Conf = Atlantic 10                Region = Mid-Atlantic State = VA
   Nickname = Patriots               Coach  = Jessy Morgan            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.9608917    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 H Lafayette              Patriot Leagu ( 6-11, 83.5)    10- 7   
 309 A Oregon                 MPSF          ( 9- 8, 86.1)     9-15   
 311 N Fresno State           MPSF          ( 5-10, 80.4)    12- 5   
 316 H Georgetown             Big East      ( 6-11, 89.7)    11-15   
 319 H Longwood               Big South     ( 8-10, 81.2)    16-11   
 323 A Liberty                Big South     ( 5-13, 79.2)    17- 7   
 330 H Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 5-12, 78.2)    15- 4   
 401 A George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 4-13, 79.7)    10- 4   
 403 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   ( 9-10, 84.8)     9- 8   
 408 H Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (20- 2, 92.5)     9-13   
 410 H Davidson               Atlantic 10   ( 8- 9, 84.0)     8- 7   
 415 A La Salle               Atlantic 10   ( 5-11, 80.1)    14- 8   
 417 H Duquesne               Atlantic 10   ( 9- 8, 83.8)     8- 9   
 422 A St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 3-14, 74.0)    17-10   
 424 A Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   ( 9-10, 83.9)    16- 7   
 430 H Virginia Commonwealth  Atlantic 10   ( 3-14, 76.6)    16- 5   
 506 N Richmond               Atlantic 10   ( 9-10, 84.8)    10-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Lafayette              10- 7       3     3          -0.59
   309 A Oregon                  9-15      -6    -1    --    -4.77
   311 N Fresno State           12- 5       7     5           1.45
   316 H Georgetown             11-15      -4    -2          -1.43
   319 H Longwood               16-11       5     5          -0.93
   323 A Liberty                17- 7      10     5    ++     4.35
   330 H Mount St. Mary's       15- 4      11     8           1.09
   401 A George Washington      10- 4       6     5           0.91
   403 A Richmond                9- 8       1     0           0.98
   408 H Massachusetts           9-13      -4    -5           1.41
   410 H Davidson                8- 7       1     3    -     -2.09
   415 A La Salle               14- 8       6     4           1.32
   417 H Duquesne                8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.25
   422 A St. Bonaventure        17-10       7    10    -     -3.00
   424 A Saint Joseph's         16- 7       9     0    +++    8.08
   430 H Virginia Commonwealth  16- 5      11    10           0.00
   506 N Richmond               10-12      -2     1    -     -3.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 A Oregon                  9-15      -6    -1    --    -4.77
   417 H Duquesne                8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.25
   410 H Davidson                8- 7       1     3    -     -2.09
   422 A St. Bonaventure        17-10       7    10    -     -3.00
   506 N Richmond               10-12      -2     1    -     -3.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Saint Joseph's         16- 7       9     0    +++    8.08
   323 A Liberty                17- 7      10     5    ++     4.35
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.96 Local Power Rank...........    50
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.16 Local SOS Rank.............    81
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    51
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    47
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    31
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
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