Conf = Atlantic 10                Region = Mid-Atlantic State = DC
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Tracy Coyne             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.5496674    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 210 A East Carolina                        ( 2-14, 75.6)    18- 7   
 217 H Longwood               Big South     ( 7-11, 76.7)    16- 8   
 224 A Monmouth               Metro Atlanti ( 8-10, 82.5)     8-14   
 303 A Robert Morris          Northeast     ( 9- 9, 83.8)     9- 7   
 310 H Bucknell               Patriot Leagu ( 3-13, 80.8)    16- 9   
 314 A American               Patriot Leagu ( 3-14, 77.8)    14-11   
 317 H Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     (10- 7, 83.8)    10- 7   
 320 A Radford                Big South     ( 6-11, 79.3)    13- 7   
 329 H George Mason           Atlantic 10   (11- 7, 87.4)    11-25   
 331 A St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 0-17, 74.8)    14- 3   
 406 H La Salle               Atlantic 10   ( 7-10, 83.6)    16-13   
 408 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   (16- 4, 91.0)     3-14   
 413 A Virginia Commonwealth  Atlantic 10   ( 7-11, 81.4)    12-13   
 415 H Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (14- 5, 92.3)     8-21   
 420 H Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   (12- 7, 88.5)    10-11   
 422 A Duquesne               Atlantic 10   ( 5-12, 81.3)    13-20   
 428 H Davidson               Atlantic 10   (11- 8, 85.8)    10-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 A East Carolina          18- 7      11     5    ++     4.01
   217 H Longwood               16- 8       8     6           1.19
   224 A Monmouth                8-14      -6     0    --    -5.13
   303 A Robert Morris           9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.15
   310 H Bucknell               16- 9       7     2    ++     4.33
   314 A American               14-11       3     3          -0.79
   317 H Mount St. Mary's       10- 7       3     0    +      3.26
   320 A Radford                13- 7       6     2    +      3.68
   329 H George Mason           11-25     -14    -3    ---   -6.10
   331 A St. Bonaventure        14- 3      11     6    +      3.22
   406 H La Salle               16-13       3     0    +      3.07
   408 A Richmond                3-14     -11    -9          -0.59
   413 A Virginia Commonwealth  12-13      -1     0          -1.19
   415 H Massachusetts           8-21     -13    -8          -1.16
   420 H Saint Joseph's         10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.04
   422 A Duquesne               13-20      -7     0    ---   -7.33
   428 H Davidson               10-15      -5    -2    -     -2.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H George Mason           11-25     -14    -3    ---   -6.10
   422 A Duquesne               13-20      -7     0    ---   -7.33
   224 A Monmouth                8-14      -6     0    --    -5.13
   428 H Davidson               10-15      -5    -2    -     -2.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 A East Carolina          18- 7      11     5    ++     4.01
   303 A Robert Morris           9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.15
   310 H Bucknell               16- 9       7     2    ++     4.33
   420 H Saint Joseph's         10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.04
   317 H Mount St. Mary's       10- 7       3     0    +      3.26
   320 A Radford                13- 7       6     2    +      3.68
   331 A St. Bonaventure        14- 3      11     6    +      3.22
   406 H La Salle               16-13       3     0    +      3.07
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.55 Local Power Rank...........    81
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.68 Local SOS Rank.............    85
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    75
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    52
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    64
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
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