Conf = Atlantic Sun               Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Monarchs               Coach  = Heather Holt            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.1349030    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 217 A Longwood               Big South     ( 8-10, 81.2)    14-13   
 220 H Campbell               Big South     (10- 9, 81.2)    12-11   
 227 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 84.8)    10- 7   
 302 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   ( 9-10, 84.8)     7-13   
 305 H Liberty                Big South     ( 5-13, 79.2)    12- 8   
 310 A William & Mary         Colonial      ( 7- 9, 85.0)    14-17   
 312 A American               Patriot Leagu ( 5-12, 81.9)     7- 6   
 319 A George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 4-13, 79.7)    10- 7   
 326 H Virginia Commonwealth  Atlantic 10   ( 3-14, 76.6)    19- 2   
 403 H Furman                 Atlantic Sun  (12- 7, 81.5)     9- 6   
 408 A Stetson                Atlantic Sun  ( 5-12, 75.3)    13- 9   
 410 A Jacksonville           Atlantic Sun  (13- 5, 88.9)     6-16   
 415 H Mercer                 Atlantic Sun  ( 7-11, 74.8)    16- 4   
 417 H Kennesaw State         Atlantic Sun  ( 5-12, 73.5)    18- 7   
 423 H Howard                 Atlantic Sun  ( 0-14, 64.0)    20- 4   
 429 A Detroit                Atlantic Sun  (12- 8, 80.0)    17-12   
 501 A Central Michigan       Atlantic Sun  ( 6-10, 75.1)    17- 8   
 506 N Furman                 Atlantic Sun  (12- 7, 81.5)    10- 9   
 508 N Detroit                Atlantic Sun  (12- 8, 80.0)    11-10  o
 513 A Towson                 Colonial      (16- 4, 91.8)     5-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 A Longwood               14-13       1     0           0.17
   220 H Campbell               12-11       1     3    -     -2.08
   227 H Virginia Tech          10- 7       3     0    +      3.51
   302 H Richmond                7-13      -6     0    --    -5.47
   305 H Liberty                12- 8       4     5          -1.10
   310 A William & Mary         14-17      -3    -3           0.04
   312 A American                7- 6       1     0           0.93
   319 A George Washington      10- 7       3     2           0.74
   326 H Virginia Commonwealth  19- 2      17     7    +      2.28
   403 H Furman                  9- 6       3     2           0.19
   408 A Stetson                13- 9       4     6    -     -2.65
   410 A Jacksonville            6-16     -10    -6    -     -3.13
   415 H Mercer                 16- 4      12     9           0.50
   417 H Kennesaw State         18- 7      11    10           0.00
   423 H Howard                 20- 4      16    20           0.00
   429 A Detroit                17-12       5     1    +      3.02
   501 A Central Michigan       17- 8       9     6    +      2.13
   506 N Furman                 10- 9       1     1          -0.67
   508 N Detroit                11-10  o    1     3    -     -2.12
   513 A Towson                  5-16     -11    -9          -0.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Richmond                7-13      -6     0    --    -5.47
   220 H Campbell               12-11       1     3    -     -2.08
   408 A Stetson                13- 9       4     6    -     -2.65
   410 A Jacksonville            6-16     -10    -6    -     -3.13
   508 N Detroit                11-10  o    1     3    -     -2.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Virginia Tech          10- 7       3     0    +      3.51
   326 H Virginia Commonwealth  19- 2      17     7    +      2.28
   429 A Detroit                17-12       5     1    +      3.02
   501 A Central Michigan       17- 8       9     6    +      2.13
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.13 Local Power Rank...........    72
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.88 Local SOS Rank.............    97
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    33
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    80
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
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