Conf = Atlantic 10                Region = Mid-Atlantic State = VA
   Nickname = Patriots               Coach  = Jessy Morgan            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.3909607    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 221 A Monmouth               Metro Atlanti ( 8-10, 82.5)    17-14   
 224 H Longwood               Big South     ( 7-11, 76.7)    22- 5   
 228 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas (14- 7, 93.4)     8- 9  o
 304 H Coastal Carolina       Atlantic Sun  (10- 9, 85.3)    10- 9   
 310 H William & Mary         Colonial      ( 4-12, 82.7)    13- 5   
 314 A Campbell               Big South     ( 9-10, 83.4)    11-14   
 318 A Stetson                Atlantic Sun  ( 4-13, 78.8)    17- 9   
 324 A Old Dominion           Atlantic Sun  ( 5-13, 78.6)    16- 5   
 329 A George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 9- 8, 82.5)    25-11   
 331 A La Salle               Atlantic 10   ( 7-10, 83.6)    12-11   
 406 H Davidson               Atlantic 10   (11- 8, 85.8)     6-10   
 408 H Duquesne               Atlantic 10   ( 5-12, 81.3)    14- 6   
 413 H Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (14- 5, 92.3)     8-15   
 415 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   (16- 4, 91.0)    11-18   
 420 A St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 0-17, 74.8)    15- 8   
 422 A Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   (12- 7, 88.5)     9-16   
 428 H Virginia Commonwealth  Atlantic 10   ( 7-11, 81.4)    23- 8   
 503 N Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   (12- 7, 88.5)     9-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Monmouth               17-14       3     3          -0.98
   224 H Longwood               22- 5      17    11           0.00
   228 A Virginia Tech           8- 9  o   -1    -6    ++     5.95
   304 H Coastal Carolina       10- 9       1     3    -     -2.06
   310 H William & Mary         13- 5       8     5    +      2.36
   314 A Campbell               11-14      -3     3    ---   -6.03
   318 A Stetson                17- 9       8     7           0.32
   324 A Old Dominion           16- 5      11     7    +      2.17
   329 A George Washington      25-11      14     3    +++    6.10
   331 A La Salle               12-11       1     2          -1.88
   406 H Davidson                6-10      -4     2    ---   -6.50
   408 H Duquesne               14- 6       8     7           0.95
   413 H Massachusetts           8-15      -7    -4    -     -3.00
   415 A Richmond               11-18      -7    -4    -     -2.43
   420 A St. Bonaventure        15- 8       7    11    -     -3.00
   422 A Saint Joseph's          9-16      -7    -2    --    -4.92
   428 H Virginia Commonwealth  23- 8      15     6    +      3.08
   503 N Saint Joseph's          9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Campbell               11-14      -3     3    ---   -6.03
   406 H Davidson                6-10      -4     2    ---   -6.50
   422 A Saint Joseph's          9-16      -7    -2    --    -4.92
   304 H Coastal Carolina       10- 9       1     3    -     -2.06
   413 H Massachusetts           8-15      -7    -4    -     -3.00
   415 A Richmond               11-18      -7    -4    -     -2.43
   420 A St. Bonaventure        15- 8       7    11    -     -3.00
   503 N Saint Joseph's          9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A George Washington      25-11      14     3    +++    6.10
   228 A Virginia Tech           8- 9  o   -1    -6    ++     5.95
   310 H William & Mary         13- 5       8     5    +      2.36
   324 A Old Dominion           16- 5      11     7    +      2.17
   428 H Virginia Commonwealth  23- 8      15     6    +      3.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.39 Local Power Rank...........    48
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.03 Local SOS Rank.............    74
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    54
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    51
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    51
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/