Conf = Atlantic Coast             Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Jenny Levy              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.2859039    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 210 A James Madison          Colonial      (22- 1, 98.4)    14-15 2o
 216 A High Point             Big South     (17- 3, 92.5)    14-10   
 218 H Liberty                Big South     (13- 5, 86.1)    23- 4   
 224 H Maryland               Big Ten       (20- 2, 99.2)    16-15  o
 303 H Florida                Big East      (17- 4, 98.1)    10-17   
 310 A Virginia               Atlantic Coas (10-10, 95.5)    13- 9   
 313 A Elon                   Colonial      ( 4-11, 89.2)    12- 1   
 317 A Northwestern           Big Ten       (15- 6, 97.1)    18-13   
 324 A Boston College         Atlantic Coas (22- 2, 98.8)    11-17   
 328 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas (14- 7, 93.4)    13-12   
 331 H Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas (10- 9, 92.7)    13-12   
 407 H Louisville             Atlantic Coas ( 6-11, 88.4)    16- 6   
 414 A Syracuse               Atlantic Coas ( 9-10, 94.8)    20-11   
 415 N Canisius               Metro Atlanti (11- 9, 85.2)    22- 3   
 421 H Duke                   Atlantic Coas ( 8- 9, 92.3)    20-10   
 426 N Syracuse               Atlantic Coas ( 9-10, 94.8)    21-12   
 427 N Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas (14- 7, 93.4)    14- 8   
 429 N Boston College         Atlantic Coas (22- 2, 98.8)    14-11   
 513 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas (14- 7, 93.4)    17- 8   
 519 H Northwestern           Big Ten       (15- 6, 97.1)    19-14   
 525 N James Madison          Colonial      (22- 1, 98.4)    12-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 A James Madison          14-15 2o   -1     0          -0.91
   216 A High Point             14-10       4     5          -1.87
   218 H Liberty                23- 4      19    14           0.00
   224 H Maryland               16-15  o    1     0           0.02
   303 H Florida                10-17      -7     2    ---   -9.10
   310 A Virginia               13- 9       4     2           1.19
   313 A Elon                   12- 1      11     9           0.83
   317 A Northwestern           18-13       5     1    +      3.77
   324 A Boston College         11-17      -6     0    --    -5.55
   328 H Virginia Tech          13-12       1     6    --    -5.83
   331 H Notre Dame             13-12       1     7    ---   -6.53
   407 H Louisville             16- 6      10    11           0.00
   414 A Syracuse               20-11       9     3    ++     5.49
   415 N Canisius               22- 3      19    14           0.00
   421 H Duke                   20-10      10     7    +      2.07
   426 N Syracuse               21-12       9     4    ++     4.55
   427 N Virginia Tech          14- 8       6     5           0.11
   429 N Boston College         14-11       3     0    +      2.51
   513 H Virginia Tech          17- 8       9     6    +      2.17
   519 H Northwestern           19-14       5     3           1.89
   525 N James Madison          12-15      -3     0    -     -3.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Florida                10-17      -7     2    ---   -9.10
   331 H Notre Dame             13-12       1     7    ---   -6.53
   324 A Boston College         11-17      -6     0    --    -5.55
   328 H Virginia Tech          13-12       1     6    --    -5.83
   525 N James Madison          12-15      -3     0    -     -3.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Syracuse               20-11       9     3    ++     5.49
   426 N Syracuse               21-12       9     4    ++     4.55
   317 A Northwestern           18-13       5     1    +      3.77
   421 H Duke                   20-10      10     7    +      2.07
   429 N Boston College         14-11       3     0    +      2.51
   513 H Virginia Tech          17- 8       9     6    +      2.17
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.29 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 86.40 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.71 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   18.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/