Conf = Colonial                   Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Phoenix                Coach  = Josh Hexter             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.1699371    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 211 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas ( 8- 9, 92.3)     9-17   
 217 A Virginia               Atlantic Coas (10-10, 95.5)     4-17   
 225 A Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas (10- 9, 92.7)     9-11   
 301 H High Point             Big South     (17- 3, 92.5)    13-14  o
 304 H Stanford               Pacific 12    (15- 5, 96.9)    10-17   
 313 H North Carolina         Atlantic Coas (17- 4, 99.3)     1-12   
 316 N Winthrop               Big South     (14- 6, 86.0)     9-14   
 318 A Coastal Carolina       Atlantic Sun  (10- 9, 85.3)    14- 6   
 324 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas (14- 7, 93.4)    12-14   
 406 A Hofstra                Colonial      ( 8- 9, 88.7)    12- 8   
 413 H Towson                 Colonial      (16- 5, 95.8)     4-10   
 415 H James Madison          Colonial      (22- 1, 98.4)     3-15   
 420 A Delaware               Colonial      ( 8-10, 87.7)    10- 6   
 422 A Drexel                 Colonial      ( 4-12, 84.5)    18-13   
 428 H William & Mary         Colonial      ( 4-12, 82.7)   
 504 N Towson                 Colonial      (16- 5, 95.8)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 A Duke                    9-17      -8    -4    -     -3.93
   217 A Virginia                4-17     -13    -7    -     -2.69
   225 A Notre Dame              9-11      -2    -4    +      2.47
   301 H High Point             13-14  o   -1    -2           1.36
   304 H Stanford               10-17      -7    -6          -0.19
   313 H North Carolina          1-12     -11    -9          -0.83
   316 N Winthrop                9-14      -5     3    ---   -8.21
   318 A Coastal Carolina       14- 6       8     2    ++     5.04
   324 H Virginia Tech          12-14      -2    -3           1.28
   406 A Hofstra                12- 8       4     0    ++     4.43
   413 H Towson                  4-10      -6    -5          -0.35
   415 H James Madison           3-15     -12    -8          -1.68
   420 A Delaware               10- 6       4     0    +      3.44
   422 A Drexel                 18-13       5     3           1.26
   504 N Towson                  7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 N Winthrop                9-14      -5     3    ---   -8.21
   211 A Duke                    9-17      -8    -4    -     -3.93
   217 A Virginia                4-17     -13    -7    -     -2.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Coastal Carolina       14- 6       8     2    ++     5.04
   406 A Hofstra                12- 8       4     0    ++     4.43
   504 N Towson                  7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.59
   225 A Notre Dame              9-11      -2    -4    +      2.47
   420 A Delaware               10- 6       4     0    +      3.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.17 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.26 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    40
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    46
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    69
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/