Conf = Colonial                   Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Phoenix                Coach  = Josh Hexter             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.9433212    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 212 H San Diego State        MPSF          ( 4-11, 82.7)    11- 7   
 214 H Longwood               Big South     ( 8-10, 81.2)    15- 8   
 219 A Coastal Carolina       Big South     (11- 7, 82.4)     5- 4   
 225 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas (11- 9, 94.0)     7- 6   
 228 A Vanderbilt             Big East      ( 5-11, 87.6)     9-10   
 304 H Albany                 America East  (11- 6, 93.4)     4-12   
 312 H Holy Cross             Patriot Leagu ( 3-14, 80.7)    14- 3   
 315 H North Carolina         Atlantic Coas (20- 2, 98.1)     2-13   
 319 A Davidson               Atlantic 10   ( 8- 9, 84.0)    12- 6   
 322 A High Point             Big South     (13- 6, 87.6)    12- 8   
 408 H Delaware               Colonial      (11- 6, 91.2)     5- 4  o
 410 H Towson                 Colonial      (16- 4, 91.8)     9-11   
 415 H James Madison          Colonial      (10-10, 91.3)     7- 9   
 422 A Drexel                 Colonial      (10- 7, 87.6)     8- 4   
 424 A Hofstra                Colonial      ( 3-13, 83.5)    12- 5   
 430 A William & Mary         Colonial      ( 7- 9, 85.0)     9-11   
 506 N Towson                 Colonial      (16- 4, 91.8)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 H San Diego State        11- 7       4     7    -     -3.36
   214 H Longwood               15- 8       7     8          -1.91
   219 A Coastal Carolina        5- 4       1     5    --    -4.37
   225 A Duke                    7- 6       1    -6    +++    7.21
   228 A Vanderbilt              9-10      -1     0          -1.20
   304 H Albany                  4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.68
   312 H Holy Cross             14- 3      11     9           0.67
   315 H North Carolina          2-13     -11    -7    -     -2.00
   319 A Davidson               12- 6       6     3    +      2.20
   322 A High Point             12- 8       4     0    +      3.83
   408 H Delaware                5- 4  o    1    -1    +      2.10
   410 H Towson                  9-11      -2    -1          -0.27
   415 H James Madison           7- 9      -2    -1          -0.73
   422 A Drexel                  8- 4       4     0    +      3.76
   424 A Hofstra                12- 5       7     4    +      2.65
   430 A William & Mary          9-11      -2     2    --    -4.77
   506 N Towson                  6- 8      -2    -2           0.87

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 A Coastal Carolina        5- 4       1     5    --    -4.37
   304 H Albany                  4-12      -8    -3    --    -4.68
   430 A William & Mary          9-11      -2     2    --    -4.77
   212 H San Diego State        11- 7       4     7    -     -3.36
   315 H North Carolina          2-13     -11    -7    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Duke                    7- 6       1    -6    +++    7.21
   319 A Davidson               12- 6       6     3    +      2.20
   322 A High Point             12- 8       4     0    +      3.83
   408 H Delaware                5- 4  o    1    -1    +      2.10
   422 A Drexel                  8- 4       4     0    +      3.76
   424 A Hofstra                12- 5       7     4    +      2.65
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.94 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.84 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    42
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    38
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/