Conf = Big South                  Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Flames                 Coach  = Kelly Nangle            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.1153946    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 210 A Mercer                 Southern      ( 9-11, 80.8)    14- 7   
 218 A North Carolina         Atlantic Coas (17- 4, 99.3)     4-23   
 221 A East Carolina                        ( 2-14, 75.6)    15- 4   
 225 H Robert Morris          Northeast     ( 9- 9, 83.8)    14- 9   
 228 A Old Dominion           Atlantic Sun  ( 5-13, 78.6)    14-12   
 303 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   (16- 4, 91.0)     8-12   
 313 H Butler                 Big East      ( 1-16, 75.0)    17- 8   
 320 A Arizona State          Pacific 12    ( 6-12, 83.8)    15- 5   
 323 A San Diego State        MPSF          (11- 8, 87.0)    10-11   
 328 H William & Mary         Colonial      ( 4-12, 82.7)    11- 7   
 331 H Presbyterian           Big South     ( 2-15, 68.4)    19- 5   
 404 H Gardner-Webb           Big South     ( 3-14, 73.5)    19- 8   
 407 A High Point             Big South     (17- 3, 92.5)     4-13   
 411 H Longwood               Big South     ( 7-11, 76.7)    22- 7   
 414 H Winthrop               Big South     (14- 6, 86.0)    12-11   
 418 A Radford                Big South     ( 6-11, 79.3)    19- 9   
 421 A Campbell               Big South     ( 9-10, 83.4)    13- 9   
 504 N Winthrop               Big South     (14- 6, 86.0)    10-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 A Mercer                 14- 7       7     4    +      2.61
   218 A North Carolina          4-23     -19   -14           0.00
   221 A East Carolina          15- 4      11     9           0.44
   225 H Robert Morris          14- 9       5     3           1.70
   228 A Old Dominion           14-12       2     6    --    -4.55
   303 A Richmond                8-12      -4    -5           1.84
   313 H Butler                 17- 8       9    12          -1.00
   320 A Arizona State          15- 5      10     1    +++    8.61
   323 A San Diego State        10-11      -1    -1           0.86
   328 H William & Mary         11- 7       4     4          -0.36
   331 H Presbyterian           19- 5      14    18           0.00
   404 H Gardner-Webb           19- 8      11    13           0.00
   407 A High Point              4-13      -9    -7          -1.70
   411 H Longwood               22- 7      15    10           0.00
   414 H Winthrop               12-11       1     1          -0.10
   418 A Radford                19- 9      10     5    ++     4.12
   421 A Campbell               13- 9       4     1    +      2.25
   504 N Winthrop               10-16      -6     0    ---   -6.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 N Winthrop               10-16      -6     0    ---   -6.16
   228 A Old Dominion           14-12       2     6    --    -4.55

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Arizona State          15- 5      10     1    +++    8.61
   418 A Radford                19- 9      10     5    ++     4.12
   210 A Mercer                 14- 7       7     4    +      2.61
   421 A Campbell               13- 9       4     1    +      2.25
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.12 Local Power Rank...........    57
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.54 Local SOS Rank.............    86
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    38
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    67
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/