Conf = Atlantic Sun               Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Monarchs               Coach  = Heather Holt            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.6228714    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 214 H Virginia Commonwealth  Atlantic 10   ( 7-11, 81.4)    11- 9   
 217 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas (14- 7, 93.4)     3-20   
 228 H Liberty                Big South     (13- 5, 86.1)    12-14   
 306 A American               Patriot Leagu ( 3-14, 77.8)    12-17   
 310 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   (16- 4, 91.0)     5-15   
 317 A William & Mary         Colonial      ( 4-12, 82.7)     5- 8   
 321 H High Point             Big South     (17- 3, 92.5)    10-14   
 324 H George Mason           Atlantic 10   (11- 7, 87.4)     5-16   
 329 A Howard                 Atlantic Sun  ( 1-12, 65.2)    20- 8   
 331 A Delaware State         Southern      ( 0-14, 60.0)    21- 1   
 406 H Jacksonville           Atlantic Sun  (16- 4, 89.7)    12-21   
 408 H Stetson                Atlantic Sun  ( 4-13, 78.8)    12-11   
 413 A Mercer                 Southern      ( 9-11, 80.8)    12-11   
 415 A Kennesaw State         Atlantic Sun  ( 7-11, 80.2)     6-15   
 420 H Central Michigan       Southern      (11- 7, 79.9)    15-19   
 422 H Detroit Mercy          Southern      (10- 8, 81.1)    14-18   
 428 H Coastal Carolina       Atlantic Sun  (10- 9, 85.3)     5-16   
 503 A Jacksonville           Atlantic Sun  (16- 4, 89.7)     4-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 H Virginia Commonwealth  11- 9       2    -1    +      3.85
   217 A Virginia Tech           3-20     -17   -15           0.00
   228 H Liberty                12-14      -2    -6    ++     4.55
   306 A American               12-17      -5     0    --    -4.86
   310 H Richmond                5-15     -10   -11           0.00
   317 A William & Mary          5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.02
   321 H High Point             10-14      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   324 H George Mason            5-16     -11    -7    -     -2.17
   329 A Howard                 20- 8      12    12           0.00
   331 A Delaware State         21- 1      20    17           0.00
   406 H Jacksonville           12-21      -9   -10           1.00
   408 H Stetson                12-11       1     0           0.20
   413 A Mercer                 12-11       1    -3    ++     4.10
   415 A Kennesaw State          6-15      -9    -2    ---   -6.45
   420 H Central Michigan       15-19      -4     0    -     -3.63
   422 H Detroit Mercy          14-18      -4    -1    -     -2.44
   428 H Coastal Carolina        5-16     -11    -5    --    -4.29
   503 A Jacksonville            4-17     -13   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Kennesaw State          6-15      -9    -2    ---   -6.45
   306 A American               12-17      -5     0    --    -4.86
   428 H Coastal Carolina        5-16     -11    -5    --    -4.29
   324 H George Mason            5-16     -11    -7    -     -2.17
   420 H Central Michigan       15-19      -4     0    -     -3.63
   422 H Detroit Mercy          14-18      -4    -1    -     -2.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H High Point             10-14      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   228 H Liberty                12-14      -2    -6    ++     4.55
   413 A Mercer                 12-11       1    -3    ++     4.10
   214 H Virginia Commonwealth  11- 9       2    -1    +      3.85
   317 A William & Mary          5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.02
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.62 Local Power Rank...........    97
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.82 Local SOS Rank.............    84
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    91
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    84
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   103
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.3
/