Conf = Liberty League             Region = East         State = NY
   Nickname = Herons                 Coach  = Anne Phillips           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.3922882    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 9- 9, 81.1)     7- 5   
 308 A Hamilton               NESCAC        (12- 6, 87.3)     8- 4   
 310 A Nazareth               Empire Eight  (10- 7, 81.5)    17-10   
 314 N Bowdoin                NESCAC        (10- 6, 85.7)     6- 7   
 316 N Wesleyan (CT)          NESCAC        (11- 6, 87.3)     8- 1   
 321 H St. John Fisher        Empire Eight  (15- 5, 87.0)     6- 5 2o
 325 H Buffalo State          SUNYAC        ( 6-11, 76.3)     9- 2   
 331 A Bard                   Liberty Leagu ( 4-10, 66.9)    15- 1   
 401 A Vassar                 Liberty Leagu ( 8- 7, 77.9)    14- 4   
 404 H Ithaca                 Empire Eight  (14- 5, 86.1)    10- 8   
 408 A Union                  Liberty Leagu ( 5- 9, 80.3)    12- 7   
 414 H Rensselaer             Liberty Leagu ( 6- 9, 79.1)    13- 3   
 415 H Skidmore               Liberty Leagu (12- 6, 83.1)     8- 3   
 421 A St. Lawrence           Liberty Leagu ( 8- 9, 81.4)    11- 4   
 422 A Clarkson               Liberty Leagu (10- 7, 80.6)     7- 4   
 428 H Rochester              Liberty Leagu ( 9- 6, 78.6)    15- 5   
 429 H RIT                    Liberty Leagu ( 8- 8, 79.9)    13- 4   
 505 H Rochester              Liberty Leagu ( 9- 6, 78.6)    13- 4   
 506 H Skidmore               Liberty Leagu (12- 6, 83.1)    14- 4   
 514 H Westfield State        MASCAC        (14- 6, 73.8)    15- 1   
 520 N Colorado College       Independent   (15- 5, 83.1)    18-13   
 521 A Washington & Lee       Old Dominion  (19- 2, 87.5)     6- 7  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Geneseo                 7- 5       2     7    --    -5.13
   308 A Hamilton                8- 4       4     0    ++     4.72
   310 A Nazareth               17-10       7     5           1.98
   314 N Bowdoin                 6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.72
   316 N Wesleyan (CT)           8- 1       7     0    +++    6.88
   321 H St. John Fisher         6- 5 2o    1     1          -0.20
   325 H Buffalo State           9- 2       7    11    -     -3.00
   331 A Bard                   15- 1      14    19           0.00
   401 A Vassar                 14- 4      10     8           1.35
   404 H Ithaca                 10- 8       2     2          -0.13
   408 A Union                  12- 7       5     6          -1.29
   414 H Rensselaer             13- 3      10     9           0.90
   415 H Skidmore                8- 3       5     5          -0.17
   421 A St. Lawrence           11- 4       7     5           1.80
   422 A Clarkson                7- 4       3     5    -     -2.92
   428 H Rochester              15- 5      10     9           0.39
   429 H RIT                    13- 4       9     8           0.67
   505 H Rochester              13- 4       9     9          -0.61
   506 H Skidmore               14- 4      10     5    ++     4.83
   514 H Westfield State        15- 1      14    14           0.00
   520 N Colorado College       18-13       5     4           0.70
   521 A Washington & Lee        6- 7  o   -1     0          -0.08

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Geneseo                 7- 5       2     7    --    -5.13
   314 N Bowdoin                 6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.72
   325 H Buffalo State           9- 2       7    11    -     -3.00
   422 A Clarkson                7- 4       3     5    -     -2.92

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 N Wesleyan (CT)           8- 1       7     0    +++    6.88
   308 A Hamilton                8- 4       4     0    ++     4.72
   506 H Skidmore               14- 4      10     5    ++     4.83
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.39 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.79 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 20- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   14.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/