Conf = Big South                  Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Flames                 Coach  = Kelly Nangle            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.1729431    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 213 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 5-13, 84.8)     4- 7   
 220 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   ( 9-10, 84.8)    11-16   
 224 H Virginia Commonwealth  Atlantic 10   ( 3-14, 76.6)    19- 9   
 227 A Navy                   Patriot Leagu (13- 6, 88.4)     7-21   
 305 A Old Dominion           Atlantic Sun  (16- 4, 83.1)     8-12   
 309 N Notre Dame             Atlantic Coas (14- 7, 97.0)     2-25   
 312 H Lehigh                 Patriot Leagu (13- 5, 86.6)     5-16   
 323 H George Mason           Atlantic 10   (12- 5, 86.0)     7-17   
 326 H William & Mary         Colonial      ( 7- 9, 85.0)     5-10   
 330 H Winthrop               Big South     (20- 3, 87.1)     6-17   
 402 A Coastal Carolina       Big South     (11- 7, 82.4)    10-11  o
 406 H Longwood               Big South     ( 8-10, 81.2)    12-11   
 409 A Campbell               Big South     (10- 9, 81.2)    10-11   
 413 A High Point             Big South     (13- 6, 87.6)     1-19   
 416 H Gardner-Webb           Big South     ( 4-13, 70.8)    16-10   
 420 A Radford                Big South     ( 1-14, 67.4)    20- 4   
 423 H Presbyterian           Big South     ( 3-15, 70.5)    21- 6   
 430 A Coastal Carolina       Big South     (11- 7, 82.4)     8- 9 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Virginia Tech           4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.75
   220 A Richmond               11-16      -5    -6           1.77
   224 H Virginia Commonwealth  19- 9      10     3    +++    6.25
   227 A Navy                    7-21     -14   -10           0.00
   305 A Old Dominion            8-12      -4    -5           1.10
   309 N Notre Dame              2-25     -23   -17           0.00
   312 H Lehigh                  5-16     -11    -6    -     -3.73
   323 H George Mason            7-17     -10    -5    --    -4.35
   326 H William & Mary          5-10      -5    -4          -0.27
   330 H Winthrop                6-17     -11    -6    -     -3.17
   402 A Coastal Carolina       10-11  o   -1    -4    +      3.40
   406 H Longwood               12-11       1     0           1.86
   409 A Campbell               10-11      -1    -3    +      2.16
   413 A High Point              1-19     -18    -9          -0.40
   416 H Gardner-Webb           16-10       6     9    -     -3.50
   420 A Radford                20- 4      16    10           0.00
   423 H Presbyterian           21- 6      15     9           0.16
   430 A Coastal Carolina        8- 9 2o   -1    -4    +      3.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H George Mason            7-17     -10    -5    --    -4.35
   312 H Lehigh                  5-16     -11    -6    -     -3.73
   330 H Winthrop                6-17     -11    -6    -     -3.17
   416 H Gardner-Webb           16-10       6     9    -     -3.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H Virginia Commonwealth  19- 9      10     3    +++    6.25
   213 A Virginia Tech           4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.75
   402 A Coastal Carolina       10-11  o   -1    -4    +      3.40
   409 A Campbell               10-11      -1    -3    +      2.16
   430 A Coastal Carolina        8- 9 2o   -1    -4    +      3.40
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.17 Local Power Rank...........    91
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.44 Local SOS Rank.............    79
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    85
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    63
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    97
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   10.0
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