Conf = Atlantic Coast             Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Jenny Levy              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.0783615    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 206 A James Madison          Colonial      (10-10, 91.3)    11- 7   
 212 A High Point             Big South     (13- 6, 87.6)    17- 5   
 214 H San Diego State        MPSF          ( 4-11, 82.7)    20- 7   
 220 H Florida                Big East      (18- 2, 96.2)    15-16   
 227 H Maryland               Big Ten       (22- 1, 99.9)     7- 8   
 306 H Albany                 America East  (11- 6, 93.4)    20- 9   
 312 A Virginia               Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 91.8)    11-10  o
 315 A Elon                   Colonial      (10- 7, 88.9)    13- 2   
 320 A Northwestern           Big Ten       (11-10, 94.9)     9- 8  o
 326 A Boston College         Atlantic Coas (10- 9, 92.4)    13-12   
 330 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 84.8)    15- 6   
 403 H Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas (14- 7, 97.0)    14- 8   
 409 H Louisville             Atlantic Coas (12- 6, 93.1)    15- 5   
 416 A Syracuse               Atlantic Coas (19- 6, 95.6)    12-11   
 423 H Duke                   Atlantic Coas (11- 9, 94.0)    16- 8   
 428 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 84.8)    19- 6   
 429 N Duke                   Atlantic Coas (11- 9, 94.0)     7- 6   
 501 N Syracuse               Atlantic Coas (19- 6, 95.6)    15-14  o
 515 H Duke                   Atlantic Coas (11- 9, 94.0)    15-10   
 521 H Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas (14- 7, 97.0)    10- 6   
 527 N Penn State             Big Ten       (14- 7, 94.0)    12-11   
 529 N Maryland               Big Ten       (22- 1, 99.9)    13- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A James Madison          11- 7       4     5          -1.59
   212 A High Point             17- 5      12     9           0.69
   214 H San Diego State        20- 7      13    16           0.00
   220 H Florida                15-16      -1     3    --    -4.06
   227 H Maryland                7- 8      -1     0          -0.31
   306 H Albany                 20- 9      11     5    ++     4.18
   312 A Virginia               11-10  o    1     5    --    -4.15
   315 A Elon                   13- 2      11     7    +      2.00
   320 A Northwestern            9- 8  o    1     2          -1.02
   326 A Boston College         13-12       1     4    -     -3.55
   330 H Virginia Tech          15- 6       9    14          -1.00
   403 H Notre Dame             14- 8       6     2    +      3.80
   409 H Louisville             15- 5      10     6    +      3.86
   416 A Syracuse               12-11       1     1          -0.37
   423 H Duke                   16- 8       8     5    +      2.80
   428 A Virginia Tech          19- 6      13    12           0.00
   429 N Duke                    7- 6       1     4    -     -3.06
   501 N Syracuse               15-14  o    1     2          -1.51
   515 H Duke                   15-10       5     5          -0.20
   521 H Notre Dame             10- 6       4     2           1.80
   527 N Penn State             12-11       1     4    -     -3.06
   529 N Maryland               13- 7       6    -1    +++    7.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Florida                15-16      -1     3    --    -4.06
   312 A Virginia               11-10  o    1     5    --    -4.15
   326 A Boston College         13-12       1     4    -     -3.55
   429 N Duke                    7- 6       1     4    -     -3.06
   527 N Penn State             12-11       1     4    -     -3.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   529 N Maryland               13- 7       6    -1    +++    7.82
   306 H Albany                 20- 9      11     5    ++     4.18
   315 A Elon                   13- 2      11     7    +      2.00
   403 H Notre Dame             14- 8       6     2    +      3.80
   409 H Louisville             15- 5      10     6    +      3.86
   423 H Duke                   16- 8       8     5    +      2.80
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 98.08 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.47 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.71 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   23.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.280.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 20- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/