GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.0368195 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 211 A California Pacific 12 ( 6-12, 86.1) 12-11 217 H Arizona State Pacific 12 ( 6-12, 83.8) 14-13 223 A Denver Big East (13- 7, 92.5) 12-17 225 A Colorado Pacific 12 (14- 6, 96.1) 12-17 302 H St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 0-17, 74.8) 19- 3 305 H Presbyterian Big South ( 2-15, 68.4) 22- 2 306 H Niagara Metro Atlanti ( 8-10, 82.9) 18-16 310 H Boston College Atlantic Coas (22- 2, 98.8) 8-19 316 A Furman Southern ( 8-11, 78.6) 18- 7 318 A Wofford Southern ( 2-15, 67.0) 23- 4 323 H Liberty Big South (13- 5, 86.1) 11-10 327 A Delaware Colonial ( 8-10, 87.7) 10-11 330 A Mount St. Mary's Northeast (10- 7, 83.8) 12-13 408 H UC Davis MPSF ( 8- 6, 86.7) 9-15 413 A Southern California Pacific 12 (10- 8, 95.2) 7-17 415 A Fresno State MPSF ( 9- 9, 83.0) 15-11 421 A Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (10- 9, 92.7) 7-16 427 H Fresno State MPSF ( 9- 9, 83.0) 16- 6 429 N UC Davis MPSF ( 8- 6, 86.7) 11-10 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 A California 12-11 1 0 0.96 217 H Arizona State 14-13 1 4 - -3.20 223 A Denver 12-17 -5 -6 1.38 225 A Colorado 12-17 -5 -9 ++ 5.00 302 H St. Bonaventure 19- 3 16 13 0.00 305 H Presbyterian 22- 2 20 19 0.00 306 H Niagara 18-16 2 5 - -3.06 310 H Boston College 8-19 -11 -10 0.00 316 A Furman 18- 7 11 7 + 2.52 318 A Wofford 23- 4 19 19 0.00 323 H Liberty 11-10 1 1 -0.86 327 A Delaware 10-11 -1 -1 0.57 330 A Mount St. Mary's 12-13 -1 2 - -3.34 408 H UC Davis 9-15 -6 1 --- -7.25 413 A Southern California 7-17 -10 -9 -0.88 415 A Fresno State 15-11 4 3 0.86 421 A Notre Dame 7-16 -9 -6 - -2.39 427 H Fresno State 16- 6 10 5 ++ 4.98 429 N UC Davis 11-10 o 1 0 0.69UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
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LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.04 Local Power Rank........... 49 Local SOS Rating......... 67.67 Local SOS Rank............. 63 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 51 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 97 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 45 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7