2014 NCAA Women's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Syracuse Atlantic Coast 21 3 2 1 1 1 1 2 4 22.00 2 Maryland Atlantic Coast 23 1 1 5 2 2 2 1 5 40.00 3 Florida Amer. Lac. Con 18 3 4 14 4 3 6 3 12 11.00 4 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 15 5 3 4 3 4 5 4 13 8.00 5 Northwestern Amer. Lac. Con 14 7 6 3 5 5 3 5 13 2.00 6 Boston College Atlantic Coast 15 6 5 8 6 6 9 6 21 5.00 7 Virginia Atlantic Coast 12 9 10 2 8 12 4 11 27 0.10 8 Duke Atlantic Coast 11 8 7 7 15 8 11 15 34 2.00 9 Penn Ivy League 13 5 20 9 13 7 15 14 36 1.00 10 Stony Brook America East 17 4 12 34 10 11 19 10 40 1.00 11 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast 10 9 15 6 19 14 7 22 43 1.00 12 Denver MPSF 19 2 24 45 7 9 29 7 45 0.10 13 Loyola Patriot League 15 6 9 19 16 13 18 16 47 0.10 14 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 18 2 16 49 9 10 36 8 54 2.00 15 Albany America East 14 3 8 38 14 15 30 13 58 3.00 16 Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Con 15 5 17 26 11 24 22 12 58 0.10 17 Ohio State Amer. Lac. Con 13 7 18 22 20 19 16 24 59 0.10 18 Louisville Big East 16 4 11 29 12 17 34 9 60 1.00 19 Towson Colonial 11 8 23 15 31 20 10 33 63 0.10 20 Princeton Ivy League 12 7 13 10 23 16 23 26 65 0.10 21 Canisius Metro Atlantic 12 7 40 46 30 25 13 28 66 0.10 22 Penn State Amer. Lac. Con 10 8 14 11 28 22 17 31 70 0.10 23 Georgetown Big East 11 9 19 12 32 18 20 36 74 0.10 24 James Madison Colonial 11 7 22 16 29 21 26 29 76 0.10 25 Vermont America East 12 6 27 56 25 26 25 27 78 1.00 26 Stanford MPSF 14 5 21 31 24 23 43 17 83 0.10 27 Richmond Atlantic 10 11 7 35 50 34 34 21 30 85 0.10 28 Boston Universit Patriot League 9 11 43 21 48 27 8 51 86 0.10 29 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 7 10 45 20 36 40 14 40 94 0.10 30 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 14 6 39 71 22 42 32 21 95 0.10 31 Harvard Ivy League 9 7 25 24 35 29 38 32 99 0.10 32 High Point Big South 14 6 36 68 26 32 45 23 100 0.10 33 Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Con 5 12 34 13 58 44 12 53 109 0.10 34 Bryant Northeast 15 4 48 79 17 31 61 19 111 0.10 35 Duquesne Atlantic 10 14 4 46 82 21 35 57 20 112 0.10 36 Rutgers Big East 9 9 44 25 46 33 33 50 116 0.10 37 Southern Califor MPSF 9 9 37 44 49 49 24 45 118 0.10 38 Connecticut Big East 10 7 33 32 37 36 47 38 121 0.10 39 Dartmouth Ivy League 6 8 31 18 45 37 41 47 125 0.10 40 Cornell Ivy League 7 9 26 17 44 38 39 49 126 0.10 41 Brown Ivy League 9 6 30 48 39 41 51 35 127 0.10 42 Delaware Colonial 10 7 28 33 43 30 59 41 130 0.10 43 New Hampshire America East 7 10 47 27 55 45 28 57 130 0.10 44 Yale Ivy League 9 6 32 37 38 39 54 37 130 0.10 45 UMBC America East 7 9 52 36 52 47 31 55 133 0.10 46 Navy Patriot League 14 3 29 66 18 28 92 18 138 0.10 47 Oregon MPSF 11 8 42 70 51 52 49 44 145 0.10 48 Hofstra Colonial 8 10 38 28 59 48 40 59 147 0.10 49 Marist Metro Atlantic 14 4 50 78 27 46 79 25 150 0.10 50 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 12 5 41 64 33 43 74 34 151 0.10 51 George Washingto Atlantic 10 7 9 65 67 63 58 37 58 153 0.10 52 San Diego State MPSF 7 10 49 51 65 53 44 65 162 0.10 53 William & Mary Colonial 4 12 59 23 72 59 27 76 162 0.10 54 Holy Cross Patriot League 7 12 55 39 76 54 35 77 166 0.10 55 Villanova Big East 8 8 51 43 50 51 63 54 168 0.10 56 Colorado MPSF 11 8 56 54 53 50 77 46 173 0.10 57 La Salle Atlantic 10 11 6 63 81 40 56 78 39 173 0.10 58 Davidson Big South 12 7 64 87 42 60 82 43 185 0.10 59 Monmouth Metro Atlantic 8 10 67 69 71 68 52 67 187 0.10 60 Drexel Colonial 6 10 61 35 67 57 62 71 190 0.10 61 Robert Morris Northeast 11 6 81 96 41 61 87 42 190 0.10 62 Temple Big East 6 10 57 41 75 55 68 68 191 0.10 63 Binghamton America East 7 9 72 61 57 67 65 60 192 0.10 64 Lehigh Patriot League 7 9 54 55 61 62 71 63 196 0.10 65 Marquette Big East 5 12 62 40 78 69 48 79 196 0.10 66 Michigan Amer. Lac. Con 4 13 70 30 81 71 42 83 196 0.10 67 Wagner Northeast 11 7 74 97 47 65 84 48 197 0.10 68 Winthrop Big South 8 11 73 76 77 70 60 69 199 0.10 69 UC Davis MPSF 8 8 66 72 56 64 85 52 201 0.10 70 Bucknell Patriot League 4 12 75 47 80 72 46 85 203 0.10 71 Central Connecti Northeast 7 10 87 83 73 73 58 72 203 0.10 72 Lafayette Patriot League 7 10 58 60 70 63 67 74 204 0.10 73 Niagara Metro Atlantic 7 9 83 86 62 75 75 64 214 0.10 74 Colgate Patriot League 7 9 53 52 60 66 88 62 216 0.10 75 Columbia Ivy League 4 10 60 42 69 78 72 70 220 0.10 76 Siena Metro Atlantic 5 12 79 73 86 81 55 86 222 0.10 77 California MPSF 5 11 69 62 83 76 70 78 224 0.10 78 American Patriot League 5 12 68 53 79 74 69 82 225 0.10 79 Old Dominion Colonial 3 13 71 58 88 82 56 89 227 0.10 80 Cincinnati Big East 6 11 84 63 68 79 76 73 228 0.10 81 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 2 13 77 57 95 83 50 96 229 0.10 82 George Mason Atlantic 10 7 9 88 89 64 80 91 61 232 0.10 83 Elon Atlantic Sun 8 9 82 94 54 84 93 56 233 0.10 84 Longwood Big South 9 10 78 93 74 77 89 75 241 0.10 85 Fresno State MPSF 2 13 90 59 98 87 66 95 248 0.10 86 Campbell Big South 7 9 91 98 66 86 98 66 250 0.10 87 Sacred Heart Northeast 4 11 85 85 85 85 81 84 250 0.10 88 Stetson Atlantic Sun 2 16 99 77 102 96 53 102 251 0.10 89 Iona Metro Atlantic 2 14 89 65 99 90 64 99 253 0.10 90 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 4 13 76 84 91 89 73 94 256 0.10 91 St. Mary's (CA) MPSF 2 12 97 75 92 92 83 88 263 0.10 92 Detroit Atlantic Sun 5 13 93 92 90 88 86 92 266 0.10 93 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 5 11 80 90 82 91 95 80 266 0.10 94 Liberty Big South 2 16 92 80 103 93 80 103 276 0.10 95 Coastal Carolina Big South 5 12 86 95 87 95 99 87 281 0.10 96 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 3 13 94 88 96 94 90 98 282 0.10 97 Saint Francis Northeast 4 12 98 101 89 98 96 90 284 0.10 98 Delaware State Independent 0 11 103 103 84 103 102 81 286 0.10 99 LIU Brooklyn Northeast 3 13 95 91 97 97 94 97 288 0.10 100 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 0 14 96 74 94 99 100 91 290 0.10 101 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 1 12 100 102 93 102 101 93 296 0.10 102 Howard Atlantic Sun 1 14 102 99 101 101 97 101 299 0.10 103 Presbyterian Big South 4 14 101 100 100 100 103 100 303 0.10