 85 32 177 0.10 58 Davidson Atlantic 10 11 8 61 76 62 57 63 60 180 0.10 59 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 13 7 55 72 40 48 86 46 180 0.10 60 UC Davis MPSF 8 6 53 48 36 42 99 40 181 0.10 61 Army Patriot League 10 7 71 81 42 65 74 43 182 0.10 62 Ohio State Big Ten 5 10 52 31 71 61 48 73 182 0.10 63 Holy Cross Patriot League 6 12 83 52 86 69 30 84 183 0.10 64 Marist Metro Atlantic 10 7 50 73 57 56 80 51 187 0.10 65 Bryant Northeast 12 6 47 95 38 63 87 38 188 0.10 66 Campbell Big South 9 10 76 78 78 68 46 74 188 0.10 67 William & Mary Colonial 4 12 80 41 85 71 38 82 191 0.10 68 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 10 7 74 101 58 66 73 54 193 0.10 69 Binghamton America East 8 9 56 60 60 67 64 63 194 0.10 70 Vanderbilt Big East 8 9 38 54 72 64 71 66 201 0.10 71 Cincinnati Big East 8 9 69 62 68 70 77 64 211 0.10 72 Drexel Colonial 4 12 68 36 89 79 49 83 211 0.10 73 Virginia Commonw Atlantic 10 7 11 85 70 92 76 50 85 211 0.10 74 New Hampshire America East 6 11 70 58 77 82 55 80 217 0.10 75 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 10 9 65 89 66 74 81 67 222 0.10 76 George Washingto Atlantic 10 9 8 81 85 64 75 84 65 224 0.10 77 California Pacific 12 6 12 58 32 76 72 62 91 225 0.10 78 La Salle Atlantic 10 7 10 75 71 82 77 72 78 227 0.10 79 Arizona State Pacific 12 6 12 72 40 73 80 60 90 230 0.10 80 Monmouth Metro Atlantic 8 10 82 68 80 73 90 79 242 0.10 81 Niagara Metro Atlantic 8 10 78 69 81 78 91 76 245 0.10 82 Iona Metro Atlantic 8 10 79 82 79 81 88 77 246 0.10 83 Old Dominion Atlantic Sun 5 13 97 84 103 91 57 100 248 0.10 84 Bucknell Patriot League 3 13 89 57 101 86 65 101 252 0.10 85 Central Michigan Southern 11 7 94 113 50 89 113 50 252 0.10 86 Robert Morris Northeast 9 9 73 91 75 83 95 75 253 0.10 87 Longwood Big South 7 11 104 103 91 90 76 89 255 0.10 88 American Patriot League 3 14 100 80 105 98 59 104 261 0.10 89 Fresno State MPSF 9 9 77 94 67 87 102 72 261 0.10 90 Detroit Mercy Southern 10 8 87 108 59 93 112 59 264 0.10 91 Massachusetts-Lo America East 4 13 84 64 100 96 66 102 264 0.10 92 Vermont America East 6 11 88 77 84 94 82 88 264 0.10 93 Furman Southern 8 11 98 104 87 88 92 86 266 0.10 94 Mercer Southern 9 11 90 106 88 85 94 87 266 0.10 95 Duquesne Atlantic 10 5 12 86 66 97 84 89 97 270 0.10 96 Lafayette Patriot League 5 12 91 79 94 97 83 94 274 0.10 97 Radford Big South 6 11 95 99 93 92 93 93 278 0.10 98 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 7 11 92 100 90 95 103 92 290 0.10 99 Butler Big East 1 16 107 59 114 102 79 112 293 0.10 100 Saint Francis Northeast 7 10 101 112 83 103 110 81 294 0.10 101 Siena Metro Atlantic 5 12 102 97 99 100 98 98 296 0.10 102 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 0 17 108 67 115 104 78 115 297 0.10 103 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 5 11 99 102 95 99 106 95 300 0.10 104 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 5 11 93 98 96 101 108 96 305 0.10 105 Sacred Heart Northeast 2 14 103 87 110 105 96 110 311 0.10 106 Gardner-Webb Big South 3 14 110 109 107 109 100 107 316 0.10 107 Stetson Atlantic Sun 4 13 96 105 104 106 105 105 316 0.10 108 Central Connecti Northeast 2 14 109 96 108 108 101 108 317 0.10 109 Presbyterian Big South 2 15 111 107 112 110 97 113 320 0.10 110 Hartford America East 1 12 112 93 98 112 111 99 322 0.10 111 East Carolina 2 14 105 90 109 107 107 109 323 0.10 112 LIU Brooklyn Northeast 3 13 106 110 106 111 109 106 326 0.10 113 Wofford Southern 2 15 113 114 113 113 104 114 331 0.10 114 Howard Atlantic Sun 1 12 114 111 102 114 115 103 332 0.10 115 Delaware State Southern 0 14 115 115 111 115 114 111 340 0.10