Conf = Big South                  Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Lancers                Coach  = Elaine Jones            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.6831970    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 211 H Lafayette              Patriot Leagu ( 5-12, 80.8)    13-12   
 217 A George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 9- 8, 82.5)     8-16   
 220 A William & Mary         Colonial      ( 4-12, 82.7)     9-15   
 224 A George Mason           Atlantic 10   (11- 7, 87.4)     5-22   
 228 H Virginia Commonwealth  Atlantic 10   ( 7-11, 81.4)     8-15   
 303 H Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     (10- 7, 83.8)    11-10   
 310 H Howard                 Atlantic Sun  ( 1-12, 65.2)    19- 5   
 317 H UMBC                   America East  (11- 6, 85.4)    10-13   
 320 A East Carolina                        ( 2-14, 75.6)    17-13   
 325 H Saint Francis          Northeast     ( 7-10, 77.3)    12-10   
 331 A Winthrop               Big South     (14- 6, 86.0)    13-20   
 404 H Radford                Big South     ( 6-11, 79.3)    10-15   
 407 H Gardner-Webb           Big South     ( 3-14, 73.5)    15- 8   
 411 A Liberty                Big South     (13- 5, 86.1)     7-22   
 414 H Presbyterian           Big South     ( 2-15, 68.4)    18- 6   
 418 A Campbell               Big South     ( 9-10, 83.4)     8-20   
 421 H High Point             Big South     (17- 3, 92.5)     2-22   
 428 A Winthrop               Big South     (14- 6, 86.0)     6-22   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 H Lafayette              13-12       1    -3    ++     4.13
   217 A George Washington       8-16      -8    -6          -1.19
   220 A William & Mary          9-15      -6    -6           0.96
   224 A George Mason            5-22     -17   -11           0.00
   228 H Virginia Commonwealth   8-15      -7    -3    -     -3.21
   303 H Mount St. Mary's       11-10       1    -6    +++    7.13
   310 H Howard                 19- 5      14    12           0.00
   317 H UMBC                   10-13      -3    -7    ++     4.77
   320 A East Carolina          17-13       4     0    +      3.88
   325 H Saint Francis          12-10       2     0           1.65
   331 A Winthrop               13-20      -7   -10    +      3.00
   404 H Radford                10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.34
   407 H Gardner-Webb           15- 8       7     4    +      2.87
   411 A Liberty                 7-22     -15   -10           0.00
   414 H Presbyterian           18- 6      12     9           0.77
   418 A Campbell                8-20     -12    -7    -     -2.32
   421 H High Point              2-22     -20   -14           0.00
   428 A Winthrop                6-22     -16   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Virginia Commonwealth   8-15      -7    -3    -     -3.21
   404 H Radford                10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.34
   418 A Campbell                8-20     -12    -7    -     -2.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Mount St. Mary's       11-10       1    -6    +++    7.13
   211 H Lafayette              13-12       1    -3    ++     4.13
   317 H UMBC                   10-13      -3    -7    ++     4.77
   320 A East Carolina          17-13       4     0    +      3.88
   331 A Winthrop               13-20      -7   -10    +      3.00
   407 H Gardner-Webb           15- 8       7     4    +      2.87
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.68 Local Power Rank...........   104
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.70 Local SOS Rank.............   103
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    90
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    69
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    91
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -16.0
/