2016 NCAA Women's Division I UPSETS ARC
Upsets are listed in order of magnitude based on score and power
rating. An upset occurs when a team of lower power rating beats
a team of higher power rating. Home advantage is not included.
An upset requires the Power Ratings of the two teams to be at
least two points apart.
Upsets may disappear as the season progresses because as power
ratings are adjusted, the difference in ratings between two
teams may fall below two points.
No Underdog (UT) Favorite (FT) Score UT FT
PR PR
1 Detroit Jacksonville 9 8 80.0 88.9
2 Holy Cross vs Navy 7 6 80.7 88.4
3 Manhattan vs New Hampshire 13 11 77.3 84.6
4 Stetson vs Cincinnati 9 6 75.3 82.4
5 St. Bonaventur vs George Washing 12 9 74.0 79.7
6 Dartmouth vs Penn 10 9 87.7 92.9
7 Massachusetts- vs Siena 12 8 76.3 81.5
8 Elon at Duke 7 6 88.9 94.0
9 George Washing at Richmond 11 10 79.7 84.8
10 UC Davis vs Denver 13 6 83.2 88.2
11 Gardner-Webb vs Saint Francis 12 11 70.8 75.7
12 Ohio State vs Penn State 16 13 89.2 94.0
13 Virginia Commo vs Campbell 21 13 76.6 81.2
14 Georgetown at Duke 10 9 89.7 94.0
15 Robert Morris at Bryant 10 7 79.5 83.6
16 Louisville vs Notre Dame 10 9 93.1 97.0
17 Hofstra vs Columbia 11 9 83.5 87.4
18 William & Mary vs Elon 11 9 85.0 88.9
19 High Point vs James Madison 15 9 87.6 91.3
20 Davidson vs High Point 12 7 84.0 87.6
21 Drexel at Delaware 6 4 87.6 91.2
22 Bryant at Winthrop 13 12 83.6 87.1
23 Siena vs Colgate 13 12 81.5 85.0
24 Monmouth vs Rutgers 12 10 84.1 87.5
25 Delaware State vs Radford 18 14 64.1 67.4
26 Vermont at UMBC 13 10 83.2 86.5
27 San Diego Stat vs Oregon 10 9 82.7 86.1
28 Ohio State vs Johns Hopkins 8 7 89.2 92.4
29 Boston College vs Syracuse 13 8 92.4 95.6
30 Virginia Northwestern 10 8 91.8 94.9
31 Sacred Heart vs Brown 13 9 81.7 84.7
32 California vs Vermont 18 13 80.2 83.2
33 Brown vs Dartmouth 8 5 84.7 87.7
34 Marquette vs Temple 12 10 88.5 91.4
35 Virginia Tech vs High Point 14 13 84.8 87.6
36 Bucknell vs Winthrop 8 6 84.4 87.1
37 Gardner-Webb vs Kennesaw State 17 13 70.8 73.5
38 Niagara at Fairfield 9 7 81.9 84.5
39 California vs San Diego Stat 10 9 80.2 82.7
40 Iona vs Wagner 17 12 81.6 84.1
41 Michigan vs Canisius 13 11 86.4 88.8
42 Niagara at Marist 10 9 81.9 84.2
43 Loyola at Johns Hopkins 8 7 90.1 92.4
44 Elon vs Delaware 5 4 88.9 91.2
45 Virginia vs Penn State 16 13 91.8 94.0
46 Robert Morris vs Sacred Heart 6 5 79.5 81.7
47 American vs Wagner 7 5 81.9 84.1
48 Penn State at Florida 14 13 94.0 96.2
49 Duquesne at George Mason 9 8 83.8 86.0
50 Northwestern vs Notre Dame 17 12 94.9 97.0
51 Michigan vs Marquette 11 8 86.4 88.5
52 Saint Francis vs LIU Brooklyn 13 10 75.7 77.7
53 Penn vs Northwestern 14 13 92.9 94.9