Conf = Atlantic 10                Region = Mid-Atlantic State = PA
   Nickname = Dukes                  Coach  = Michael Scerbo          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.8445435    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 217 H Robert Morris          Northeast     ( 9- 8, 79.5)    14- 7   
 220 A Penn State             Big Ten       (14- 7, 94.0)     5-19   
 228 A Ohio State             Big Ten       (11- 6, 89.2)     6-16   
 308 H Canisius               Metro Atlanti (13- 7, 88.8)     6-17   
 316 A Saint Francis          Northeast     ( 4-12, 75.7)    15- 7   
 320 A Michigan               Big Ten       ( 6-12, 86.4)     4- 9   
 326 H UMBC                   America East  ( 9- 8, 86.5)     6-11   
 401 H St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 3-14, 74.0)    25- 8   
 403 A Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (20- 2, 92.5)     9-15   
 408 H Virginia Commonwealth  Atlantic 10   ( 3-14, 76.6)    12-10   
 410 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   ( 9-10, 84.8)     7- 6  o
 415 A Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   ( 9-10, 83.9)     8- 9  o
 417 A George Mason           Atlantic 10   (12- 5, 86.0)     9- 8   
 422 H Davidson               Atlantic 10   ( 8- 9, 84.0)     8- 4   
 424 H George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 4-13, 79.7)    18-11   
 430 A La Salle               Atlantic 10   ( 5-11, 80.1)    15- 9   
 505 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   ( 9-10, 84.8)     9-10  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 H Robert Morris          14- 7       7     5           1.48
   220 A Penn State              5-19     -14   -11           0.00
   228 A Ohio State              6-16     -10    -6    -     -3.55
   308 H Canisius                6-17     -11    -3    ---   -6.19
   316 A Saint Francis          15- 7       8     7           0.97
   320 A Michigan                4- 9      -5    -3          -1.27
   326 H UMBC                    6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.46
   401 H St. Bonaventure        25- 8      17    10           0.00
   403 A Massachusetts           9-15      -6    -9    +      3.80
   408 H Virginia Commonwealth  12-10       2     8    ---   -6.43
   410 H Richmond                7- 6  o    1     0           0.83
   415 A Saint Joseph's          8- 9  o   -1    -1           0.19
   417 A George Mason            9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.25
   422 H Davidson                8- 4       4     0    +      3.03
   424 H George Washington      18-11       7     5           1.75
   430 A La Salle               15- 9       6     2    +      3.44
   505 H Richmond                9-10  o   -1     0          -1.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Canisius                6-17     -11    -3    ---   -6.19
   408 H Virginia Commonwealth  12-10       2     8    ---   -6.43
   228 A Ohio State              6-16     -10    -6    -     -3.55
   326 H UMBC                    6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A George Mason            9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.25
   403 A Massachusetts           9-15      -6    -9    +      3.80
   422 H Davidson                8- 4       4     0    +      3.03
   430 A La Salle               15- 9       6     2    +      3.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.84 Local Power Rank...........    65
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.02 Local SOS Rank.............    68
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    59
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    41
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    47
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/