Conf = Colonial                   Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Tribe                  Coach  = Hillary Fratzke         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.6964340    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 211 A Maryland               Big Ten       (20- 2, 99.2)     7-18   
 220 H Longwood               Big South     ( 7-11, 76.7)    15- 9   
 225 H Davidson               Atlantic 10   (11- 8, 85.8)    12- 9   
 228 A Virginia               Atlantic Coas (10-10, 95.5)     5-16   
 305 A Vanderbilt             Big East      ( 8- 9, 88.6)     6-19   
 310 A George Mason           Atlantic 10   (11- 7, 87.4)     5-13   
 314 H Virginia Commonwealth  Atlantic 10   ( 7-11, 81.4)    15- 5   
 317 H Old Dominion           Atlantic Sun  ( 5-13, 78.6)     8- 5   
 324 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   (16- 4, 91.0)     1-15   
 328 A Liberty                Big South     (13- 5, 86.1)     7-11   
 331 H UC Davis               MPSF          ( 8- 6, 86.7)     4-12   
 408 H Hofstra                Colonial      ( 8- 9, 88.7)    14-15  o
 413 H James Madison          Colonial      (22- 1, 98.4)     4-21   
 415 N Towson                 Colonial      (16- 5, 95.8)     5-17   
 420 A Drexel                 Colonial      ( 4-12, 84.5)     9-14   
 422 A Delaware               Colonial      ( 8-10, 87.7)     6-14   
 428 A Elon                   Colonial      ( 4-11, 89.2)   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 A Maryland                7-18     -11   -17           0.00
   220 H Longwood               15- 9       6     6          -0.96
   225 H Davidson               12- 9       3    -2    ++     5.19
   228 A Virginia                5-16     -11   -13           0.00
   305 A Vanderbilt              6-19     -13    -6    -     -3.14
   310 A George Mason            5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.36
   314 H Virginia Commonwealth  15- 5      10     2    +++    7.77
   317 H Old Dominion            8- 5       3     5    -     -2.02
   324 A Richmond                1-15     -14    -9          -0.74
   328 A Liberty                 7-11      -4    -4           0.36
   331 H UC Davis                4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.91
   408 H Hofstra                14-15  o   -1    -5    ++     4.02
   413 H James Madison           4-21     -17   -14           0.00
   415 N Towson                  5-17     -12   -13           0.00
   420 A Drexel                  9-14      -5    -2    -     -2.27
   422 A Delaware                6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H UC Davis                4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.91
   305 A Vanderbilt              6-19     -13    -6    -     -3.14
   310 A George Mason            5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.36
   317 H Old Dominion            8- 5       3     5    -     -2.02
   420 A Drexel                  9-14      -5    -2    -     -2.27
   422 A Delaware                6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Virginia Commonwealth  15- 5      10     2    +++    7.77
   225 H Davidson               12- 9       3    -2    ++     5.19
   408 H Hofstra                14-15  o   -1    -5    ++     4.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.70 Local Power Rank...........    80
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.90 Local SOS Rank.............    41
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    71
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   112
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    85
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/