Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = East         State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Kelly Lickert-Orr       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.9319305    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 H Clarkson               Liberty Leagu (10- 7, 80.6)    17- 5   
 307 H Union                  Liberty Leagu ( 5- 9, 80.3)    14- 6   
 311 A Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (17- 5, 87.8)     2-12   
 315 A Catholic (DC)          Landmark      (14- 5, 85.3)    13- 8   
 323 A Ithaca                 Empire Eight  (14- 5, 86.1)    10-11  o
 325 H Denison                North Coast   (15- 4, 81.0)    17- 5   
 401 A New Paltz              SUNYAC        ( 5- 9, 71.9)    20- 6   
 404 H Nazareth               Empire Eight  (10- 7, 81.5)    13-12  o
 408 H Fredonia               SUNYAC        ( 3-13, 77.4)    12- 7   
 409 H Tufts                  NESCAC        (10- 6, 86.1)    11-13   
 411 A Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 3-12, 73.1)    16- 2   
 415 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 9- 9, 81.1)    13-10   
 418 H Oneonta                SUNYAC        ( 9- 7, 79.4)    15- 8   
 422 H Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 7- 8, 77.4)    16- 6   
 425 A Brockport              SUNYAC        (16- 3, 87.3)    11-16   
 429 A Buffalo State          SUNYAC        ( 6-11, 76.3)    19- 5   
 505 N Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 9- 9, 81.1)    18- 6   
 506 A Brockport              SUNYAC        (16- 3, 87.3)    12- 7   
 514 A Messiah                Commonwealth  (16- 3, 87.5)    13-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Clarkson               17- 5      12     7    +      2.86
   307 H Union                  14- 6       8     7           0.49
   311 A Franklin & Marshall     2-12     -10    -1    ---   -8.31
   315 A Catholic (DC)          13- 8       5     0    ++     4.21
   323 A Ithaca                 10-11  o   -1     0          -0.99
   325 H Denison                17- 5      12     6    +      3.27
   401 A New Paltz              20- 6      14    14           0.00
   404 H Nazareth               13-12  o    1     6    --    -5.24
   408 H Fredonia               12- 7       5    10    --    -5.00
   409 H Tufts                  11-13      -2     1    -     -3.64
   411 A Potsdam                16- 2      14    13           0.00
   415 H Geneseo                13-10       3     6    -     -3.67
   418 H Oneonta                15- 8       7     8          -1.38
   422 H Oswego                 16- 6      10    10           0.00
   425 A Brockport              11-16      -5    -1    -     -3.80
   429 A Buffalo State          19- 5      14     9           0.23
   505 N Geneseo                18- 6      12     5    ++     4.17
   506 A Brockport              12- 7       5    -1    +++    6.20
   514 A Messiah                13-14      -1    -1           0.45

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Franklin & Marshall     2-12     -10    -1    ---   -8.31
   404 H Nazareth               13-12  o    1     6    --    -5.24
   408 H Fredonia               12- 7       5    10    --    -5.00
   409 H Tufts                  11-13      -2     1    -     -3.64
   415 H Geneseo                13-10       3     6    -     -3.67
   425 A Brockport              11-16      -5    -1    -     -3.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Brockport              12- 7       5    -1    +++    6.20
   315 A Catholic (DC)          13- 8       5     0    ++     4.21
   505 N Geneseo                18- 6      12     5    ++     4.17
   305 H Clarkson               17- 5      12     7    +      2.86
   325 H Denison                17- 5      12     6    +      3.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.93 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.37 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
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